I can tell you right now, every one I know to include family members, will be buying an HDD player when the cost of them reduce to levels we are confortable with. But it will happen. We also plan on having more han 1 player and more than the current 1 HDTV we currently have. And PQ/SQ matters to all of us.
How many people/families actually own 5 DVD players?
In any case, surely such people would buy one Blu-ray player/PS3 and keep it in the living room, and perhaps buy more as the price comes down. I dont think any of the hardware manufacturers are expecting people to go into Walmart looking to buy 5 Blu-ray players to go with their shopping.
How many people/families actually own 5 DVD players?
In any case, surely such people would buy one Blu-ray player/PS3 and keep it in the living room, and perhaps buy more as the price comes down. I dont think any of the hardware manufacturers are expecting people to go into Walmart looking to buy 5 Blu-ray players to go with their shopping.
I wonder how DVD ever took off. I couldn't even play my collection of videos on my DVD player.The world is not shifting to HDM. Ethusist sure but the average person is not especially on a format that is incompatible with the 5 SD players they have in the house/car.
I own 10 devices that can play a dvd.
4 standalone DVD players, 1 ps2, 1 xbox 360, 2 desktop computers, 1 laptop, 1 portable dvd player.
I wonder how DVD ever took off. I couldn't even play my collection of videos on my DVD player.
It will be exactly the same as it was with DVD, families will buy one blu-ray player for the living room, and then as it gets cheaper they will buy them for other rooms.
Are you really trying to suggest every family suddenly switched to DVD when it came out buying 5 for every room in their house/car?
The only thing really different this time round is my collection of DVDs won't be completely useless on my blu-ray player.
I love all the people who have the tinfoil hats. MS took a gamble on HD-DVD it is like one of us dropping 10 bucks on the 1000 to 1 shot at the races. MS made a small investment that could of paid off huge.
The world is not shifting to HDM. Ethusist sure but the average person is not especially on a format that is incompatible with the 5 SD players they have in the house/car.
# Downloads are in VC-1 (aka WMVHD) at 720p, 6.8Mbps video with 5.1 surround.
# An average HD movie download should be between 4-5GB, and a two hour SD movie would be 1.6GB.
# An average 1 hour (44 min) HDTV download should be about 2.2GB, and an average 1/2 hour (22 min) HDTV download should be about 1GB. A 1 hour SDTV download should be about 600MB, and a 1/2 hour SDTV download should be about 300MB.
What was critical mass (i.e. what #s are you talking about)?
I'm referring to the point at which something becomes dominant in retail. I don't think a $300 BR player is going to have a significant impact on sales. HD media sales will probably pick up somewhat this year, but I doubt they'll achieve 5% of the market unless we start hearing about $100 standalones and media prices more in line with DVD (within ~10%).
$300 for a standalone is a long way from mass adoption. DVD players didn't reach critical mass till $50.
Err...right.
There were tens of millions of DVD players on the market before this point. You're overstating the point greatly.
Certainly people here in the UK wont be waiting for Blu-ray players to hit £25 before they jump into the HD revolution. They're just not that price-sensitive.
Besides, if you can afford a £500 HDTV, you can certainly afford a £100 HD player, and you are certainly more likely to do so than the owners of SDTV were to buy DVD players, because there is so much less available HD broadcast content than there was SDTV broadcasts when DVD was introduced.
The US? Worldwide? If we take the US as a reference, since we're talking about prices in $ and the HD market seems furthest along there: Standalone player sales entered into the 'tens of millions' (>20) sometime around July 2001 (after roughly 4 years on the market).There were tens of millions of DVD players on the market before this point. You're overstating the point greatly.
