Sure, I meant before we got the sdk docs. After that it made little sense to speculate (some did, balanced at 14, clocks not final, etc..). We had a pretty wild range even for scorpio, like a triple sku, a streaming stick, $99 odd-less xb1s, and last minute upgrade to 10TF. That was all crazy and it was the official technical thread, and it continued after MS literally announced it was a single sku at 6TF. We had excursions into crazy distribution media before ps4/xb1 launch, but it wasn't anything close to a concensus.Last gen it was handed to us in leaked docs. Other than some tin-foil hat stuff, there wasn't much to speculate on.
This gen RT was very much in doubt (until it was officially announced). Navi being more efficient in applying it's theoretical performance to actual games workloads was hoped for but, given AMD's recent performance wasn't considered a given. And when this was shown, it lead many (myself included) to revise our expectations downward since a configuration with fewer TF could deliver the prior expected performance. Some were skeptical of SSDs being possible due to cost and storage requirements for next gen. Zen2 was expected, but some wondered if it would be stripped down and I don't think many saw 3.5GHz coming. We hit the baseline of what RAM could be expected, but we topped out at 12 last gen and I think 16 was pretty much the least that could be expected (for the performance tier, anyway). Many expected, even demanded, more.
Most of all, though, while some individual specs are more or less of a departure from the consensus, I don't think anyone thought we would be getting all of these things. One spec higher meant one spec had to be compromised. But, ultimately, the only thing that you could argue was compromised was the RAM amount. To me, that is the surprise. Console hardware is powerful again, in absolute terms, and that's pretty exciting. I wasn't sure they had it in them.
Ram amount always remain a reasonable question, the target can be fluid, since the ram market is unstable and they can increase it as late as 9 months before launch.
Personally I really didn't think we'd go back to >200W and the unveiling of the first navi cards TDP made me go back to 10TF absolute max. But from that point, it took two seconds looking at the SeriesX case that everything falls into place. If they have a high wattage compromise, we still predicted it was possible but less likely for marketing and BOM reasons. The concensus on technical limits still apply.
Once we established rational limits based on the general technical knowledge of posters here, it really narrow down the possibilities. There can still be surprises!
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