My take:
- Good to see MS going back to their 360 roots with performance first
- VRS and DXR will be interesting to see if they give them a notable leg up on the PS5
- I expect another surprise at E3 as I doubt they'll blow their wad this early. Not some magic hidden die or some bs but more along the lines of software capabilities
- Naming doesn't matter much in the long run. People adapt quickly
- This will mean that the baseline for games is going to be pushed up significantly so even PC gamers will have much higher recommended specs which means we'll need to see more out of CPU and GPU on the PC market
- I expect a 2023 refresh when 5nm+ mass production is yield friendly. That should line up nicely with a Zen3+ upgrade and RDNA3 for a notable mid gen upgrade
Overall, it's hard to expect more out of them for a new gen. Well done.
I think a relatively unlikely but plausible surprise would be that the SOC for Xbox Series X was an MCM design. Similar to Ryzen 3 where you can have separate CPU core chips with a unifying UnCore chip.
Except in this case, you would have potentially more than 1 GPU chiplet. So, for example, Lockhart could have one chiplet (6 TFLOP defective salvage chips at the rumored ~4 TFLOP) while Anaconda has 2 chiplets (6 TFLOP fully enabled chiplets). On PC with Dx12 Explicit Multi-adapter we see scaling in excess of 90% when a developer bothers to use it.
Unfortunately, in the PC space, it's generally not worth the effort as the vast majority of machines have just a single GPU, hence any effort to exploit explicit multi-adapter isn't generally worth it.
On consoles however, with their fixed hardware design a developer would be guaranteed a potentially large customer base which has multiple GPU packages.
Again, this is extremely unlikely, IMO, but at least in the console space Dx12's explicit multi-adapter can make commercial sense for developers. The large drawback and gamble for anyone attempting this with console hardware is the potential for developers just not using it. Like the ESRAM on XBO.
However, it would be a rather large surprise.
Regards,
SB