All purpose sales and sales rumors/anecdotes thread next gen+

Discussion in 'Console Industry' started by Rangers, Dec 6, 2013.

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  1. Dave Baumann

    Dave Baumann Gamerscore Wh...
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    Standard manufacturing business principles - inventory weighs on your books. You manage it as carefully as possible.
     
  2. zupallinere

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    IF I'm taking this correctly they are talking about both sets of chips to console makers and they aren't worried about their inventory getting too big at this point. I think they expect Sony to order significantly more for 2nd half and enough to offset whatever buildup MS may or may not have. I would also expect that AMD expects MS to manage their inventory pretty well going forward towards the holiday season. Might revise that E3 prediction in terms of of a price cut.

    Assuming a BD-less version is well on it's way for say an October or early November release that would be where they would make the biggest price drop. The new sku would be priced to sell. That is why I didn't think much of a big price drop before then. Now I wonder if MS would just assume take the 50 dollar hit, just before E3, increase the interest with a good showing there and just ride that out till the new sku and see what happens.

    I was thinking they would just have a bunch of digital bundle sales rotating around, acting as an unofficial price cut, till the fall and then drop the new sku and the new lower price for the xb1 "classic". Now if AMD isn't seeing any inventory issues then maybe they think that between Sony and MS sales will be robust combined ( maybe a better showing for the WII U as well to help out )
     
    #2022 zupallinere, Apr 25, 2014
    Last edited by a moderator: Apr 25, 2014
  3. DSoup

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    Also interesting. So there's no significant saving in high volume production to make longer-term stocking profitable.
     
  4. London Geezer

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    It's been a while since I studied this stuff but surely a non perishable and non upgradable item like a games console could in theory sit somewhere for a little while with no negative consequences? No? Any console they can't sell right now can still be sold at any time this year or the next...
     
  5. DuckThor Evil

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    Well there is at least opportunity costs for the money that is attached to those manufactured consoles instead of that money being somewhere else which could bring income. Also the manufacturing costs of a console likely goes down as time passes so producing them in the future should be doubly beneficial.
     
  6. 3dilettante

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    There's warehousing costs and insurance for the products as well.
     
  7. HTupolev

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    Not to mention that you just plain have less capital when you have lots of product.
     
  8. London Geezer

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    Bingo :)
     
  9. DieH@rd

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    Also if MS does not own their own warehouses, they need to pay for storing unsold consoles.
     
  10. Dave Baumann

    Dave Baumann Gamerscore Wh...
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    Yes. And even for a company like Microsoft, following Surface financial write downs the last thing they would want to signal to investors is further proof they cannot (hardware) inventory manage, just as they are about the become the second largest phone manufacturer...
     
  11. London Geezer

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    The second huh what who??
     
  12. Dave Baumann

    Dave Baumann Gamerscore Wh...
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    The Nokia handheld purchase went through today, making MS the second largest handset vendor, and, ironically, a significant player in the Android handset market.
     
  13. Rangers

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    There's some of that yes. 360's first 5 quarters:

    1.5
    1.7
    1.8
    1.0
    4.4

    X1
    3.9
    1.2

    As you see they will probably lose some ground against that 1.8 quarter, but as they currently have a 1.9 lead, even if they ship 0 would still remain ahead. The 1.0 following quarter will be an easy comp they'll probably gain some back there (specifically this should be the Q they're shipping for the 26 September markets they launch in), and then the 4.4 holiday 2006 q, well it's hard to really know this far out, a lot depends if they do any price cut by then, but I suspect they can handle that.
     
  14. Rangers

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    Some gaffers have provided more NPD insight the last few days. Mostly from Aquamarine, who apparently has access to the numbers.

    Data dump
    Working the numbers on that (will be roughly) that's about 218k TF bundles so, 93k non-TF bundles for X1 hardware.

    Here's a complete summation of previously revealed info again. the Titanfall sales are new, apparently it's >865k, or over 1m if you count bundles.

    The total PS4/X1 software is actually lifetime to date. For example MS already said 1.4m X1 games were sold in March. I was a little surprised, it seems a little low, hard to know what to expect for platform software sales. But I guess if (not counting bundles) TF sold 865k in March, then all other X1 games combined sold ~535k in March.
     
  15. zed

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    And remember this is Titanfall release month [shock] the rest of the year looks dull WRT announced titles

    dwaaarp dwaaarp dwaaarp dwaaarp abandon ship
    they have to cut price now, or else gulp it was nice knowing you xbox
     
  16. temesgen

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    Lets see what is announced at E3, I honestly am somewhat convinced Sony will screw up and lets be honest MS isn't going to sit back and allow Sony to dominate without a fight. Sony seems to be having some issues at the studios, I doubt we'll see UC 4 anytime soon. Drive Club still isn't released, there are signs that there are some issues and I expect E3 to be very interesting perhaps not due to the announcements but for what isn't like release dates. If Sony continues to sell hardware at a record pace but the software doesn't come sooner than later there will be consequences.
     
  17. djskribbles

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    I don't see Sony screwing it up. They have too many talented teams, I know they're holding a lot back for E3. I think they're both aiming to leave a big impression.
     
  18. Rangers

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    Pretty much. It's just not gonna sell at 499, even with a pack in I think. Especially now that people have tasted 449.

    449+ pack in isn't even enough to tackle PS4 probably. All though it might gain more traction if it was official and thus universal and advertised.

    I think the 141k in January is much closer to the true X1 baseline at 499. April will probably be pretty bad. Even though it was $449 at many retailers for like the first 3 weeks of the month.

    311k last month/5=62.2k/week, X4=249K projection for April. That's if they even sustain March's sales rate which seems unlikely.

    Edit: I decided to look back and see when the $449 sales started. From google I'm not 100% but it appears to be March 21. NPD covered through April 5 AFAIK. So that's about two weeks. Not sure exactly when the sale ended either (I know Target stopped it like a week before others that I noticed). But I think it was earlier this week, lets call it the 21st. So there may have been about 2 weeks at $449 in the March NPD, and two weeks in the April NPD, so X1 may not fall as much as I thought. Given, that I still think X1 sales at $449 were probably frontloaded.
     
  19. NathansFortune

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    The unsold stock would depreciate over time causing a balance sheet loss. If they hold a large number of unsold units and cut the price then they would have to impair their inventory which would cause a large loss.

    Paying for storage, insurance, extra shipping to and from the warehouse would have to be amortised into those units, which would lower the profit margin, which is already low or negative.
     
  20. London Geezer

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    ^ ^ That's why I'm in Sales now :lol:
     
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