Jov said:
function said:
Many consoles have a market long after they get officially superceded, with existing games having a shelf life greater than their launch period and new titles coming out to meet demand. The PSOne is receving titles 4 years after it's successor came out, and is still slowly (but surely) generating income for Sony and many 3rd parties.
Xbox won't die over night, but MS might wish it does when Xenon is out. Also PSOne is not the best example for your "not dying over" argument either
function (not supporting either btw), given Sony officially supports the platform. Whereas for the Xbox MS might stop production, hence support.
The reference to the PSOne was a single sentence general comment on just how successful consoles
can be after their successor is arrives, and wasn't specifically directed towards the Xbox and Xenon or meant to predict what would happen with them.
The argument about dying overnight was one wazoo introduced, about the DC.
Getting on to your point, yeah, MS may want to stop making Xboxes around the time of (or even before) Xenon's launch as they're losing so much money on them. Even if they did however, there would still be 15+ million Xbox owners around, some of whom wouldn't be in the first 200,000 people to buy Xenon and who would continue to want Xbox software for a while.
Even if MS wanted to stop making the Xbox, they wouldn't want to pass up the oppotunity to make money on software sold for the machine (even if this was just old games like Halo 2 that were still selling). Besides, as I believe Qroach said, MS is still actively signing new 3rd party developers for Xbox development, while Sony are now reluctant to do this for PS2 (can't find the quote right now, correct me if I'm wrong). It doesn't look like they'll be trying to force the Xbox out of existance next year.
My own opinion is that while they may be reluctant to keep competing on price, Microsoft would still rather sell their Xboxes to consumers than see them buy a none Xenon product. And at $250 - $300 there will be a lot of people not queing up for Xenon initially. With it's links to the PC world and suitability for upgraded PS2 ports there could foreseably be a couple of good years of software left for the Xbox, and Microsoft must be aware that simply cutting off the Xbox won't reliably force developers and consumers over to Xenon.
Infact it wouldn't suprise me to see some games jointly developed for PC, Xbox and Xenon over the next couple of years, much in the same way that games are co-developed for Xbox and PC at the moment.