NV30 Sampling in October

CMKRNL

Newcomer
Sorry, I hate to start yet another thread on the subject, but I didnt want this information lost at the bottom of another thread. I also don't have a history of posting here, so you can decide yourself whether you think this is reliable or not. This information comes from a friend who works for a major OEM:

- NV30 Sampling in October
- NV30 Production in January

- Original sample date given early this year was August.

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My personal comments:

Scenario 1:

Lets suppose they had initial tapeout August 1st. That means silicon comes back mid-sept, they polish drivers, build some boards and ship samples a few weeks later. This means they have a high degree of confidence that there will be no major problems with the ASIC that cannot be addressed by software workarounds. I don't think this is realistic.

I expect that on a chip of this complexity, they will have at least one metal-only spin before sampling. (To address problems that cannot be worked around in software). In fact, they may even have a full layer spin prior to full production to work out yield issues and to correct any remaining problems not addressable by metal mask. This may push volume production into February.

Scenario 2:

They've already had silicon back, have gone through metal spins and don't have any remaining major errata. They need to do one final full-layer spin to correct yield issues and/or any remaining minor problems. (If it wasn't full layer, why would sampling wait til October?). Based on the above sampling and production dates, this almost seems more realistic. (100 days from final tapeout to volume production). It's possible that they couldn't have sampled earlier due to major issues with early silicon. This scenario makes sense if they indeed taped out as originally speculated (and noted by Jen Hsun) and thought they might have OEM samples in the August timeframe.

In either scenario, we'll see NV30 in January at the earliest.
 
No way we're seeing it on January or December!

I would say November is the month NV30 cards will ship!
 
alexsok said:
No way we're seeing it on January or December!

I would say November is the month NV30 cards will ship!

IF their CEO was correct and NV30 isn't taped out yet, your timescale needs a miracle to happen. :)


Chip launch on november is possible but I really doubt seeing cards on the stores.

and of course, all this if the CEO was right. (this has been put here in case someone still doesn't believe it.) ;)
 
Nappe1 said:
alexsok said:
No way we're seeing it on January or December!

I would say November is the month NV30 cards will ship!

IF their CEO was correct and NV30 isn't taped out yet, your timescale needs a miracle to happen. :)


Chip launch on november is possible but I really doubt seeing cards on the stores.

and of course, all this if the CEO was right. (this has been put here in case someone still doesn't believe it.) ;)

It has been noted many times that the CEO might have not been understood correctly, thus, many people have different assumptions.
 
Fantastic to derail another thread to argue about tapeout times.

YAY.


(But, to add my two pence, those numbers sound right IF the initial tapeout was in early August. IF it was the final tapeout the CEO was talking about, then I'd be more inclined to say product in stores just before Thanksgiving. I'm not advocating either story as the correct one, however)
 
Sorry about starting another thread, but it's new information from what I consider to be a reliable source.
 
RussSchultz said:
Fantastic to start another thread to argue about tapeout times.

YAY.

Would it be considered rude if I'd yawn to all of them? :oops:
 
Damn, I gotta stop submitting my first thoughts, then going and revising it.

I'm not being bitchy about the information being presented (its another data point for those who are interested), but was lamenting its obviously going to degenerate into another pissing match based nothing more than rumors and such.
 
Well, I read recently that the performance figures we've seen so far were based on a beta board, not on any sort of simulation.

Since nVidia obviously has working beta boards right now, then, it should be apparent that they are in the process of wrapping up production, and are going to ship soon.

Precisely how soon, I'm anxious to find out.
 
Well, nvidia has said roughly 100days from final silicon to stores. So, that would mean we will see it early November. That fit's in with what the CEO has been saying at least.
 
The CEO did not mis-understand the question. The guy is not stupid. If he says it has not taped out, then it hasn't. Otherwise, he would be lying thus Nvidia would be investigated (more) by the SEC and be sued by various people. They are a public company people!

Now, he says that they are aiming for a 100 days timeline to production. Now, that might be start of production. So, add a week or two to build up quantity and air-ship over here to North America. Then add a week to get those boards shipped out retailers / distributors. Add another week to get on shelf.

They could save a week by shipping directly to retailer / distributors.

They need a miracle to hit this week.
 
Qroach said:
Well, nvidia has said roughly 100days from final silicon to stores. So, that would mean we will see it early November. That fit's in with what the CEO has been saying at least.

Was that what the 100 days was? Or was it 100 days from initial tapeout to beginning of production at the fab?
 
nooneyouknow said:
The CEO did not mis-understand the question. The guy is not stupid. If he says it has not taped out, then it hasn't. Otherwise, he would be lying thus Nvidia would be investigated (more) by the SEC and be sued by various people. They are a public company people!

Now, he says that they are aiming for a 100 days timeline to production. Now, that might be start of production. So, add a week or two to build up quantity and air-ship over here to North America. Then add a week to get those boards shipped out retailers / distributors. Add another week to get on shelf.

They could save a week by shipping directly to retailer / distributors.

They need a miracle to hit this week.

I didn't say that the CEO misunderstood the question, I said that the people who read that statement have different assumptions about what he said.
 
RussSchultz said:
Was that what the 100 days was? Or was it 100 days from initial tapeout to beginning of production at the fab?

Round and round! ;)

IIRC It was 100 days from initial to production...
 
I didn't say that the CEO misunderstood the question, I said that the people who read that statement have different assumptions about what he said.

Traditionally, tape out refers to first silicon. Had nVidia had any silicon, he could have answered yes. If he could have answered yes, he would have.
 
Oats said:
I didn't say that the CEO misunderstood the question, I said that the people who read that statement have different assumptions about what he said.

Traditionally, tape out refers to first silicon. Had nVidia had any silicon, he could have answered yes. If he could have answered yes, he would have.

Exactly.
 
No woder ATi is not hurrying in bringing the 9700 on 0.13 micron technology .

I'm sure they have much more insiders info than we do and they know that if nVIDIA get's the NV30 in January they'll have 4 entire months of fullsales and then they will lower the price .
So .... by the time the NV30 starts selling good .... like around March they will anounce the R350 w/DX9.1 features on 0.13 micron and I'm more than sure that nVIDIA will take another hit ecause they won't be able to launch another GPU in just 5 months .
 
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