yea its OT. I didn't mean it to be. I have some experience in dealing with gating and capital expenditure processes here, so it was wrong of me to project that into this discussion as I'm not a full expert on the subject; I drew on some limited accounting experience on rates of return on capital and rate of profit to make some assumptions on how these projects are likely not at target given what we can ballpark the large capital investment in all of them.
That being said, the purpose of my post wasn't to indicate that MS was doing anything wrong, but that we [eastman] should not be Blue Oceaning what Scorpio is or could be. All projects regardless of what they are, undergo heavy risk analysis, phased gating to financials, and some form of expected rate of profitability. Essentially how targets are set and whether targets get approved. This is MS core business. They likely have a very long and effective process in determining the success of their investments in capital or they would be a failing business already.
My arguments have been weak, no doubt, I don't disagree with you there and I apologize for having given them (it would appear I make poorer quality posts when I post from my phone while commuting on the train), but my purpose is clear: unless we have factual and real information about Scorpio hardware, this blue ocean business also needs to stop. Eastman is still very much (having read his past posts) projecting his values that power is king in console land, his arguments for xbox tend to circulate around this notion (why XBO failed, why Scorpio will succeed, his desires to distance Scorpio from Neo hardware), and yet I think many people would disagree with that sentiment - and the argument itself is still not relevant to Scorpio.