"it could quite easily overtake in under 2 years."
Mid 2009, that would mean the the 360 would have had the lead at least 3.5 years of this gen.
And your idea of the PS3 catching up in 1 qtr is as likely as my scenario where MS blows up and never ships another console and it would still take the PS3 over a year to catch up simply based on the PS3's price point.
I'll go on record right now and say the PS3 will NEVER catch the 360 in worldwide sales. The 360 is a moving target that sells consistently and is just about ready for a price cut and has more than enough 3rd party and exclusive game support to match PS3 sales through it's lifetime.
It's going to reach the 199$ price point much sooner than the PS3 and it's current lead will take it through the most important years of this gen.
Mid 2009, that would mean the the 360 would have had the lead at least 3.5 years of this gen.
And your idea of the PS3 catching up in 1 qtr is as likely as my scenario where MS blows up and never ships another console and it would still take the PS3 over a year to catch up simply based on the PS3's price point.
I'll go on record right now and say the PS3 will NEVER catch the 360 in worldwide sales. The 360 is a moving target that sells consistently and is just about ready for a price cut and has more than enough 3rd party and exclusive game support to match PS3 sales through it's lifetime.
It's going to reach the 199$ price point much sooner than the PS3 and it's current lead will take it through the most important years of this gen.
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