Dont PC gpu's like double in power in 6 months??
Not lately, no. 8800GTX has been the high end for a year (November 06-today), with no immediate end to it's reign in sight.
Sure, Nvidia just released a card 90% as good for $250, but the high end hasn't moved in a year regardless. I'm pretty sure it was about 1.5 years before that. 7800GTX came out in early 2005. Nvidia bumped the clockspeed a few times (7900 series), but they didn't come out with a major new architecture until 8800GTX.
Too me, it's still too early to get a good handle on next gen consoles. Moore's law seems to be really struggling these days. They haven't even been able to cost reduce the current consoles to near a reasonable standard yet, let alone a next gen console. I also expect the we will not see a new generation until 2011 or 12, which would mean the cycle lengthened as well, which would be partly another consequence of the difficulty facing Moore's law. It takes longer to reach hardware profitability today. Also, the Wii has somewhat thrown expectations of power on it's ear. What if one of Sony or MS decide they dont want to go with a extremely powerful console next time around, but rather just a mid-specced one? It's possible.
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