That's nearly certainly GT200a, yes. As for GT200b, I thought a little bit about what we could expect if NVIDIA actually delivered for once, which I'll admit to be semi-skeptical since they haven't really met expectations for a *single* chip ever since G80 (where they obviously beat them by a lot). So here goes:
GT200a 65nm: ~595mm²
GT200a 55nm: ~485mm² [Does not exist; for comparison's sake]
GT200b 55nm: ~450mm²
GTX 290 X2: 216 SPs, 72 TMUs, 24 ROPs, 384-bit 2.0GHz GDDR5, 700MHz Core, 1750MHz Shader, $599
GTX 290: 240 SPs, 80 TMUs, 24 ROPs, 384-bit 2.3GHz GDDR5, 700MHz Core, 1750MHz Shader, $399
GTX 270: 216 SPs, 72 TMUs, 20 ROPs, 320-bit 2.0GHz GDDR5, 600MHz Core, 1500MHz Shader, $299
GTX 250: 168 SPs, 56 TMUs, 16 ROPs, 256-bit 1.8GHz GDDR5, 560MHz Core, 1400MHz Shader, [OEM-Only]
Honestly, that's nothing that AMD couldn't beat easily in terms of perf/dollar, but at least it'd be competitive and would have the performance crown back. As for the fact it's GDDR5 vs GDDR3 in GT200; I would definitely expect 768MiB of GDDR5 to be both cheaper and faster than 1024MiB of GDDR3, especially when you consider it'd also reduce the PCB/cooling costs a bit.