vissicitudes said:First let me preface by saying I'm a PS3-only owner, I'm a big Sony supporter, and this is not a PS3 hate thread, so please no trolling or console warz.
After thinking about it, really the PS3's only killer app right now is Metal Gear Solid 4. What do I mean by a killer app? It's pretty subjective, but I see it as a game that not only sells boatloads but also pushes a system. It is a game that people will buy a system just to play that one game. Most great games are not killer apps. Games such as Uncharted, Ratchet, LBP, Resistance, Motorstorm, Killzone 2, InFamous, etc. They are what I'll call "AA" games for lack of a better term, that are highly dependent on the size of the console base and do not push systems.
I see this as a big, big problem for Sony. Most people blame the PS3's lack of hardware/software sales on price, and they overlook this. Having a few killer apps would push tons of systems, build up a solid base, and then the other "AA" games will be able to piggyback off of that large userbase, which means more software sales, which offsets hardware losses, which means the console can be sold for less to expand the userbase even more.
Now, the main contention point: PS3's only killer app thus far is MGS4. While the PS3 has very strong exclusives, they aren't killer apps. Compare them to real killer apps on the 360 and Wii and you'll see what I mean.
Gears of War - sold 1 million 1st month in NPD (#1), pushed tons of units, 511k 360s sold, more than Wii's and PS3's sold in the month despite their launch months
Halo 3 - sold 3.3 million 1st month in NPD (#1), 360's sales doubled for the month and outsold the Wii
Gears of War 2 - sold 1.56 million 1st month (#1), pushed sales of 360 (along w/ pricecut) to more than doubled PS3's despite PS3 leading for the first half of the year
Mario Kart Wii - sold 1.12 million 1st month in NPD (#2), pushed Wii's to 714k or about twice the amount of 360 and PS3 combined in a month with GTAIV's debut.
Super Smash Bros - sold 2.7 million 1st month in NPD (#1), pushed Wii's to 721k, about 1.5 amount of 360 and PS3 combined
Wii Sports/Wii Play/Wii Fit - sold millions, obvious system sellers, slow burners so 1st month numbers not as useful here
Compare those with PS3's big hitters:
Uncharted - sold ~100k 1st month in NPD (out of top 10), didn't push systems (PS3 sales were up due to pricecut + holidays, still got outsold badly by Wii, 360, and even PS2)
LittleBigPlanet - 215k 1st month in NPD (#8), didn't push systems (PS3 sales only 190k, 1/2 of 360 and 1/4 of Wii)
Resistance 2 - 385k 1st month in NPD (#9), didn't push systems (PS3 less than 1/2 of 360 and less than 1/5 of Wii)
Killzone 2 - 323k 1st month in NPD (#5), didn't push systems (PS3 increased from 200k to 270k, small bump, still got outsold 3-2 by 360 and 3-1 by Wii)
MGS4 - sold 775k 1st month in NPD (#1), PS3 sales doubled from previous month, outsold 360 2-1
Clearly MGS4 is a killer app while the rest, unfortunately, are not.
Now, some people will blame it on the PS3's small userbase. However, Gears of War managed to sell 1 million on a small 360 userbase of about 3-4 million. Heck, Twilight Princess sold 412k on a Wii userbase of about 450k. So clearly that's not it. Killer apps will sell tons of copies (relatively) independent of the size of the userbase.
Others will blame PS3's high price. But again, Gears of War sold 1 million when the 360 was $399 at the time. MGS4 sold nearly 1 million and doubled sales on the same high-priced PS3. So it's not really about the price either.
Perhaps it is because of Sony's marketing. Or the timing of releases. Maybe if Killzone 2 released in November 2008 with a $50 price cut and better marketing it would have been a killer app. But as it stands it is not. For whatever the reason (quality of game, lack of marketing, etc.) Sony has not been able to produce a killer app for the PS3. It looks like the first Sony killer app will be Gran Turismo 5, which will probably release after the PS3 has been on the market for over 3 years. Isn't it a bit late by then?
Mod edit: Credit for above post to vicissitudes
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