Prediction Poll: How many PS3's will be sold?

Prediction: How many ps3's will be sold? (millions)


  • Total voters
    110
  • Poll closed .
I never said if MS drops to $330 or $320 or any other number. The rumor has been ps3 @ $400. Such a drastic cut would likely push a reactive cut of at least half that amount. ($50)

It was this statement that confused me.

I'd probably wait and hope MS doesn't drop price again. But they must be ready to drop to $400 if MS does another pricedrop before the end of the year.

It made me believe you expected Sony to lower the price of the PS3 in response to another price drop of the 360 and not the other way around.
 
I actually think MS is looking at their own sales and not really worrying about Sony's price. They saw their August numbers hit 276,000 in the US and they will be monitoring what happens in September and October. If they jump to 400,000 or so, I think they will hold fast at $349 no matter what Sony does. They might bundle some games though.

If they don't gain enough traction from Halo 3 at the new price point (almost inconceivable IMO) they will probably lower to $299 before the Thanksgiving shopping begins.

That's what I would do if I ran a successful manufacturing company. Wait a minute... I do. :)

I don't think MS is in that position ...yet.

Nintendo obviously is as they are selling everything they can make, thus, cutting price would do nothing but hurt their bottom line.

MS on the other hand is still battling with Sony for userbase and mindshare. They have momentum on their side and they have a strong lineup. If I ran the ship, I'd jump into mainstream with the core ($200-250) and push the premium to $300.

Such actions would essentially kill ps3 off in the region before it can get it's legs under it and ensures it will be kept as a nitch product for the duration of the gen in this market.

Across the rest of the world they are in a no win situation in Japan and the majority of the EU. In these regions, pricing has been inefective up to this point, so I would scale it back (no price drops for a good while) and be more aggressive on developer support for games which interest these regions.
 
It was this statement that confused me.



It made me believe you expected Sony to lower the price of the PS3 in response to another price drop of the 360 and not the other way around.

They are connected at the hip IMO. One will dictate a response from the other at this point in the race. How much or little is a variable, but a reaction will happen in short order.
 
They are connected at the hip IMO. One will dictate a response from the other at this point in the race. How much or little is a variable, but a reaction will happen in short order.

They are both connected at the hip with the market that is how I see it.

You know the consumers don´t just base their purchase on the price, all of these companies will spend huge amounts on marketing as well, they will try to create an image of good value matching the price point they are going for.

MS have already set the sails with the multi million marketing of Halo3 and more will follow.
 
They are both connected at the hip with the market that is how I see it.

You know the consumers don´t just base their purchase on the price, all of these companies will spend huge amounts on marketing as well, they will try to create an image of good value matching the price point they are going for.

MS have already set the sails with the multi million marketing of Halo3 and more will follow.

Indeed and good point on marketing.

It was the one thing I thought might (just might) save them from their crazy high msrp at launch. They were once masters at creating hype and thought they might be able to overcome the highprice, but so far, they have been lacking. Lucky for them, nobody has taken their seat of elite yet as MS and N have both been lackluster as well in marketing IMO.

Price isn't the only factor you are correct for sure on that point. I look at price as an inhibitor. If it is low enough, it opens the doors to mass success (Wii, ps2, ps1) but it is still up to the console makers to market the machine correctly and provide games that people desire. If it is too high, the sway mark for convincing people is difficult/impossible to reach.
 
Sony will lower the price of the PS3 before the christmas holidays anyways, they know it is priced to high for the main stream market.

Maybe someone should tell Sony that the current price is too high for Europe too, seeing how they've decided against a price cut here. The PS3 costs ~$850 where I live.
It's bundled with two games (Motor Storm and Resistance, iirc). The same package could very well show up in America--at the $599 price point again. There's no better time to get folks to spend more than Christmas, after all.
 
You should never think about European products in terms of the value of the dollar. The dollar/euro conversion rate is at a record high ... 1 euro gets you 1.4 dollars, these days.

Having said that, don't take no mention of a price cut at TGS to mean anything definitive. First of all, TGS is about Japan, and a price-cut for Japan is less likely as it is already quite low.

Also, if they are planning a price-cut, say, in the month before Christmas, then they would never announce it a month early, quite simply because that has a negative impact on retailers.
 
From today's keynote, PS2 is over 120 million units now and growing

hirai05.jpg


http://www.watch.impress.co.jp/game/docs/20070920/hirai.htm
 
Sony will be idiots if they dont reduce price by a considerable amount soon. If you dont get people to know your product soon by increasing your userbase as much as possible in the beginning, it will be overshadowed by the other better known products.

Currently 360 and Wii are gaining much more recognition while the PS3 loses it. 360 is getting more and more games that can spread their existence from mouth to mouth, Wii is getting recognition with tremendous sales alone, while PS3's games and features are overshadowed.

If people see 360's and Wii's everywhere they will like what the see in these consoles. PS3 is currently overshadowed and unseen. Mostly because of price and Sony's overconfidence. I am 100% sure that more than half of the PS3 owners, dont even know the features in their console. Let alone the total of gamers and potential gamers in the industry. Sony simply lets things work by themselves which is so not how Sony used to act in the past.

They also seem to forget what made PS1 such a success and they are repeating SEGA's mistakes with the Saturn. I used to express these worries soem time before it was unveiled in 2005, but unfortunately they are proving correct now.

Lets see what Sony did with the PS1 and what they are doing now.

With PS1 they followed the path of a developer friendly console, and a continuous support of libraries. On the other hand Sega chose a complicated architecture at the last moment with unfinished libraries, got a probably more powerful console in the market that was almost never exploited right if at all. Bad ports, worse looking titles, great but short arcade games.
Sony isnt following PS1's example.

Cost of production. PS1 was much cheaper to produce than the Saturn. The Saturn was very complicated and too expensive. This did not allow for good enough price reductions while Sony could jump to price reduction easilly and thats what they did. All what Sony did was to announce a big price reduction at E3. Sega was forced to make a reduction that not only wasnt enough, it wasnt sustainable by the company's financial position. It generated huge losses and sales werent much improved either! It simply didnt have the games.
Sony's BR may have a strategic cause and helped Sony push BR, but it increases cost a lot. Every component in it is more expensive. They are left with the most expensive console while others can make bigger price cuts.

Sony lost the opportunity to maintain exclusivity for Assasin's Creed and other exclusive-bound titles. Sony was the exact opposite with the PS1. Now MS is doing what Sony used to do in the past. Made Gears of War an exclusive game and possibly Bioshock. Bizzare Studios is making PGR exclusively for the 360, and lets not forget Alan Wake and Mass Effect.

The PS3 is filled with potential to become the best console experience, yet they arent helping it reach the potential by performing well in the market. If it does not perform well in the market who is going to exploit the potential? Nobody.

I wonder why Sony hasnt made any considerable price reduction after all this time. Their decision to reduce the price by only 100 and replace it by a more expensive PS3 doesnt sound like Sony. Why not help your console sell much? 20GB of extra storage arent as valuable as a price reduction to the consumer.

They want to buy a game with the console not extra storage. I dont know what kind of logic works behind their new tactics but they are stupid.

Probably the restructure of their management is to blame I am not sure. Its like they ommit completely the long term results and only think about short term gains. As far as I remember Sony never acted this way with the PS1 or the PS2. Their current tactic is illogical in the console market. If you dont set the right bases at the beginning the product is bound to fail. And if it doesnt do well while the competitors are doing much much better you are increasing chances of being excluded in the future and that your next product will also not do well. Better promote and boost your product in the beginning and not maximize your short term profits than move slowly. They should aim for long term maximization of profits. The others are moving faster already. I think that it is too late now

Reconsideration of my views. PS3 apparently gets many exclusive announcements right now from TGS. A great deal of them look incredible. Also the reintroduction of rumble. If it is indeed a new vibration technology that would definetely be a plus. If Sony chooses to make a major price cut for Christmas PS3 is bound for a big jump in sales.

The only thing they have to do is handle things the right way.
 
PS3 apparently gets many exclusive announcements right now from TGS. A great deal of them look incredible.

What? Can I have a link, you must be watching a different TGS than me? Torino Game Show? Toronto Game Show? Tulsa Game Show? The one in Tokyo is very "meh" for Sony for now - Home delayed, Dualshock 3 delayed outside Japan, not even new FFXIII footage - and not a single new game announced during the keynote.
 
What? Can I have a link, you must be watching a different TGS than me? Torino Game Show? Toronto Game Show? Tulsa Game Show? The one in Tokyo is very "meh" for Sony for now - Home delayed, Dualshock 3 delayed outside Japan, not even new FFXIII footage - and not a single new game announced during the keynote.

But when have Sony unveiled a whole stack of new games at TGS? They were never going to wait until now to show a host of brand new games.

TGS may have been 'meh' for you, but for PS3 owners its a comforting reminder of the number of games that are definately coming now, and in particular during the first half of 2008.
 
But when have Sony unveiled a whole stack of new games at TGS? They were never going to wait until now to show a host of brand new games.

TGS may have been 'meh' for you, but for PS3 owners its a comforting reminder of the number of games that are definately coming now, and in particular during the first half of 2008.

Well said. Can't wait to get my PS3 soon now! I'm very excited indeed. :D
 
TGS may have been 'meh' for you

I think his point was, if nothing new was shown, how can anyone have a different opinion of the games after the show than they had before the show.

I expect Sony will attempt to do a value-add by including games in the box as they are in EU. Doing so will help get boxes in homes and won't hurt their bottomline any worse than they are currently experiencing.

Speaking of value per dollar: Watch out for the US economy. We are on shaky ground right now and it might stall upcoming gaming sales.
 
Well said. Can't wait to get my PS3 soon now! I'm very excited indeed. :D

Thanks mate.

Wow I thought you already had one given all your posts on GT!

I got mine a month ago and will get Heavenly Sword later this week. Plus you've got Pro Evo 7 next month, Uncharted in December and hopefully (!) Prologue aswell.
 
TGS may have been 'meh' for you, but for PS3 owners its a comforting reminder of the number of games that are definately coming now, and in particular during the first half of 2008.

Nesh said "gets many exclusive announcements", and to me that sounded like "new games". My apologies if that meant "comforting reminders that something is definitely coming". What was he expecting, cancellations left and right?
 
From today's keynote, PS2 is over 120 million units now and growing

Amazingly, some keep buying them.

I'd be interested to know how many ps2's are being bought at this point for replacing dead ones.

Even that market should be drying up soon as putting $130 into a ps2 could be money spent on a next gen console.


Curious also is this shipped or sold?
30 million in one year is a lot of old consoles at this point.
 
Amazingly, some keep buying them.

I'd be interested to know how many ps2's are being bought at this point for replacing dead ones.

Even that market should be drying up soon as putting $130 into a ps2 could be money spent on a next gen console.


Curious also is this shipped or sold?
30 million in one year is a lot of old consoles at this point.
As told at the GC conference, there are emerging markets such as Russia and Middle East where PS2 is still growing.
 
As told at the GC conference, there are emerging markets such as Russia and Middle East where PS2 is still growing.

I caught that as well.

Still, I'd be interested to know what percentage are being purchased as replacements.
 
Nesh said "gets many exclusive announcements", and to me that sounded like "new games". My apologies if that meant "comforting reminders that something is definitely coming". What was he expecting, cancellations left and right?


Well then you were wrong to equate 'announcements' to 'games' then weren't you?

No need to aplogise. Just buy a PS3, and maybe you'll feel a lil less 'meh'.

Besides, I'm looking forward to Motorstorm 2; the first game is awesome.
 
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