2600/8600 series have hit the $100 level, except for the GTS. I dont see a 256MB 8800GT hitting that level any time soon.Where are the $100 cards on this list? Afterall, it is the 8600 GTS which the 3850 competes against.
Nvidia has to have the 256MB 8800GT out and in huge quantities so that the price levels drop to what they promised initially (>$200). Until then the 3850's main competitor will be the 8600GTS.