Geeforcer said:
If I were MS, I would drop the price around PS3 release.
And that looks like the plan. It looks like everyone will start off at 90nm. If the chip sizes are correct, Sony has over 100M transisters on the table (234M + 300M vs. 165M + 150M + ~90M?). The rest of the pricesheet is interesting:
PS3
-256MB GDDR3
-256MB XDR
-BluRay drive
-A lot of ports
X360
-512MB GDDR3
-12x DVD
-20GB HDD
-Not quite as many ports
In the long run the BR drive should be more affordable than a HDD, but at first I would guess it would be expensive.
My guess is that it will go something like this:
Fall 2005
- Xbox 360 release
- 40 launch titles
Fall 2006:
- PS3 release
- Xbox 360 media edition (larger HDD for recording HD TV, maybe even a HD movie player)
- Halo 3 release; MS wont cut price and will instead try to leverage their game library advantage
2007
- Aggressive price move from MS
Although depending on how Live goes with the marketplace and microtransactions we may very well see MS try to subsidize their console through other revenue streams. If they sell music online or something like that they could be in a position to cut price earlier.
All conjecture of course, but I have a strong feeling the Xbox 360 is designed as much to drop price and take away from Sony's bottomline by either making them match price moves or get stuck with a big chunk of cash per sale.
I still am not sure that the BR drive is the best move. If you can get a PS3 with BR for $300 why buy a $250 BR stand alone from Sony?? Including the BR is good for their format and good for consumers, but I have to wonder what it will do to Sony's consumer electronics sales, not to mention you do NOT want casual consiumers who wont buy many games getting a PS3 with a BR because Sony will be taking a hit on each sale. You want gamers first and foremost to buy the console because their game sales is what makes Sony money.