Ken Kutaragi:" I can produce the PS3 anytime"

Isn't this thread supposed to be about the quote in question? That IS the thread title, after all. Talk about derailment.

Anyway, it just seems like more PR nonsense, considering that the RSX hasn't even taped out (or at least we haven't heard about it).
 
I thought the premise of the topic is wrong based on one's post ? Sony is talking about pressuring other BDA members and associated technologies to finalize the specs.
 
patsu said:
I thought the premise of the topic is wrong based on one's post ? Sony is talking about pressuring other BDA members and associated technologies to finalize the specs.
Agreed. It seems out of context so I'm not sure that there's much to discuss directly with that quote (though I like Tap In's and blackjedi's read of the quote, since it gives the whole thing a sense of foreshadowing :D ).
 
This is the first Xbox system for half my friends on XBL. I was quite surprised when a lot of them had never played Halo or even touched the first Xbox. If Sony thinks this won't eat into their marketshare they are sadly mistaken.
 
Laa-Yosh said:
As Phil said, there's plenty of room to argue about that.
MS has probably never wanted to make it profitable in its first cycle, they knew that the opposition would be too heavy for that. Their userbase is as big as the Gamecube's, so it was a lot of bad hardware deals that caused the Xbox to produce a loss. It was a choice between cost and time to market - and they decided to try to catch up to the PS2.

They've nevertheless succeeded in setting up a brand, several good franchises and first party developers, and so on. Whereas Kutaragi predicted that they'd downright flop with the Xbox and leave the market...
Kutaragi saw what everyone else saw:XBOX not doing well.What he did ommit was the fact that MS would continue the support of XBOX despite that.His prediction wether XBOX was going to succeed or not isnt far from the truth.

When I see XBOX I actually see a console that's even worse than what the Saturn or DC were back in their time in terms of games and quality.Fortunately for MS they had the revenues to back them up and keep the console in market even if they had to deal with issues that otherwise a normal company would have given up on supporting their product.

Indeed MS at the end succeeded at establishing it.But its an extreme case of a product that in economic terms and efficiency was a failure but succeeded at remaining in the market to establish its brand name.

Its was an example of unfair competition thanks to MS's monopolistic advandage in other departments that had nothing to do with the game industry.It was like MS's console division was getting subsidies to remain in the market despite its great inefficiency.

XBOX penetrated itself in the market to establish the brand name.It didnt achieve this by doing well.
 
Nesh said:
Its was an example of unfair competition thanks to MS's monopolistic advandage in other departments that had nothing to do with the game industry.It was like MS's console division was getting subsidies to remain in the market despite its great inefficiency.
What distinguishes an investment in the future from "unfair competition"? There's lots of companies that take profits from one part of the company and make bets in another. For example, Sony Pictures and the Playstation division generates much of the profits that are being invested in the ailing consumer electronics division - yet no one would call that "unfair competition". Granted, I see the point that Office and Windows are de facto monopolies, but it's not as if they're leveraging that monopoly position for the sake of the Xbox division. They simplying reinvesting the money. It's only unfair in the sense that they have a lot of cash. Is that really unfair?
 
Laa-Yosh said:
He thought MS would fail with the first Xbox as well - it wouldn't be the first time that he's not exactly right in what he says...
Do you have a source for that obsevation by Kutaragi in the early stage of the Xbox business? By any chance, don't you confuse Kutaragi with Yamauchi of Nintendo? Yamauchi once compared Microsoft's new venture to the Vietnam War.
 
mckmas8808 said:
Guys is this Ken's crazy talk or is this guy on to something?

Discuss

Well, the BR specs are final and everything that is left to do on PS3 is up to Sony. So yeah, I think *he* can produce PS3 anytime he wants to. Though the clocks may be lower now, or perhaps the (my mind is blank but...) 'the word for the number of ok chips you get from each waffer' may be too low at this point or perhaps they are waiting for the games.

I think Kutaragi and Dr. Dre should meet. They could produce excellent rap and console smack-talk.

Kutaragi: "Move units, then talk shit and we can do this. Until then, I aint even speaking your name. Just keep my name out of your mouth and we can keep it the same."

Edit:*yield
 
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Nesh said:
XBOX penetrated itself in the market to establish the brand name.It didnt achieve this by doing well.

If it did so bad than it wouldn't have established a brand. It might have costed 4 billions but they atleast estblished a brand. As for using money from one division to invest in an another what company doesn't do that? And i don't think that anyone can deny that a big part of those losses are more or less a direct result from their extremely crap deals, a mistake they seemed to have learned from...
 
Sethamin said:
What distinguishes an investment in the future from "unfair competition"? There's lots of companies that take profits from one part of the company and make bets in another. For example, Sony Pictures and the Playstation division generates much of the profits that are being invested in the ailing consumer electronics division - yet no one would call that "unfair competition". Granted, I see the point that Office and Windows are de facto monopolies, but it's not as if they're leveraging that monopoly position for the sake of the Xbox division. They simplying reinvesting the money. It's only unfair in the sense that they have a lot of cash. Is that really unfair?

The difference is that SCE is efficient.Playstation products are efficient.They are doing fine.And they are not in the market because they are being subsidized.They are taking bigger risks with each reinvestment
Products that are inefficient should get out of the market.Thats exactly what XBOX was.It exists because it was subsidized.Reinvestment didnt return revenues and that wasnt their target.That because simply XBOX division was inerfficient.MS unlike Sony was reinvesting on the XBOX only in an effort to force the XBOX into the market, taking slowly over the makret from the other competing companies.MS can do that because they have abundance of capital revenues thanks to their monopoly in other divisions.

Its unfair because at the end there are two products on the market, one being efficient and one being inefficient competing the other and taking away from the efficiency.

The point is Sony is investing on an efficient division and thats where the Playstation brand comes from.MS on the other hand is not.XBOX unlike the PS2 existed only because MS could cover the inefficiency losses thanks to other profitable divisions and only because of that.Sony could never do that unless that market was extremely small because its not a complete and major monopolist in any product to accumulate huge capital revenues.If SCE was to suffer the same losses from the PS, Sony wouldnt have kept the PS2.Not even for 3 years!They simply cant do the same.There is a HUUUGE asymmetry between these 2 competitors.
 
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from egm's interview with mr gates himself

"egm:Microsoft roughly lost $1 billion since it launched was it worth it?

gates: we knew going into the original xbox that we would lose....a lot. Or you can say, invest alot. And we knew the only thing we'd get out of that first generation was the learning and credibility that came with the experience

egm:if you lose money on 360,will there be another successor?

gates: Of course! It was my desicion to get into videogaming,so we are going to make that look like a good decision no matter how long it takes(laughs)"
 
<nu>faust said:
from egm's interview with mr gates himself

"egm:Microsoft roughly lost $1 billion since it launched was it worth it?

gates: we knew going into the original xbox that we would lose....a lot. Or you can say, invest alot. And we knew the only thing we'd get out of that first generation was the learning and credibility that came with the experience

egm:if you lose money on 360,will there be another successor?

gates: Of course! It was my desicion to get into videogaming,so we are going to make that look like a good decision no matter how long it takes(laughs)"

Exactly prooves my point.
 
Nesh said:
When I see XBOX I actually see a console that's even worse than what the Saturn or DC were back in their time in terms of games and quality.Fortunately for MS they had the revenues to back them up and keep the console in market even if they had to deal with issues that otherwise a normal company would have given up on supporting their product.

What?

Surely Microsoft deserves more credit than what you're giving them, especially when you consider the competition they were up against. Its not as if they can just waltz into the console market, money in hand, and buy everything up within five years. Their has to be a certain amount of reason applied to your assessment in order to determine the successes and failures that Microsoft has made during this past generation.

BTW: What do you mean by, "in terms of the games and quality"? Are you saying Microsoft hasn't established any successful, quality games during the Xbox's life span?

Holt
 
Nesh said:
The difference is that SCE is efficient.Playstation products are efficient.They are doing fine.And they are not in the market because they are being subsidized.They are taking bigger risks with each reinvestment
Products that are inefficient should get out of the market.Thats exactly what XBOX was.It exists because it was subsidized.Reinvestment didnt return revenues and that wasnt their target.That because simply XBOX division was inerfficient.MS unlike Sony was reinvesting on the XBOX only in an effort to force the XBOX into the market, taking slowly over the makret from the other competing companies.MS can do that because they have abundance of capital revenues thanks to their monopoly in other divisions.

Its unfair because at the end there are two products on the market, one being efficient and one being inefficient competing the other and taking away from the efficiency.

The point is Sony is investing on an efficient division and thats where the Playstation brand comes from.MS on the other hand is not.XBOX unlike the PS2 existed only because MS could cover the inefficiency losses thanks to other profitable divisions and only because of that.Sony could never do that unless that market was extremely small because its not a complete and major monopolist in any product to accumulate huge capital revenues.If SCE was to suffer the same losses from the PS, Sony wouldnt have kept the PS2.Not even for 3 years!They simply cant do the same.There is a HUUUGE asymmetry between these 2 competitors.
This argument makes no sense. Asymmetry != unfair. It's just asymmetry.
 
Arguing the Xbox wasn't a failure is never going to be won because people can keep setting imaginary targets that they reached proving success.
Even establishing a brand, they could've done much better this generation than what they have (money spent: consumers gained). In fact, most analysts predicted Xbox coming #2 right behind PS2. No one would've predicted, not even them, that it would cost them $200 a consumer.

But the Xbox wasn't meant to dominate game player sales (gaming is, afterall, a tiny market compared to their speciality) intially, it was meant to stop the momentum of the PlayStation brand being a threat to Windows dominance. Not in a computer OS sense, but they were far-reaching enough to understand that we're moving away from PCs in the household.

Microsoft saw the threat of the PS2, which is why they wanted it to use a WindowsOS, and when they were denied, they had no choice. So they did succeed in their goal (at least, they've given themselves a chance), but what they gained isn't representative of the cost. Thats why its a failure.

A bit about the Xbox origins
 
The "Xbox" brand and what it means for MS's future is worth far more than their $4 Billion dollar investment. Of course they would have loved to make a profit this past gen, but just because they didn't doesn't mean "what they gained isn't representative of the cost. That's why its a failure." That's ridiculous, it's called an investment. They are posed to make all that back and a whole lot more in the future. Not to mention they're strengthening the Windows brand with the whole connectivity features.
 
The economics of next (this) generation will be very different for Microsoft compared to XBox, since this time they own the IP for both the CPU and the GPU and hence can take advantage of IC integration advances to reduce cost the same way Sony did this generation with the multiple implementations of the EE and visualizer.

Last time the price of the XCPU and the nv2a were fixed, so MS kept on losing money as prices went down, despite component cost reductions.

I think there's a good chance that MS can break even on the hardware while Sony really has to work hard to cut cost to not have a loss leading box. IMO this is a real problem for Sony since they don't have the bags of money that MS has. I'm fully expenting MS to undercut Sony with >$100 when PS3 launches (unless of course the 360 is still supply constrained).

Cheers
 
^^^

Why do people think the PS3 will be so expensive to produce? It's not because of Cell. That chip has been designed since conception to have high yields. They can even use the defects in other devices.
Blue Ray is decoded on the CPU so no extra costs there.
If anything Sony's PS3 process looks even more streamlined than it was with the PS2.
 
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