One would expect the story of 3xxx Vs 2xxxx to somewhat mimic that of GT vs G80 - faster in shader-limited cases, slower in bandwidth limited ones.
The real question for most folk will be how well the 3870 beats the 2900. Even if it's a bit slower to the GT it would slide by as long as it's faster then the 2900. Specially in AA department without the needed to for deferred rendering.
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