Nvidia shows signs in [2023]

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With how prices are on 7900 cards they don't really have other choice than to drop 4080's and add something in its place.
I think Nvidia are well prepared to cut prices on the 4080. It's one of the most absurdly overpriced GPU's of all-time, and I'm still completely gobsmacked they had the gall to even launch it like that. It's an upper-midrange 379mm² GPU that's like 10% cut down. It's basically what the 3070 was in the Ampere lineup. I think its main role was to encourage reception and sales of the flagship 4090(which itself is really more equivalent to a 3080Ti than the 3090 in Ampere terms).

This left them plenty of room to eventually reduce prices on the 4080 to something still completely ridiculous like $900-1000, while slotting in either a fully enabled AD103 part or a more cut down AD102 part as a 4080Ti at the previous $1200+ price point. And then they get showered with praise for lowering prices and delivering 'better value', while really only taking things from 'oh my god you cant be serious' to simply 'terrible'. It's such easy PR, cuz gamers are generally easily exploited fools.

Still very salty about how bad RDNA3 is. With Nvidia gone mad with greed, AMD was our only chance to keep the marketplace competitive, and AMD flubbed it at the worst possible time with one of the most disappointing architectures they've ever produced. smh
 
Nvidia didn't force this by creating such 'good value' parts, ffs. You know this perfectly well but you will say ANYTHING to defend Nvidia. Literally anything.
Right, because there are so many better value parts on the market from every IHV.
We've been over this. Your inability to see past your own fantasies doesn't mean that I will say anything bla bla bla.
 
Right, because there are so many better value parts on the market from every IHV.
We've been over this. Your inability to see past your own fantasies doesn't mean that I will say anything bla bla bla.
Just because there might not be better doesn't make the one there is good. No-one is that naive.
 
I think his point is that Nvidia isn’t the only company “gone mad with greed” so why point the finger at them?
Because they're the ones primarily driving it? And have certainly taken it to a much greater extreme than anybody else. This should be plainly obvious.

They have literally raised the prices compared to last generation equivalent parts by over 100% for almost all of the Lovelace range. It's absolutely insane. Nobody else is doing anything like that and it's shocking to me how people here try and defend, downplay or distract from it.
 
Because they're the ones primarily driving it? And have certainly taken it to a much greater extreme than anybody else. This should be plainly obvious.

They have literally raised the prices compared to last generation equivalent parts by over 100% for almost all of the Lovelace range. It's absolutely insane. Nobody else is doing anything like that and it's shocking to me how people here try and defend, downplay or distract from it.

In a competitive market if one player is being greedy the others will undercut and still make a healthy profit. Nobody is defending anything, just pointing out that the ongoing evil Nvidia narrative is a fairy tale.
 
NVIDIA is massively accelerating their Data Center roadmap, now operating on a yearly cadence instead of two years. In 2024 there will be B100 replacing the H100. In 2025 X100 is going to replace both. GB200 and GX200 are going to be the Grace CPU/GPU variants replacing GH200.

NVIDIA-Roadmap-2023-10.png


 
NVIDIA is massively accelerating their Data Center roadmap, now operating on a yearly cadence instead of two years. In 2024 there will be B100 replacing the H100. In 2025 X100 is going to replace both. GB200 and GX200 are going to be the Grace CPU/GPU variants replacing GH200.

NVIDIA-Roadmap-2023-10.png


Full official Nvidia presentation at the link below:

They are killing the competition to the point that AMD cancelled MI350 and on top of that, NV already booked most of CoWoS capacity for the next 2 years (some factories like TSMC CoWoS plant in Zhunan is 75% for Nvidia), leaving no option than letting the competition fighting for the scraps. Right now, NV have globally more than 20 billion dollars in firm purchase commitments with its supply chain. They are full in DC/AI and they put immense cash flow to secure total dominance...
 
Full official Nvidia presentation at the link below:

They are killing the competition to the point that AMD cancelled MI350 and on top of that, NV already booked most of CoWoS capacity for the next 2 years (some factories like TSMC CoWoS plant in Zhunan is 75% for Nvidia), leaving no option than letting the competition fighting for the scraps. Right now, NV have globally more than 20 billion dollars in firm purchase commitments with its supply chain. They are full in DC/AI and they put immense cash flow to secure total dominance...

If data center demand keeps up they will do well. Still very unclear how much juice there actually is in this AI investment cycle. All of their other business lines are looking anemic including gaming.
 
3 Red Flags for Nvidia's Future
October 12, 2023

1. Intel is seeing growth in the GPU market

AMD and Intel both produce their own x86 CPUs, so integrating GPUs into those chips could eventually push Nvidia -- which doesn't make its own x86 CPUs -- out of the PC market. According to JPR, Nvidia's share of the entire GPU market (including discrete GPUs and iGPUs) held steady year over year at 18% in the second quarter of 2023. However, AMD's share dropped from 20% to 14% as Intel's share grew from 62% to 68%.

In the iGPU market, Intel's share grew from 78% to 84% as AMD's share dropped from 22% to 16%. That growth is worrisome because Intel doesn't only produce low-end iGPUs anymore. Intel actually rolled out its own Arc discrete GPUs over the past 17 months, and its upcoming Meteor Lake mobile processors will reportedly include an iGPU that provides comparable performance as Nvidia's mid- to high-end discrete GPUs.

Nvidia still controlled 87% of the discrete GPU market in the second quarter of 2023, according to JPR, compared to AMD's 10% share and Intel's 3% share. But if Intel plays its cards right and continues to roll out new Arc GPUs and iGPUs, it could chip away at Nvidia's base of PC users and curb the growth of its gaming business.

2. Microsoft and OpenAI are developing their own AI chips

However, a recent report from The Information claimed Microsoft could soon unveil its own first-party AI chips to cut costs and reduce its long-term dependence on Nvidia. Another Reuters report claimed OpenAI was mulling the development of its own AI chips for similar reasons.

The development of those first-party chips wouldn't be too surprising, since Alphabet's Google, Meta Platforms, and Amazon are all reportedly developing their first-party AI chips. But if Microsoft and OpenAI also hop aboard that bandwagon, investors should wonder if Nvidia will still produce the default GPUs for accelerating AI tasks in the future.

3. The government expanded export curbs on its AI chips

But this August, the Biden administration tightened those rules to block U.S. investments in Chinese chips, quantum information technologies, and AI. In its latest 10-Q filing, Nvidia also revealed that the U.S. government had introduced new licensing requirements for all exports of A100 and H100 products from "some countries in the Middle East" to other overseas markets like China and Russia. Those tightening restrictions could throttle the overseas growth of its data center business.
 
If data center demand keeps up they will do well. Still very unclear how much juice there actually is in this AI investment cycle. All of their other business lines are looking anemic including gaming.
Yeah it's a good question. And the genuine answer is that we are at the early beginning of this investment cycle. AI, like it or not, will be applied in every layer of our society, both in private and corporate. Right now, it covers maybe only 1% of what its possible to do (for the good or the bad some will say... cough... skynet... cough)
 
In a nutshell: It's not uncommon to find the most successful companies led by the most unliked bosses, but there are exceptions. According to a new survey of 13,171 verified US professionals, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has the highest approval rating (96%), while Apple chief executive Tim Cook also made the top five. The list includes CEOs with the lowest approval ratings, too: Western Digital's David Goeckeler came in joint last with an approval rating of 0%.

2023-10-12-image-j_1100.webp
 
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