Word...Joe DeFuria said:
Pioneer: 4-7million PS3 units to ship this year?
- Thread starter Nicked
- Start date
Assuming the ps3 launches in Japan in June how is 4 million units in 6 months impressive???Nicked said:
fulcizombie said:
What would you consider impressive then?!
Some comments on the 1M at launch rumors:
http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=2071&Itemid=2
http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=2071&Itemid=2
"As few as" a million units at launch? That's "few"!?
Sounds like a usual figure to me. The big concern is how long it takes to accumulate that million before launch, and thus how well the supply chain can be fed. 4 million in the first year would be disappointing I think. 7 million would be respectable.
There's always alternatives.
When PS2 launched and had massive shortages, people had alternatives in the DC, PS1 and N64. In the end if a console succeeds, it's because it's a good console. When eventually Sony can produce enough PS3's, they will sell IF THEY'RE GOOD. Which we know they will. Or at least, enough to sell more than respectably.
In the end PS2 will still outsell anything else for a few months, so i don't think Sony is very worried.
When PS2 launched and had massive shortages, people had alternatives in the DC, PS1 and N64. In the end if a console succeeds, it's because it's a good console. When eventually Sony can produce enough PS3's, they will sell IF THEY'RE GOOD. Which we know they will. Or at least, enough to sell more than respectably.
In the end PS2 will still outsell anything else for a few months, so i don't think Sony is very worried.
Pioneer and anyone who thinks Sony can pull off 4 to 7 million consoles this year is living in a dream world. I'm seriously doubting a 2006 release now outside of Japan. I don't have any inside info or anything other than the usual crumbs of information we all hear on the net. However, I just don't think Sony will launch anything until the Fall, and when they do it will be for Japan.
If Microsoft is having fab problems with a less complex system, why would I assume Sony will do it better?
If Microsoft is having fab problems with a less complex system, why would I assume Sony will do it better?
Potentially, because MS are having components fabricated all over the place and assembled, whereas Sony are producing a fair bit of the wizatry themselves. So far it seems Sony have been meeting their targets for hardware releases. There's plenty of potential for problems in things like BluRay and RSX, but I don't see any reason to assume the worst (other than new techs are plagued with problems!). 4 million in a year, whether you measure that as April 07 or Jan 1st, is a low figure for a machine if it launches by June. PS2 managed 6 million in 9 months and that was no less complex for it's time (save perhaps BluRay)Metal said:
Joe DeFuria
Legend
Personally I think Sony will ship somewhere between 100 consoles and 50 million consoles this year.
This is based on info from "insider sources" that I cannot disclose...
This is based on info from "insider sources" that I cannot disclose...
Joe DeFuria said:
now don't be silly... we all know it's between 2 and 150 million.
scooby_dooby
Legend
According to this, 7 months after the japanese launch sony had sold just over 3 millon units.Shifty Geezer said:
http://www.gaming-age.com/cgi-bin/specials/special.pl?spec=ps2launch2&pagenum=1
BR is much more cutting edge than DVD at the time, I dunno, 4million seems high for this year 7 million seems way to optimistic for just 6-7 months after launch.
Johnny Awesome
Veteran
That's not very many units. MS will probably have 10 million units out by then.
scooby_dooby
Legend
Johnny Awesome said:
it would be a big blow to MS's strategy to gain an early lead, affecting whether dev's chose 360 as the base platform, the # of cross-platform titles, and whether developers dedicate their best teams to the console. With a lead through 2007, 360 would be in a good position as market leader, to attract more games that it wouldn't get otherwise IMO.
With that said, even if you take worst case scenario for MS and PS3 outsells 360 by 2007, at least they aren't stuck playing catch up like last gen, so still stand to expand their marketshare, just not as much...
