No one is going to lie to developers about what they are going to deliver.
Even when you ship them devkits with radically different performance than the final design, You still convey the final design to devs.
Sometimes specs change, occasionally significantly, rarely do they improve.
I don't know how MS has clamped down on leaks this time, the 360 leak came the day after a briefing with EA, there were probably 100 people in the room, maybe they encouraged companies like EA to reduce the number of people disclosed.
Few things stay secret after significant numbers of 3rd parties have access to devkits and start development in earnest. Too many people have to be involved including poorly paid ones like testers. My guess is that has to happen soon if they are targeting 2013.