NANOTEC said:I also don't remember RWs costing $30, more like $10-$12 initially. Regardless BR is even more expensive than recordable DVD when it initially launched and with BR PC drives costing $700, it doesn't look like BR will come down in price anytime soon. Recordable DVDs came down in price mainly because of PC DVD burner drives. BR will take a long time to come down in price.
While predicting the future based on divine revelations while are nice....
Pioneer's DVR-A03 DVD-R(G) drive was released in May 2001 for under $1000. By August it was available for under $700, and by February 2002 it was under $400.
http://www.proactionmedia.com/dvd_media_formats.htm#DVD-R (same site)