I think the best evidence that MS fully expects all rev0 360s to fail within 3 years is this:
MS announced a charge of ~$1 billion to extend the RRoD warranty to 3 years, meaning that this billion doesn't even cover failures in the first year of the then-existing warranty, and it still doesn't cover failures other than RRoD.
Back before the repeated warranty extensions, MS charged ~$100 for repairs.
The money that MS set aside is therefore enough to refurbish ~10 million consoles during a two-year period.
MS had shipped approximately 10 million rev0 consoles at the time they made the warranty extension announcement.
Many commentators and industry analysts noted this at the time of the announcement.
Personally, I think MS knew that they were shipping 10 million "lemons", doomed to premature failure, but did so anyway, denying the problems until they had a solution (the rev1 console), then announcing the warranty extension. It was a cold, calculating, deceitful move on their part, but MS would happily trade ~$1B in extra warranty repairs for the apparently insurmountable lead that they now have on Sony. Remember that MS's Xbox division has lost ~$5B since inception. What's an extra $1B if it pushes you over the top and secures your place in the living room?
Really, what else could MS do? Stop selling 360s and announce a recall during the one year head-start over Sony that MS worked so hard to get?
MS announced a charge of ~$1 billion to extend the RRoD warranty to 3 years, meaning that this billion doesn't even cover failures in the first year of the then-existing warranty, and it still doesn't cover failures other than RRoD.
Back before the repeated warranty extensions, MS charged ~$100 for repairs.
The money that MS set aside is therefore enough to refurbish ~10 million consoles during a two-year period.
MS had shipped approximately 10 million rev0 consoles at the time they made the warranty extension announcement.
Many commentators and industry analysts noted this at the time of the announcement.
Personally, I think MS knew that they were shipping 10 million "lemons", doomed to premature failure, but did so anyway, denying the problems until they had a solution (the rev1 console), then announcing the warranty extension. It was a cold, calculating, deceitful move on their part, but MS would happily trade ~$1B in extra warranty repairs for the apparently insurmountable lead that they now have on Sony. Remember that MS's Xbox division has lost ~$5B since inception. What's an extra $1B if it pushes you over the top and secures your place in the living room?
Really, what else could MS do? Stop selling 360s and announce a recall during the one year head-start over Sony that MS worked so hard to get?