Are we sure? I was seeing media create Japan sales the other day, week 13 2018, PS4 Pro 7.868, PS4 17,457
That is a lot of Pro's in a market that is known to care little about hardware power supposedly. About 31% Pro share. Unless there was some other factor at play (bundles or shortages etc) I wonder if the rest of the world is trending to Pro as well.
IMO the iterative versions will take larger share as time goes on not less, since power wins out in the long run, even power who's every advantage has been dulled.
I didn't necessarily say that their shares will decrease, but I don't see them increasing.
But yes, as long as the base system is the considerably cheaper model and is still in production, I do believe the base models will hold the majority of sales. Sure there will be some bumps for the mid-gen consoles from promos etc., but overall I don't see their shares increasing, especially when the base systems hit sub-$200 and the next gen consoles release.
It's a little different with X because there's such a large power gap, and MS seem to really be pushing it. I see X having a higher share than Pro, but not by much due to the price difference.
As for Japan, one week of sales isn't a good way to judge market trends. HW sales in Japan seem to be the most influenced by software/promos compared to any other country.
The probable reason for the relatively high Pro share recently is probably because there has been some PS4 Slim supply issues. PS4 Pro was as high as 50% of PS4 sales a few weeks ago.
https://attackofthefanboy.com/news/monster-hunter-boost-ps4-sell-out-japan/
Pro's share fluctuated a lot in Japan due to promotions/bundles etc., but averaged around 20% in 2017, which is inline with what Sony stated shortly after the Pro's launch over a year ago.
Also, i don't understand why a core gamer would buy a X instead of a PC... unless money is the problem or they prefer the console universe.
Really, it's not to start a fanboy thing, but just to stick to cold facts : Sony has more exclusives and they are more diversivied.
All X exclusives can be played on PC. But MS still wins anyway since PC = Windows.
I don't think many PC gamers are considering the X personally. Yes X is a good value considering the specs, but PC vs console are pretty different gaming experiences. Plus a lot of gamers play where their friends play.
X has it's niche though. They probably sold a few X's to people wanting the best console experience, 'stealing' a few gamers from PS4 or PC. But like I have always said, I believe that a lot of X owners are existing XB1 owners making the upgrade. Once the majority of core XB1 owners upgrade, though, I believe XB1X sales will start to drop.