No idea? Well let me share my viewpoint.
My 9800gt broke down a almost 3 months ago, and i'v been waiting for the 5850 to fall down to 240~250€ to get a new substitute (the 5830 is no decent replacement price/perf), so far every shop/site near my area has 5850's with prices ranging from 280~390€ + shipping costs and i'v been thinking to hold back hopping NVidia weight would push AMD/ATI prices down or if AMD/ATI launched its hd6xxxx series at the end of the year for the 5850 prices to come down, the later wont happen so quickly, and so despite my grunt feelings for nvidia products quality and its deceiving practices, their recent 460 is starting to seem an acceptable replacement at 250€ with room to overclock well into an 5850 overall/average performance, with its tesselation efficiency being another strong point over the 5850.
So in my situation the 460gtx did indeed change the landscape, if amd/ati keeps the prices at the ranges they are, demand will definitly dwindle sooner than you or they think.