~300k
but that contradicts your previous statement
it was obvious to nearly everyone based on hype/preorders that it was gonna sell heaps, that 12 million would of been sitting in the warehouses max 6 months
then again perhaps sony wanted to sell 5million vs MS 3million, cause MS would feel we're not that far behind. OTOH 10million vs MS 3million would set the alarm bells off, and they would drop price/kinect rather quickly
If you can link me to one prediction suggesting ten million by end of FY13, you might have the beginnings of a case. eg. How's about 11 million total next-gen consoles sold by end of 2014?
Last gen the Wii sold like crazy out of the gate and the PS3 did not. So why would Sony bet on their console to such a degree? Confidence is one thing but to assume your console is going to sell 2m/month for six months would be foolish. Every generation there is one console that is a sell out for months: PlayStation, PlayStation2, Wii.
OK this gen its not the wii U, so they had a 50% chance, but based on hype in the months leading up to launch I'ld say it was closer to 70%
To have a big chance of repeating what the ps2, where publishers would only target your device & ignore the others, which in turn leads to more consoles -> more software made -> (console more desirable due to more choice) -> more consoles -> more software -> more desirable. Its a circle. success breeds success. We have the opposite happening now with the wii U. publishers go not many sales of consoles -> not much software sold -> customer doesnt want to buy console with little software coming for it -> not many consoles sold -> vicious circle
Oh but it will (like I said a few posts ago) sell those 12 million within a year, so what if some of those consoles sit in the warehouse for 6 months. OK shifty was saying perhaps it takes 5 years to sell those 12 million consoles. OK in that scenario its not a smart decision but thats even less likely than scotland winning next years world cup (*)
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I don't know about that. Stringer came in years ago and was selling and reducing and rendering Sony lean and mean. Lots of job cuts and the like, all to make Sony better and faster and smarter and...dunno what that really achieved.
That is just in New Zealand.oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooook
In NZ, nintendo were never big, eg last gen when wii's were scarce when they launched, you could of walked into any shop in NZ and picked one up. I think 2006->2010 sales were 360>ps3>wii before ps3 jumped ahead of 360. i.e. it was perhaps the only country in the world where the 360 was the best selling console for years.oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooook
Um they're not betting the company with what I'm saying, certainly less of a gamble than the ps vita which I said on these forums before it launched it would fail unless it had basic phone txting abilities
I think the odds are pretty good to outship it, wii shipped 75.9 million in its first 4 years. So ~4.75 per quarter. I'ld say the odds would be something like
Is TSMC running at full capacity?
Is TSMC running at full capacity?
It could be I don't know, it could also be that depending on how much (or few) they lose per units they are only willing to produce that much till price comes down a little.
Anyway nobody (pretty much) was agreeing with me when I was advocating for Sony to go with a cheap (though competent) more easily mass producible system. Now as Sony system has gained more traction than its competitors I don't expect opinions to change though I'm still convinced that a cheaper/lesser system was the way to go for Sony. Looking where MSFT ended in perfs and perfs per $ a tinier SoC +4GB would not have been too shabby. If they had more systems available and a price even more competitive I think it could have been a successful Blitzkrieg type of strategy.
Anyway I will quit being so critical, Sony choices have so far proven better so I guess it speaks for it-self more than my rant
