jvd said:
If ms gains market ground on the ps3 then it will be considered a failure to sony.
Your first point was pretty sound, hell, it's pretty intuitive, but this is just wrong. Microsoft is nothing but a leach on Sony and it's marketshare. The global set of console owners* is composed of a truely enormous subset of the Sony platform. It has to be 80-95% of this abstract set in size. This subset is matched by concurrent subsets based on the Nintendo and Microsoft platforms respectively, perhaps hovering in the area of 15-30% for each, with variences accordingly. Since I like you, here's a neat little visual:
Code:
[Global Set]
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
[Subset: Nintendo]
-------------
[Subset: Sony]
--------------------------------------------------------------
[Subset: Microsoft]
-------------
What to take away from this is that Sony is dominating the marketplace and that once you realize that Microsoft and Nintendo (MS in particular with recent Nintendo comment showing their attempt at differentiation IMHO) are sharing a majority percentage of their subset with Sony, that untill they do one of the following:
- Create unique [new] userbase, carve out niche
- Overtake Sony in [subset] size
Sony is winning and winning big. Especially in the current discussion on Blu-Ray penentration in which Sony's sub-set will carry the standard/platform to an enourmous amount of people irregardless of the MS or Nintendo gains in absolute numbers.
A loss for Sony is if PlayStation3 doesn't reach their [undisclosed] targets or reach the minimum bound set by precedent [eg. PS1, PS2]. As far as they are concerned, Microsoft is nothing but a leach. If I may inject a personal comment, a leach which is going to get burned badly and permently in the CE arena by the dynamics that have been set in motion.
* A somewhat abstract concept that I think of as not absolute consoles, but owners or, perhaps, households best covers the concept I'm going for.