Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 4, 2020 - 4,370 confirmed cases - 114 deaths

4,370 confirmed cases up 237 over yesterday and three new deaths
those 237 new cases represent a 5.7% increase over the last day

3nd day after the "Stay at Home" was lifted and certain businesses being 25% open and the curve is not flattening but continues to expand.
Not Good.

Increases (by percent) over the last 39 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%, 15.8%, 13.7%,
10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%,
7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%, 4.0%,
6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%,
2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%,
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0% and now 5.7%

Increases (by count) over the last 39 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82, +100, +100,
+90, +94, +97, +43, +106, +63, +108,
+105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109, +80,
+124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80,
+71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179,
+187, +181, +234 and now +237

As of 10:00 am May 4, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 237 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 4,370, including 114 deaths.

The additional 3 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of the City of Irving, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been hospitalized.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, about 79% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, 65% have been under 65 years of age, and about half have had at least one known high-risk chronic health condition. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 114 total deaths reported to date, about 40% have been associated with long-term care facilities.
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State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/4/2020 @ 12:15 PM:

Total Tests: 407,398 (Up +16,838) : 13,162 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 32,332 (Up +784) : -242 less cases today over yesterday
In Hospitals: 1,533 (Down -7)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 16,090 (Up +546)
Fatalities: 884 (Up +17)

Texas tests per 1M population are 14,610 (Up +604) which places Texas as the 10th worst State. Up two places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
I was listening to the Ohio press briefing today and feel so demotivated based on what they said regarding how Ohio's testing capabilities have been broadly expanded. They did 4.9K tests yesterday with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K and 4.3K. They're at 154,290 total tests for average of 13,253 tests per 1M population. This will likely keep them in 3rd to Dead Last in States for Testing. Only Kansas and Arizona are more pathetic.

Fucking morons who have no moral qualms telling lies to the public.

Before that massive lie, they said it's still over a week away before they hope to be ramping up to hit 22K tests a day.
 
Ohio did 4.9K tests yesterday (for today's numbers) with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K and 4.3K. They're at 154,290 total tests for average of 13,253 tests per 1M population. This will likely keep them in 3rd to Dead Last in States for Testing. Only Kansas and Arizona are more pathetic.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 20,474 (up from 19,914 ), Hospitalized: 3,809 (up from 3,769 ), and Deaths: 1,056 (up from 1,038 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 865, 81
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,398 (up from 2,338 ).

Percentage increase: 2.81%, 1.06%, 1.73%
Raw increase: 560, 40, 18

Ohio has total tests of 154,290 (up from 149,346 ) and tests per 1M population of 13,253 (up from 12,829 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio
 
A mutant coronavirus has emerged, even more contagious than the original, study says

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/a-mutant-coronavirus-has-emerged-even-more-contagious-than-the-original-study-says/ar-BB13CHNP

Scientists have identified a new strain of the coronavirus that has become dominant worldwide and appears to be more contagious than the versions that spread in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a new study led by scientists at Los Alamos National Laboratory.

The new strain appeared in February in Europe, migrated quickly to the East Coast of the United States and has been the dominant strain across the world since mid-March, the scientists wrote.

In addition to spreading faster, it may make people vulnerable to a second infection after a first bout with the disease, the report warned.

The mutation identified in the new report affects the now infamous spikes on the exterior of the coronavirus, which allow it to enter human respiratory cells. The report’s authors said they felt an “urgent need for an early warning” so that vaccines and drugs under development around the world will be effective against the mutated strain.
Click to expand...
 
Great yet another thing for Ohio to completely fuckup testing for...
 
Ohio saw it's worst day for Hospitalizations in the past 21 days and still hovers around 10%-15% positive case to testing rate.

Ohio has fallen second to dead last in testing performance yesterday.

Ohio did 5.5K tests for today's numbers with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K and 4.9K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 20,969 (up from 20,474 ), Hospitalized: 3,956 (up from 3,809 ), and Deaths: 1,135 (up from 1,056 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 897, 97
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,428 (up from 2,398 ).

Percentage increase: 2.42%, 3.86%, 7.48%
Raw increase: 495, 147, 79

Ohio has total tests of 159,838 (up from 154,290 ) and tests per 1M population of 13,730 (up from 13,253 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/5/2020 @ 12:15 PM:

Total Tests: 427,210 (Up +19,812) : 10,188 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 33,369 (Up +1,037) : +253 more cases today over yesterday, Not Flattening, Not Good
In Hospitals: 1,888 (Up +355): New all-time high, Not Good
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 16,791 (Up +701)
Fatalities: 906 (Up +22)

Texas tests per 1M population are 15,825 (Up +1,215) which places Texas as the 13th worst State. Up three places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
The UK ONS mortality data of excess deaths shows a small drop for the week ending 24th April. Still around 11,500 for the week so just a few hundred fewer than the previous week, but a drop nonetheless. Deaths in hospitals down a fair amount but deaths in care homes and the community up a lot.

In other statistics, we're now above Italy for 'confirmed' Covid-19 deaths in Europe although the usual caveat about what the recorded data actually means in relation to that from other countries still holds. The government is continuing to say we need to wait and see the like for like data comparisons to be sure, but the scientific advisors have at least begun to admit making mistakes.

An interesting stat has appeared which shows the UK has quarantined/tested just 273 out of the 18 million people to enter the country since the pandemic began earlier in the year. No restrictions or tests for anybody coming here, even to this day. The genomic analysis of many cases from across the UK apparently indicate they were 'imported' from various European countries.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 5, 2020 - 4,623 confirmed cases - 121 deaths

4,623 confirmed cases up 253 over yesterday and seven new deaths
those 253 new cases represent a 5.9% increase over the last day

4th day after the "Stay at Home" was lifted and certain businesses being 25% open and the curve is not flattening but continues to expand. Not Good.

Increases (by percent) over the last 40 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7% and now 5.9%

Increases (by count) over the last 40 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237 and now +253

As of 11:00am May 5, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 253 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 4,623, including 121 deaths.

The additional 7 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 40’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had expired in an area hospital ED.
  • A woman in her 50’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Richardson, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 50’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and expired in hospice care.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite, and expired in the facility.
  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Irving, and was found deceased at home.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Irving, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, about 79% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, 65% have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Of the 121 total deaths reported to date, about 36% have been associated with long-term care facilities.
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It may depend on how restricted their testing is, but if limited to hospital visits and high-risk positions like essential staff, the broader population effect may not be evident until the most recent infections progress far enough to prompt a trip to the hospital. That can put a lag of potentially 1-2 weeks before the trend is more clear. Deaths could lag that rise by a week or so.
If the curve doesn't noticeably flatten in the meantime, it may point to measures not being effective enough or not long-lasting enough.

A potentially worse outcome could be if there is a flattening in the lag time before another rise, which those in the public may seize upon as evidence of the danger passing when the risk is actually increasing.
 
Gov. Greg Abbott allowing hair salons, barbershops, tanning salons to open on Friday

AUSTIN -- Gov. Greg Abbott on Tuesday announced that hair salons could open on Friday -- a move that came less than a week after he began easing social distancing restrictions on restaurants and retail stores.

Gyms could open under certain circumstances on May 18, Abbott added.

The easing of more restrictions comes amid pressure from Republicans and some business owners for Abbott to move more quickly on an economic restart. On Tuesday, two Republican lawmakers sought out haircuts in Montgomery County in defiance of Abbott’s order.

Salons, barbershops, nail salons and tanning salons will be able to reopen Friday. On May 18, gyms can start letting in a limited number of customers who must wear gloves and maintain six feet of distance. Showers and locker rooms at gyms must remain closed.

The announcement also comes as Dallas County reports the highest daily increase in new coronavirus cases. Some public health experts have said at least two weeks is needed to understand the effects of lifting social distancing restrictions.

Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson, a Democrat, said he was surprised Abbott would allow salons to reopen on Friday.

“Given where we are right now, on our curve here in Dallas County, which appears to be that we are still on the upward sloping part of our curve... I’m just not sure that this is exactly what we needed right now,"

Grand Prairie Democratic state Rep. Chris Turner tweeted: “I thought we were waiting to see if the first round of re-opening caused COVID-19 spikes before making decisions on additional openings? It’s been four days.”

Abbott’s move to increase his reopening of businesses came the same day when the Quorum Report, an Austin insider newsletter, reported that Abbott told lawmakers in private that reopening business would lead to increased spread of the disease.

Dallas County reported 253 more coronavirus cases Tuesday, the highest single-day jump since the pandemic began. It also reported another seven deaths. County Judge Clay Jenkins has urged residents to stay home.
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Texas Sees Highest Single Day Jumps in COVID-19 Cases Since Outbreak Began

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/t...vid-19-cases-since-outbreak-began/ar-BB13D1Sm
As the novel coronavirus outbreak continues in the U.S., Texas has reported its second, third and fourth highest daily spikes in cases since the outbreak began, within two days of the state easing lockdown measures on May 1.

On May 2, Texas reported 1,293 new cases, the second-highest count of new cases, and 1,026 new infections on May 3, the fourth-highest number of new cases since early March in the wake of the outbreak. May 1 marked the third-highest figure on record, with 1,142 new cases, according to the latest report Monday from Texas state health authorities.

Texas also recorded its highest daily death toll of 50 fatalities on April 30, just a day before the state's reopening, Texas health authorities report.

...

The second phase of the reopening is expected to begin on May 18, but Texas Governor Greg Abbott noted this step would have to be supported by data ensuring the outbreak is contained.
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In the re-opening of hair salons, barbershops and tanning salons Abbot has already ignored his own statement of following the data and ensuring the outbreak is contained:
Abbott noted that "more re-openings" would have to be supported by data ensuring the outbreak is contained
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The curve in cases is not flattening in either Texas as a whole or Dallas County but continues to expand. So now we can expect even more cases and deaths because of this idiot Governor.
 
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More testing = more cases found including more of the mild ones. That would be my reading of the stats.

We do also know that the 'Ventilator challenge' has dropped their requirements. Less ventilation taking place and more types of other treatment for the most serious cases such as CPAP. It might be that these are proving much more effective but they don't want to inform the public incase they become blasé about the lockdown! People do stupid things with the smallest of reasons.
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/6/2020 @ 12:20 PM:

Total Tests: 438,938 (Up +11,728) : 18,272 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 34,422 (Up +1,053) : +16 more cases today over yesterday, Not Flattening, Not Good
In Hospitals: 1,812 (Down -76)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 17,622 (Up +831)
Fatalities: 948 (Up +42)

Texas tests per 1M population are 15,828 (Up +3) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. Down four places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
 
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Coronavirus mutations: Scientists puzzle over impact
May 6, 2020
Researchers in the US and UK have identified hundreds of mutations to the virus which causes the disease Covid-19.
But none has yet established what this will mean for virus spread in the population and for how effective a vaccine might be.
...
The question is: which of these mutations actually do anything to change the severity or infectiousness of the disease?
Preliminary research from the US has suggested one particular mutation - D614G - is becoming dominant and could make the disease more infectious.

It hasn't yet been reviewed by other scientists and formally published.

The researchers, from the Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico, have been tracking changes to the "spike" of the virus that gives it its distinctive shape, using a database called the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID).

They noted there seems to be something about this particular mutation that makes it grow more quickly - but the consequences of this are not yet clear.
...
Many of the Covid-19 vaccines currently in development target the distinctive spikes of the virus - the idea is that getting your body to recognise a unique element of the spike will help it to fight off the whole virus. But if that spike is changing, a vaccine developed this way could become less effective.
Click to expand...
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52557955


 
Ohio saw another bad day for Hospitalizations and still hovers around 10%-15% positive case to testing rate.

Ohio still remains near the bottom in testing performance.

Ohio did 8.1K tests for today's numbers which may be their highest number of tests yet, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, and 5.5K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 21,576 (up from 20,969 ), Hospitalized: 4,052 (up from 3,956 ), and Deaths: 1,225 (up from 1,135 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 951, 111
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,542 (up from 2,428 ) ~ 4.7% increase.

Percentage increase: 2.89%, 2.43%, 7.93%
Raw increase: 607, 96, 90

Ohio has total tests of 167,978 (up from 159,838 ) and tests per 1M population of 14,429 (up from 13,730 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio
 
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