I'm inclined to believe Carl B has an inside source at this point. I noticed he was the first one saying the lower price on the 60GB was just to clear out stock, as if a hunch. Then sure enough a day or two later, that news was confirmed. I think it was more than a hunch.
Of any inside source I have, none of them are on the channel side... so I'm happy to say that that prediction was just simply my own analysis. But I wouldn't call it a hunch either - the way the PS3 is manufactured this time, we've suspected since the beginning that Sony would be introducing different improvements (mainly hard drive related) as the consoles aged. How they would introduce them into the channel without taking a charge for all their existing stock was unknown - but that was a mtter of grave importance, because that could end up being a *lot* of money... and you can't just sell the 60GB and the 80GB at retail together for the same price; consumers and retailers alike would not tolerate that.
Most of my articles and predictions and such on PS3 pricing and channel-related changes focus on the fabrication side with the trickle down effect it causes, so really I was just applying that logic to this situation. Sony thankfully confirmed it for us shortly thereafter with this whole debacle, but like when Tretton said they would"support both equally" at retail, I knew that was BS just because, well... that's not good for Sony from a fabrication standpoint.
I'm still solidly in the 60GB sells out, 80GB does like the PSP bundles of yore, loses the bundle, drops to fit the 'new' PS3 mainstream pricepoint.
But on this particular matter, somehow I still doubt him. I dont see why keep the 80Gb at 599 at all, even temporarily? Why pack in the game? Is the game still going to be packed in at 499? I doubt that, so why bother packing it in at all?
I just dont see any reason to announce a "temporarily" higher price on the 80GB model if the plan is to drop it once the 60GB sells through. It doesn't make any sense at all, as basically no 80GB models will sell through at the $599 price, if that's the case.
They have to because if they don't position the 80GB - however ostensibly - as a higher value than the 60GB, they're facing a situation where the 60GB's will sit forever, and they'll eventually be faced with a write-off. The 60GB's have to be sold, so temporarily they're the only ones enjoying the cut. In the interim, $600 gets you a game and 20GB thrown in (yes, not a great value).
Whatever Sony is doing is very confusing, and they have basically removed all clarity and goodwill from the announce of $499. I can appreciate the simplicity of Sony only having one permanent sku, for example. But this whole matter has been not simple.
Even if they lose out on a few sales of a 80GB sku at 599 (and it can only be a few), just for simplicity's sake they should have said 499 and be done with it. All sku's, all the time.
However many 80GB bundles they sell in the interim - small though the number will be - will help to absorb some of the expense from lowering the value of 60GB inventory. The part I bolded though is just to highlight that I don't think that Sony itself is cause of the confusion, but rather its execs... who don't seem to be on the same page.