TSMC wafer pricing

These are all just market rumours and speculation as usual. TSMC is ASML's biggest customer and has more than 50% of the global installed base of EUV machines. They always planned to take a high NA machine as early as possible for R&D purposes, they're just not buying in volume yet that's all. The timing and/or cost does not work for their current nodes up to A16. The next full node shrink, which is due in 2028 I think, may use high NA but TSMC haven't decided yet.
 
Which AI chips are on 3nm?
Well Nvidia is widely speculated to move to 3nm next year for Blackwell's evolution. This article is talking about the situation going forward, not just right now. Not saying it's a credible story, necessarily. Plausible, though.
 
Well Nvidia is widely speculated to move to 3nm next year for Blackwell's evolution. This article is talking about the situation going forward, not just right now. Not saying it's a credible story, necessarily. Plausible, though.
The article seems fairly plausible. Currently only Apple and Intel are ramping 3nm in volume, but by the end of this year/next year we will see multiple other product ramps including Apple's A18 SoC(s), M4 & derivatives ; AMD Turin Dense, Strix Halo, MI350; Qualcomm and Mediatek mobile SoCs, and perhaps a few others but it seems clear that TSMC's 3nm is in high demand. Nvidia has surely prebooked capacity for Rubin but it does have sufficient competition for capacity for the foreseeable future.
 
We recently reported on how the Taiwan giant was raising prices of its 3nm node, and it looks like the businesses have now agreed, according to a report by Morgan Stanley. This will likely affect tech behemoths like Apple, NVIDIA, and Qualcomm and would potentially reflect increased consumer product costs.
 
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5nm should be getting price cuts in the near future as the equipment is nearly fully depreciated for the initial production lines at least (TSMC operates on a 5 year depreciation cycle and the equipment was installed towards end 2019). Once 3nm fully ramps next year, 5nm utilisation should also drop which would also be a factor. TSMC is also introducing a lower cost N4C process which should be a long life node like N6.

On 3nm getting price hikes, it's not surprising. HPC and AI demand is still strong. Though a large part of initial 3nm production was sold at lower prices years ago so it won't have much of an immediate impact.
 
[Journalist Note]: It looks like TSMC has started to take its US ambitions much more seriously, since the potential "transfer" of advanced chip packaging technology to the nation shows that the Taiwan giant is no more reluctant in shifting its production lines into the US. And, given that packaging technologies such as CoWoS is in hot-demand, the TSMC-Amkor partnership will surely prove to be a breakthrough for the US semiconductor industry, and the ambitions of the government to reach a self-subsistent semiconductor production capability.
 

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