Sony will be idiots if they dont reduce price by a considerable amount soon. If you dont get people to know your product soon by increasing your userbase as much as possible in the beginning, it will be overshadowed by the other better known products.
Currently 360 and Wii are gaining much more recognition while the PS3 loses it. 360 is getting more and more games that can spread their existence from mouth to mouth, Wii is getting recognition with tremendous sales alone, while PS3's games and features are overshadowed.
If people see 360's and Wii's everywhere they will like what the see in these consoles. PS3 is currently overshadowed and unseen. Mostly because of price and Sony's overconfidence. I am 100% sure that more than half of the PS3 owners, dont even know the features in their console. Let alone the total of gamers and potential gamers in the industry. Sony simply lets things work by themselves which is so not how Sony used to act in the past.
They also seem to forget what made PS1 such a success and they are repeating SEGA's mistakes with the Saturn. I used to express these worries soem time before it was unveiled in 2005, but unfortunately they are proving correct now.
Lets see what Sony did with the PS1 and what they are doing now.
With PS1 they followed the path of a developer friendly console, and a continuous support of libraries. On the other hand Sega chose a complicated architecture at the last moment with unfinished libraries, got a probably more powerful console in the market that was almost never exploited right if at all. Bad ports, worse looking titles, great but short arcade games.
Sony isnt following PS1's example.
Cost of production. PS1 was much cheaper to produce than the Saturn. The Saturn was very complicated and too expensive. This did not allow for good enough price reductions while Sony could jump to price reduction easilly and thats what they did. All what Sony did was to announce a big price reduction at E3. Sega was forced to make a reduction that not only wasnt enough, it wasnt sustainable by the company's financial position. It generated huge losses and sales werent much improved either! It simply didnt have the games.
Sony's BR may have a strategic cause and helped Sony push BR, but it increases cost a lot. Every component in it is more expensive. They are left with the most expensive console while others can make bigger price cuts.
Sony lost the opportunity to maintain exclusivity for Assasin's Creed and other exclusive-bound titles. Sony was the exact opposite with the PS1. Now MS is doing what Sony used to do in the past. Made Gears of War an exclusive game and possibly Bioshock. Bizzare Studios is making PGR exclusively for the 360, and lets not forget Alan Wake and Mass Effect.
The PS3 is filled with potential to become the best console experience, yet they arent helping it reach the potential by performing well in the market. If it does not perform well in the market who is going to exploit the potential? Nobody.
I wonder why Sony hasnt made any considerable price reduction after all this time. Their decision to reduce the price by only 100 and replace it by a more expensive PS3 doesnt sound like Sony. Why not help your console sell much? 20GB of extra storage arent as valuable as a price reduction to the consumer.
They want to buy a game with the console not extra storage. I dont know what kind of logic works behind their new tactics but they are stupid.
Probably the restructure of their management is to blame I am not sure. Its like they ommit completely the long term results and only think about short term gains. As far as I remember Sony never acted this way with the PS1 or the PS2. Their current tactic is illogical in the console market. If you dont set the right bases at the beginning the product is bound to fail. And if it doesnt do well while the competitors are doing much much better you are increasing chances of being excluded in the future and that your next product will also not do well. Better promote and boost your product in the beginning and not maximize your short term profits than move slowly. They should aim for long term maximization of profits. The others are moving faster already. I think that it is too late now