My guess is that HectonXX (too damn hard to pronounce/spell/remember...
) will be "simple" shrink to 28 nm to get a feel for the new process before a brand new architecture is launched. Even if they do add clusters to cypress's replacement, I am expecting cypress's successor to have less area (~250 mm2) than cypress since IMHO, cypress is too big to fit in the sweet spot.
However, nv will chase the 28 nm node like crazy as well...., so expect a shrink of GF100 within ~6 months of GF100.
At any rate, I have put together some efficiency charts for DP
http://picasaweb.google.com/rpg.314/GPUPics#5429684576081615058
and SP
http://picasaweb.google.com/rpg.314/GPUPics#5429684576081615058
Assumptions,
GF100 clock-1.5G for SP and 1.3G for DP (Teslas's are clocked lower), LRB clock 2G for both SP and DP.
GF100 area 570 mm2 and LRB area 600mm2.
GF100 power 250 W for SP and 225W for DP. LRB power 250 W for both.
GF100 has 14 SM's for DP and 16 for SP. LRB has 32 cores for the 600mm2 version.
Needless to say, flops aren't everything, but I feel it is a useful pointer nonetheless.