John Reynolds said:
Everyone keeps citing 1 GB of system RAM as standard in a few years. That's wrong. With Longhorn, it's going to be 2 GB of RAM by next year.
Depends if DDR-2 finally starts to drop or not in price, me thinks. Bear in mind 256 megs still hasn't been officially "confirmed" for Xbox2, granted with GDDR-3 512 megs is not like purchasing regular DDR at NewEgg now, but I'm not sold that the next consoles won't have more than that just yet.
I have to say though it is encouraging that at least one of the major players in this is MS from a PC gamers perspective. While I've advocated they could have done more to make PC gaming more newbie-friendly than in the past and have certainly done my fair share of bitching with regards to the non-ports (would Halo2 PC really have impacted Halo2 Xbox sales that much?), they at least seem to be making a strong push to bring PC gaming into the mainstream with Longhorn.
Longhorn is really the wildcard in all of this, we still don't know exactly how Aero/Aero Glass will look, or what kind of GPU horsepower will be required to really show it off. While the PC has had numerous reasons for its decline (at least in terms of retail visibility) as a game platform over the past few years, a significant reason (IMO) is the abundance of $400 boxes with no AGP/PCI-E slots. Dell is a prime culprit in this - go to their home section and try and find a desktop with a PCI-E or AGP slot. Chances are they start at $900 for such systems, when in fact those $500 boxes are perfectly adequate for most modern games - the problem is they don't have any expansion. Intel integrated video is OK as
long as you have a choice to upgrade it if you want to, but most OEM's don't give you that option. Longhorn may finally be the bait to get more casual PC users actually interested in the video hardware on their machine. They see their neighbour with a 6800 running Aero Glass smoothly with tons of nice effects, as compared to their desktop running in Tier1 graphical mode which would basically be XP's interface with nice fonts.
Hopefully that will act as the carrot on the stick, and GPU manufactuers can trumpet a score of 8,000 "AeroBenchmarks" to entice those who normally wouldn't think twice about what GPU is in their system. Remember when Winbench 2D was actually used as selling point?
With high-res OLED displays (fingers crossed) coming in the future as well, there will be far more reasons to make the PC's video performance a paramount feature rather than just an accessory that only kicks in when you load Far Cry.