How come there is no next generation Nvidia speculation?

10 TFLOPs from nVidia by 2018

http://www.eetimes.com/electronics-news/4210815/Nvidia-describes-10-teraflops-processor

Somehow the numbers don't add up. Will the cores be running at close to 5Ghz, or will there be new instructions doing more FLOP's per clock. :)



My main question is, if this Echelon chip (or system) due in 2018 will be an architecture beyond Maxwell due in 2013? I suppose it's an obvious yes, but 10 TFLOPs does not sound like alot given that we're already at 2~2.5 TFLOPs in current gaming GPUs. Then dual GPU cards are 4~5 TFLOPs. Or perhaps that means double-precision floating point performance, as far as Echelon's 10 TFLOPs is concerned.

How much DP floating point does GF100 / Fermi provide? Isn't Kepler meant to be 3-4 times more powerful in 2011, and then another 3-4 times that for Maxwell in 2013? I know the roadmap for Kepler and Maxwell were all about performance per mm2, but still...

I'm very confused.

I'd be more impressed if the 2018 Echelon target was 50~100 TFLOPs... but then isn't this supposed to be an Exascale platform meaning at least 1 ExaFlop?
Oh well then it would be many 10 TFLOP chips to reach 1 ExaFlop.


I'm still very confused, even as I try to understand what the goals are.



Anyway, it would be VERY interesting to see what 1 ExaFlop could do if targeted at realtime graphics, be it rasterization, raytracing or a hybrid of both. Could current high-budget CG feature films be rendered realtime on a 1 ExaFlop system? PlayStation7 anyone?
 
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1. Adding lots more schedulers & dispatch ports to each core. Although I'm not sure how the inter-scheduler arbitration scales, this might be expensive.
It will probably be dual issue, with the ability to schedule two MADs ... that's more NVIDIA's style.

PS. it's obviously a very high level paper design, very unlikely to have much to do with their next GPU.
 
It will probably be dual issue, with the ability to schedule two MADs ... that's more NVIDIA's style.

PS. it's obviously a very high level paper design, very unlikely to have much to do with their next GPU.


You mean next GPUs, Kepler (2011) and Maxwell (2013), right?
 
2018=PS4, right?

And Echelon is a system, not an architecture



off-topic: PS4 = 2012/2013, PS5 = 2020, methinks.

back on-topic: Echelon is indeed a system, not a chip architecture, I understand that now, after re-reading the posted article and reading other articles on it.
 
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