slightly, sure. given bonaire and cape verde clock at 1ghz retail stock, and upclocked versions easily hit 1100 mhz on newegg.
cape verde/bonair tdp is 80-85 watts too, not unreasonable.
1040 seems possible, yes.
most likely it's still just 800.
I concur they'll most likely stay @800Mhz - and I really don't see them going for a ~25% GPU clock increase.
- Remember, as some people have mentioned before, that this isn't "just" a GPU. It's a complex CPU + GPU + a lot of custom stuff + embedded DRAM chip. Raising the GPU frequencies will affect the temperature and leakage/stability of the entire chip, bringing about tons of follow-up problems. Validating all chips for higher GPU frequencies would be the smallest of their problems.
- Furthermore, we're talking about a chip that's probably more than trice the size of Cape Verde (considering that some estimations on this forum tend towards a die size of ~400mm²). I guess striking a sweet binning-spot that leaves them with reasonable yields is hard enough to pull off at moderate clocks - let alone pushing the chip to more aggressive limits.
- Last but not least, they are openly shooting for a "nearly silent" operation of the entire system. Given the size of the box, they seem to have invested heavily in the cooling solution to pull this off. I don't see them sacrificing near-silent operation (which is a MUST for the kind of all-in-one set-top-system they're going for) on the altar of better performance.
I personally still like SONY's approach better - but Microsoft's basic vision is far from being the huge failure a lot of people are prematurely making it out to be.