Vince said:What about Bush pre-9/11? Forget about that John?
Last I checked, Bush was proposing raises in Defense Spending and upon appointing Donald Rumsfeld, had his administration embark on a forward looking program to identify threats in the future and dramatically retool the US Military Machine for the low-intensity conflict they envisioned.
So they saw future military conflict as being on a smaller scale (a la Somalia). Not hard to predict with the end of the Cold War and no other superpower in sight.
Because, IMHO it's apparent that their reasoning is much deeper than you can comprehend. I'm sorry, but it's the truth. Hell, I don't believe I'll ever see the entire range of influences and options - but it's alot better than your college-liberal-rambling-while-smoking-some-pot mentality.
LOL And, for the record, I've never smoked pot in my life. But thanks for the insinuation anyways.
The very nature of a superpower make this intrinsic, it’s inescapable. Surviving as a superpower necessitates a level of freedom, the creation of freedom necessitated power, power is dispersed.. it is concentrated. The Roman Republic/Empire saw an analogous occurrence with the downfall of the Julio-Claudian System – all superpowers are too large (be it physically or virtually) to guard all levels of it’s society from attack – in which it progressively lost it’s client states (that were under loose cultural control) which served as physical and ideological buffers against the world and threats around it. This became an immeasurable loss (due to many factors) which ultimately required that Roman Imperial forces must guard against all threats, invasions, incursions, insurrections – where as before the clients would handle such low-intensity threats. As I said before, no superpower can do this – and they eventually suffered many incursions which brought the former republic to it’s knees.
Revisionist history. Romans were extremely effective at incorporating other cultures, Romanizing the people while withholding full citizenship from them. Ambitious Roman politicians, from Gaius Marius to Sulla to Caesar, weakened the traditions of the Republic and eventually destroyed it, not external incursions.
So, work backwards from the Roman’s. Create a contemporary client state in the Middle East which will serve the purpose Cappadocia once did, but in a virtual way. Walls are futile, standing armies are futile. This is a war over populace, ideology… emotion.
So, pander exactly to that, create a free nation-state in the Middle East, one which is educated, prosperous, forward-looking and yet manageable. It’s effect will (and as we’ve seen in Iraq) serve as a virtual buffer, appealing to the human emotion and draw the ideological enemy in to fight as opposed to a world away in the United States.
The Short-term effects are exactly as I stated, to act as a buffer. We’ve seen it in effect; we’re seeing it become a battleground removed from the continental United States. There are also strong psychological effects of the shift from a war on the Americans, who it’s acceptable to kill, and your theological and cultural brothers.
This will manifest itself in the long-term by reinforcing the ultimate goal of democratization of the ME. It’s going to happen, as the 20th century has shown,
freedom is intoxicating and where there is a seed – a fanatical regime will fall given time.
The Saudi’s are insignificant fools in the long-term. They’re homeland is off-limits to military moves by a western power due to ideological and theological meaning. They’re a perfect case of geopolitics and why Iraq was the best choice. Saudi is a country on the edge due to its significance for much of the region, much better to let it sort itself out. Iraq on the other hand was a horrible regime, one which tried to Assassinate an American president, inflamed the Israeli-Palestinian issue by financing terrorists, had WMD and led the world to believe they were a threat at the least, they had connections to Al-Qaeda, and they have a stable country, educated middle class and working infrastructure oppressed under an asshole leader.
Why Iraq? Because it’s the key to American security in the 21st century. As I said before, the creation of the Iraqi Client State will be the greatest American achievement since the Monroe Doctrine.
Congratulations. Thomas Jefferson just rolled over in his grave and vomited.