All purpose sales and sales rumors/anecdotes thread next gen+

[Rangers]

I'm not disagreeing with your numbers, but I am wondering if Microsoft put such a big focus on NA sales back when 360 launched, as they did now? If 360 sales were "low" within the first 3 months might be more supply limited because they might have had a higher allocation in the rest of the world? How do the numbers match up then?

Yes 360 was VERY supply constrained. So was PS3 it's first 2 months.

MS/Sony just weren't able to manufacture many PS3/360 at launch. They were able to manufactore a ton of One/PS4.

The 360 was supplied constrained and was gaining momentum. This is a completely different scenario from the XB1 which had plenty of supply and no momentum.

360's first post holiday 6 months:

January 2006 -249k
February 2006 -161k
March 2006 -192k
April 2006 -295k
May 2006 -221k
June 2006 -277k

Solid sales but nothing explosive nor indicating a huge surge when not supply constrained. I dont recall for 100% sure but I am 99.9% sure 360 wasn't in shortage by Feb/March, it just experienced somewhat weak sales those months.

 

[DrJay24]

What happened after March, more stock or more demand?

 

[Rangers]

What happened after March, more stock or more demand?

Well who knows, but I'm guessing maybe Easter (NPD actually usually calls out Easter, surprisingly)? Maybe some tax returns effect? (though IIRC that happens the most in February). Other than that just normal variation I guess, unless I'm missing something.

 

[djskribbles]

Tax returns most likely.

 

[DrJay24]

Edit: Looking at all other years, March was always bigger than April for the 360, so I'm going out on a limb and saying it was supply constrained in 2006. Even then, 2006 was a peak until 2010 during the Spring and Summer months.

January 2006 | 250,000
February 2006 | 161,000
March 2006 | 192,000
April 2006 | 295,000
May 2006 | 221,000
June 2006 | 277,000
July 2006 | 207,000
August 2006 | 205,000
September 2006 | 259,000
October 2006 | 218,000
November 2006 | 511,000
December 2006 | 1,100,000

January 2007 | 294,000
February 2007 | 228,000
March 2007 | 199,000
April 2007 | 174,0000
May 2007 | 155,000
June 2007 | 198,400
July 2007 | 170,000
August 2007 | 276,700
September 2007 | 527,800
October 2007 | 366,000
November 2007 | 770,000
December 2007 | 1,260,000

January 2008 | 230,000
February 2008 | 254,600
March 2008 | 262,000
April 2008 | 188,000
May 2008 | 186,600
June 2008 | 219,000
July 2008 | 205,000
August 2008 | 195,200
September 2008 | 347,200
October 2008 | 371,000
November 2008 | 836,000
December 2008 | 1,440,000

January 2009 | 309,000
February 2009 | 391,000
March 2009 | 330,000
April 2009 | 175,000
May 2009 | 175,000
June 2009 | 240,600
July 2009 | 202,900
August 2009 | 215,400
September 2009 | 352,600
October 2009 | 249,700
November 2009 | 819,500
December 2009 | 1,310,000

January 2010 | 332,800
February 2010 | 422,000
March 2010 | 338,400
April 2010 | 185,400
May 2010 | 194,600
June 2010 | 451,700
July 2010 | 443,500
August 2010 | 356,700
September 2010 | 484,000
October 2010 | 325,000
November 2010 | 1,370,000
December 2010 | 1,860,000

January 2011 | 381,000
February 2011 | 535,200
March 2011 | 433,000
April 2011 | 297,000
May 2011 | 270,000
June 2011 | 507,000
July 2011 | 277,000
August 2011 | 308,000
September 2011 | 483,000
October 2011 | 393,000
November 2011 | 1,700,000
December 2011 | 1,700,000

http://vgsales.wikia.com/wiki/NPD_Seventh_generatio

 

[DuckThor Evil]

Oblivion was released on March 20 2006, I'd say it boosted the sales a bit.

 

[zed]

Solid sales but nothing explosive nor indicating a huge surge when not supply constrained. I dont recall for 100% sure but I am 99.9% sure 360 wasn't in shortage by Feb/March, it just experienced somewhat weak sales those months.

No From memory I think it was about 6 months before supply of 360's became plentiful. japan in a few days, Im picking ps4 400-450k. Theyre just not into consoles there

so april 24 & then theres supply, thus nov->mar NPD's wont be a true reflection of demand for the xbox360
http://arstechnica.com/uncategorized/2006/04/6655/

 

[Rangers]

I'm not so sure, i dont remember widespread ongoing 360 supply constraints past the holidays.

Anyways sales never showed a massive monthly spike.

 

[Wynix]

Can we predict JP PS4 launch numbers here? first 24hrs, first week etc.

My guess;
Day 1: 530k
Week 1: 800k

 

[chris1515]

Can we predict JP launch numbers here? first 24hrs, first week etc.

My guess;
Day 1: 530k
Week 1: 800k
End of month: 1mil

My Guess

I think the best the PS4 can do is sold like PS3 (~10millions) at end of generation

Day One 300-500K

end of month: 400-600K

 

[London Geezer]

Can we predict JP PS4 launch numbers here? first 24hrs, first week etc.

My guess;
Day 1: 530k
Week 1: 800k

They will sell as many as they put aside for Japan. We don't know that number but maybe someone can extrapolate it from the number of units they've been producing minus the number of units they have disributed to other countries.
I'll be very surprised if Sony can actually provide a PS4 to everyone that wants one in Japan right now.
Then again I'm not sure what Japan wants right now in terms of home consoles - I had a feeling they're more of a portable kind of people.

 

[Goodtwin]

The home console market in Japan is not in great shape. I am expecting the PS4 to sell nearly a million units in its first week, but then slow way way down. It will likely fall to 20k a week after the first month.

 

[Strange]

The sales rate in other parts of Asia have not slowed down. In the markets where the PS4 have launched since mid-December, they are currently out of stock so I don't expect any slowdowns anytime soon.

If by home console market you mean the WiiU and the several years old PS3 (which is actually getting decent sales recently due to some good Japanese titles), we all know what to think about them.

 

[messyman]

Can we predict JP PS4 launch numbers here? first 24hrs, first week etc.

My guess;
Day 1: 530k
Week 1: 800k

I'd say around 300k for week 1. Home console market isn't as healthy as it used to be in Japan.

 

[Xbat]

I say 350k to 400k

 

[Deleted member 11852]

750k and probably a ton of Vitas too. There are over 125m people in Japan!

 

[BoardBonobo]

From first signs (the PS4 rocketed to #1 position on amazon.jp within minutes of launch) I think they are going to have the same kind of opening sales as they had in the rest of the world. It's like people have decided to get a console again after giving the last generation a miss.

I'm going for >~800k in the first 48hrs.

 

[Deleted member 11852]

>~800k

Which is it? Upto 800k or more than 800k?

Get off the fence, man!

 

[Xalion]

Which is it? Upto 800k or more than 800k?

Get off the fence, man!

I'm going to estimate somewhere above, below, or around 400k .

(Because it wouldn't be fair of me to comment without my own prediction, I think it will be approximately 500k. I don't see it being too much below 450k. I don't think they would have dedicated a full million to Japan though.)

 

[BoardBonobo]

Which is it? Upto 800k or more than 800k?

Get off the fence, man!

But I like my fence...:smile: