Mintmaster
Veteran
Nobody's saying it has absolutely no impact whatsoever. They're just saying that the impact of a PS3 is far, far less than that of a standalone player.Well the facts do not support this claim. HD-DVD has like 60% of the standalone market and yet BD are like 70% of HD movie sales. How does that work out if the PS3 has no impact on movie sales?
Even the article in the link you provided ended on this note: "Of course, if you count the PlayStation 3 (PS3) as a Blu-ray player, there are twenty times more total Blu-ray players on the market." You honestly think PS3 can keep this ratio up? By the time HD-DVD sells 1M units, will PS3 sell 20M?
Heck no. In another post, someone said the ratio was only 5:1 in North America, but even that is impossible to sustain. HD-DVD's lead over BluRay in standalone players could quadruple by year's end. PS3 sales won't. That's the key point here. PS3's share of the HD player market will only fall now, just as it has been ever since its Euro launch. The same is probably true of the XBox player, since the standalones are better and now much cheaper (in terms of total cost). Even with my early skepticism of the PS3's effect as a movie player, I never expected its impact to be so fleeting.
PS3 could have given a knockout blow to HD-DVD, but poor sales and a very weak movie attach rate failed to do so. Since April, it's not even a 2:1 advantage in disc sales, which is nowhere near enough to secure victory.
HD-DVD will live for quite a while now. If it ever starts down the road to obsolescence, my guess is that the earliest we'll see it is in 2009, assuming BluRay can reach cost parity and dominate player sales in holiday 2008, and it'll probably stick around for a while after that.