NPD August 2010

Discussion in 'Console Industry' started by AzBat, Sep 10, 2010.

  1. AlphaWolf

    AlphaWolf Specious Misanthrope
    Legend

    Joined:
    May 28, 2003
    Messages:
    9,471
    Likes Received:
    1,688
    Location:
    Treading Water
    4.58%
    4.59%

    Are you really claiming those values are significantly different?

    You make it sound like you disagree with what I said, but merely provided math to back it up. Thanks
     
  2. djskribbles

    Legend

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2007
    Messages:
    5,257
    Likes Received:
    667
    You're right... the PS3 slim and increase in sales YOY leading up to Madden 11 probably had a lot to do with it.
     
  3. Scott_Arm

    Legend

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2004
    Messages:
    15,136
    Likes Received:
    7,683
    Did that actually happen? Just curious.
     
  4. Rangers

    Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2006
    Messages:
    12,800
    Likes Received:
    1,603
    Link?

    BTW, 360 has widespread piracy, PS3 does not.
     
  5. Rangers

    Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2006
    Messages:
    12,800
    Likes Received:
    1,603
    This would have happened just as much with PS3 slim...not buying the familiar argument "360 slims are just repeat buyers but somehow PS3 slim buyers are not". Even if it's pretty much conventional wisdom on Neogaf by now, and no matte how much ahem, anecdotal "evidence" on the internet supposedly bears it out.
     
  6. BadTB25

    Veteran

    Joined:
    Aug 11, 2007
    Messages:
    2,371
    Likes Received:
    645
    Location:
    Florida
    He said worldwide which is probably true.
    NPD-wise? I would have a harder time believing although not out of the realm of possibility.
     
  7. Rangers

    Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2006
    Messages:
    12,800
    Likes Received:
    1,603
    Maybe, but I dont think it's exactly a hard fact. Wondering why he thinks so...

    The only places purporting to have WW numbers would be vgchartz (lol) or maybe some sort of aggregate software shipments numbers I'm not aware of. He's most likely using those old EA numbers or whatever, which arent really proof.

    NPD wise very unlikely...360 did have 4 of top 10 vs 2 ps3 for example, other multiplats higher on 360 (mafia 2, MW2) etc. If anything all that evidence points to 360 higher.

    The more I think about his WW numbers it's probably true. Install bases are within 10% and once you factor in piracy, RROD, and average time of ownership, PS3 might have the edge. Then on the other hand PS3 has a large edge in Japan which sells comparatively little software, so maybe not. But anyways whether true or not I'm sure we dont have those numbers...
     
  8. zed

    zed
    Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2005
    Messages:
    6,415
    Likes Received:
    2,139
    yes, the ps3 sold approx 20million units software(*) more than the xbox360.
    The xbox360 started off with a hiss and roar in 2006 ti-tie ratio but has shown a marked decline in acceleration in the past couple of years, I assume this is cause of software piracy being more prevalent on the xbox360. Though now that the ps3 has been apparently broken perhaps it will suffer the same fate.

    (*)data can be found from sony+MS financial reports

    @AlphaWolf, no
     
  9. Rangers

    Legend

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2006
    Messages:
    12,800
    Likes Received:
    1,603
    Can you link that specifically? MS does not report software shipment figures. They (sometimes) report a tie ratio, but it's for US only most likely since it's always in conjunction with NPD.
     
  10. DonaldDuck

    Newcomer

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2009
    Messages:
    90
    Likes Received:
    0
    Well, that can be perfectly true (I don´t live in the States, so I don´t know the feel of the youth directly), and in that case, the sales of Kinect (kinectimals, dance central, etc) should be extremely huge. Beyond Wii 09 levels...

    When something really hit the point and has a good environment for the growth, with fame well stablished and a generalised good shape in consumers´ minds, the succes is almost a logical conclusion.

    The point is that XBOX software sales are not as impressive than HW. A good starting point for a young boy that go for a console can be Madden, and the similarity of the numbers in both platforms has make me fool, considering the (big) hardware gap.

    But what you say is, from my point of view, really important, because Kinect is addressed to Wii consumers (at least, it´s what I perceive), and those are in a good amount kids and really mature people (and girls). I´ve always think of XBOX in US as having their public in between, that is, young boys, teenagers and boys with ages between 12-25. And Madden (I believe) is just the right product for that sector of the society.

    Obviously, in Christmas, with Kinect and relative flat sales for Wii, XBOX could destroy their previous marks, if the assumption of being a new "de facto" general purpose console is true.

    We´ll see. I really don´t have a solid answer for this, but my assumption of a percentage of replacements taking part of the sales for XBOX this month is based in the bad perception that (here in Spain) have the old refurbished console models, even with warranty, because of their relative short life span.

    I´m sure that december will clarify those questions.

    Cheers.
     
  11. zed

    zed
    Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2005
    Messages:
    6,415
    Likes Received:
    2,139
    I forgot another very important point why its not surprising the ps3 has sold more software over the last 12 months.
    Its also sold a lot more consoles, 3.9million based on shipment numbers
    A console aint much good unless you also buy games for it :)
     
  12. Richard

    Richard Mord's imaginary friend
    Veteran

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2004
    Messages:
    3,508
    Likes Received:
    40
    Location:
    PT, EU
    You also forgot to link Rangers. ;)
     
  13. AlphaWolf

    AlphaWolf Specious Misanthrope
    Legend

    Joined:
    May 28, 2003
    Messages:
    9,471
    Likes Received:
    1,688
    Location:
    Treading Water
    Using shipment numbers is a terrible way to actually track sales in a given time frame.
     
  14. tuna

    Veteran

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2002
    Messages:
    3,550
    Likes Received:
    590
    How else could you track sales?
     
  15. Scott_Arm

    Legend

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2004
    Messages:
    15,136
    Likes Received:
    7,683
    NPD counts units sold at retail. Units shipped is the number sent to retailers, but they could be sitting on shelves.
     
  16. tuna

    Veteran

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2002
    Messages:
    3,550
    Likes Received:
    590
    Well, the amount on shelves shouldn't increase or decrease that much so to me it seems like a good source.
     
  17. DuckThor Evil

    Legend

    Joined:
    Jul 9, 2004
    Messages:
    5,996
    Likes Received:
    1,062
    Location:
    Finland
    It's good source when the measured timeframe is really long like since launch, but not so good when the timeframe is short and could include some lower than normal supply numbers due to channel clearance. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm thinking this 12 month number zed was throwing out there is a pre 360 slim shipping numbers and naturally the volume was low just before that. Zed often likes to forget something like that.

    edit: If that 3.9 million zed said was in relation to NA shipment numbers, which it probably is considering the context, then I'm quessing it includes one dry pre slim quarter for 360 AND one juicy slim PS3 quarter, the one where it launched. That skews the shipped numbers quite a bit... Definitely not an accurate picture. As far as I know 360 has outsold PS3 during these 12 months at retail in NA.
     
    #57 DuckThor Evil, Sep 12, 2010
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 12, 2010
  18. zed

    zed
    Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2005
    Messages:
    6,415
    Likes Received:
    2,139
    whats in dispute specifically?
    A/ Over the last 12months according to sony's data 125million software units have moved worldwide (do u want a link to this, if u dont believe it?)
    B/ according to MS, over the same time period the xbox360 attach rate has only increased very minor (latest figure is I believe 8.9(*)) now with some simple maths + using MS's own console shipment numbers u will find out theyve moved ~20million software units less (do u want a link to this, if u dont believe it?)

    (*)MS might quote attach rates only on USA numbers, 2 things to keep in mind
    1/ US accounts from 1/2 of xbox360 sales (whereas ps3 its ~1/3) i.e. a fair chunk
    2/ US consumers typically buy more software units per console than europeans (do u want a link to this, if u dont believe it?)
    i.e. the 20million figure was me being generous to MS, the actual figure will most likely be closer to 30million

    @Dr Evil
    do you dispute that worldwide over the last 12months (4 financial quarters) sony have shipped worldwide 3.9million more ps3's than xbox360s?
    I stand behind the figures + can link to sony/MS's financial records showing this.
    you're just looking at US numbers which dont tell an accurate story worldwide, eg lets choose another country, how about finland since you live there :)

    I assume you read finnish
    http://www.figma.fi/Vanhat tiedotteet/tiedote21042010.htm
    http://www.figma.fi/Vanhat tiedotteet/tiedote21012010.htm

    2009, software share
    ps3 19.8%
    xb360 13.8%
    wii 11.8%

    2010, software share first quarter
    ps3 23.3%
    xb360 15.3%
    wii 10.9%

    I can provide a link showing the ps3 is the best selling console in finland if you dispute it (but as you live there I assume you know already)
    Actually finland like here in NZ, are a couple of the few countries where the wii has performed the worse
     
  19. AntShaw

    Regular

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2004
    Messages:
    883
    Likes Received:
    7
    Location:
    Maryland, USA
    Difference of shipped to retailers (sony) to sold to consumers (msft)? Link please.
     
  20. holsty101

    Regular

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2003
    Messages:
    289
    Likes Received:
    17
    IIRC MS have switched to shipped = retailers rather than consumers, ummm sometime in the past year ... sorry my google-fu is weak :embarrased:
     
Loading...

Share This Page

  • About Us

    Beyond3D has been around for over a decade and prides itself on being the best place on the web for in-depth, technically-driven discussion and analysis of 3D graphics hardware. If you love pixels and transistors, you've come to the right place!

    Beyond3D is proudly published by GPU Tools Ltd.
Loading...