I don't believe in a magic formula. A manufacturer is ideally wanting to be serving what the greater market wants (PlayStation, PS2, PS4) or try to convince the greater market on some new concept (PS3) which may or may not work. But it's not something that is reliably repeatable as market preferences can and do change although from where I sit, the video games market has changed very little compared to markets like the mobile phone space or car space.
'Substitute' is an absolute noun, in creative terms it's impossible to have a 'perfect substitute'. Even within a franchise, if you have hankering to play Halo 3 or Mass Effect 2, for a particular reason but you lent to a friend, playing any other Halo or Mass Effect game won't be a perfect substitute. You're playing someything you didn't what to play because what else are you going to do?
Elitism is having a superior view or attitude and being dismissive other views that are contrary to yours. Because I know what I want doesn't make me elitist. When I chose a game, book, movie or TV show it's because that is what tickles my fancy at that particular time. Occasionally, very occasionally, I'll be in one of those moods where I don't care but that's pretty rare.
Speaking for myself, I'm not "attacking" your categorisation, I'm saying for that me none of what you presented as substitutes work for me. I didn't follow any of your point about games put up for narrative awards. I've not played all those games but the ones I have (or know) are all heavy on narrative.
]Th narrative awards are there to recognise good story-telling in videogames, it's not - as I believe you think - for games where narrative is that game's raison d'être.
It's not elitism. Based on your posts you're somebody who can kill time with something, rather than something specific. This principle isn't even about exclusives. Again, if you wake up and think "I really want to play Halo 2" but it's not accessible, you'll probably play something you didn't have wake up wanting to play. It's called making do.
Some of us, don't want to do that. Or do as little as possible.
Again, you're mentally tying this to exclusivity when it's not. But the preferences and/or desires for something specific you claim not to understand, exist very much in other creative fields. If you're really looking forward to the next episode of Game of Thrones episode, there is no damn substitute for that.
Or the book. Finish the fucking books, man!!!
SUBSTITUTE = NOT THAT THING YOU WANTED.