Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by RDGoodla, Feb 4, 2020.

  1. Shifty Geezer

    Shifty Geezer uber-Troll!
    Moderator Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 7, 2004
    Messages:
    43,482
    Likes Received:
    15,934
    Location:
    Under my bridge
    Mythbusters did that one years ago. ;)
     
    TheAlSpark likes this.
  2. TheAlSpark

    TheAlSpark Moderator
    Moderator Legend

    Joined:
    Feb 29, 2004
    Messages:
    21,578
    Likes Received:
    7,129
    Location:
    ಠ_ಠ
    I thought I saw it on CSI. :p

    and maybe a Conan O’Brien skit (although they were taking the piss :p).
     
  3. digitalwanderer

    digitalwanderer Dangerously Mirthful
    Legend

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2002
    Messages:
    17,654
    Likes Received:
    2,131
    Location:
    Winfield, IN USA
    BTW - Thank you all for posting this info to this thread. I've been following it without comment because it's just too bloody overwhelming for me to deal with/comprehend and with the way my country is dealing with it it's just gonna be a shit show until people wake up. :(
     
    tinokun and BRiT like this.
  4. Shifty Geezer

    Shifty Geezer uber-Troll!
    Moderator Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 7, 2004
    Messages:
    43,482
    Likes Received:
    15,934
    Location:
    Under my bridge
    Your country has the added democratic influence of bullets, and the need for policy-choices to ensure self-made militia don't start voting with their ammunition. Must make it a lot harder to make the best decisions.
     
    tinokun and digitalwanderer like this.
  5. Mariner

    Veteran

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2002
    Messages:
    1,751
    Likes Received:
    441
    Especially when the best decisions are considered those most politically advantageous. Re-election is all Trump cares about at this point in time.
     
    tinokun and digitalwanderer like this.
  6. BRiT

    BRiT Verified (╯°□°)╯
    Moderator Legend Alpha

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2002
    Messages:
    15,531
    Likes Received:
    14,070
    Location:
    Cleveland
    To visualize how much of a different leadership and planning can play in a Pandemic, here's some observations:
     
  7. BRiT

    BRiT Verified (╯°□°)╯
    Moderator Legend Alpha

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2002
    Messages:
    15,531
    Likes Received:
    14,070
    Location:
    Cleveland
    Ohio has yet another bad day for number of new Hospitalizations and still hovers around 8%-15% positive case to testing rate.

    Ohio is hovering around second to third to dead last in testing performance and may possibly even move into last place over the weekend.

    Ohio did 8.2K tests for today's numbers which may be their highest number of tests yet, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, 5.5K, 8.1K, and 7.0K.

    Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 23,016 (up from 22,131 ), Hospitalized: 4,218 (up from 4,140 ), and Deaths: 1,306 (up from 1,271 ).
    CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 1047, 121
    Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,668 (up from 2,591 ) ~ 2.97% increase.

    Percentage increase: 4%, 1.88%, 2.75%
    Raw increase: 885, 78, 35

    Ohio has total tests of 183,269 (up from 175,060 ) and tests per 1M population of 15,743 (up from 15,037 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

    They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio
     
    Lightman, digitalwanderer and pharma like this.
  8. 3dilettante

    Legend Alpha

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2003
    Messages:
    8,363
    Likes Received:
    3,944
    Location:
    Well within 3d
    One trend of note is that the health emergency has motivated many researchers to put out results prior to peer-review, and it's not a distinction much of the media takes note of.
    https://arstechnica.com/science/202...-cov-2-mutation-overstep-data-grab-headlines/

    The data is consistent with a new mutation becoming more contagious, but also consistent with other causes. There are points of contention about methods and whether the data supports the paper's conclusions, which is where peer review is often needed. Other factors can influence spread, such as the details about the specific locations and how they reacted to the pandemic, and small variations can have large effects in the complex growth phase of an early pandemic.
    Similarly, the antibody paper claiming 50x higher prevalence was published prior to peer review and the researchers pledged to revisit their math after significant arithmetic errors were found, but this was now done via sporadic review via social media and after it had made a media splash. This is aside from other significant concerns and criticisms that likely would have been raised in peer review.

    The NY governor gave further comment on their interpretation of the statistics in an interview. Part of their expectation was that first responders and medical staff would have made a higher percentage of cases, but their absolute numbers were lower, which was credited at least in part to protective equipment and protocols. That high-risk pool was able to control infection more than predicted. Similarly, known vectors like public transport and not being able to work from home that were expected to have a higher proportion cases were apparently able to achieve better control. When the known significant vectors the state was able to exert measures on were able to bring down rates, that left a category he categorized as "personal choice" as a remaining element that now appears larger relative to the other categories.

    Absolute numbers as well as percentages would provide more context. There are obvious hypothetical numeric combinations where an overall improvement can lead to unexpected ratios, if some categories did disproportionately better.
     
    Lightman, tinokun, BRiT and 2 others like this.
  9. Malo

    Malo Yak Mechanicum
    Legend Veteran Subscriber

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2002
    Messages:
    7,618
    Likes Received:
    3,682
    Location:
    Pennsylvania
    Pennsylvania has Red, Yellow and Green counties (though no green yet obviously). As of today, most of central and eastern PA is still in Red and stay at home orders are to continue until June 4 :(
     
    pharma and BRiT like this.
  10. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

    Veteran Regular

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2010
    Messages:
    1,347
    Likes Received:
    913
    State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

    [​IMG]

    Data as of 5/8/2020 @ 12:00 PM:

    Total Tests: 477,118 (Up +21,956) : 8,044 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
    Cases Reported: 36,609 (Up +1,219) : +251 more cases today over yesterday. Expanding Not Good.
    In Hospitals: 1,734 (Down -16)
    Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 19,197 (Up +757)
    Fatalities: 1,004 (Up +31)

    Texas tests per 1M population are 16,455 (Up +132) which places Texas as the 5th worst State. Down two places from yesterday.

    Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
    and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

    They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
     
    Lightman, pharma and BRiT like this.
  11. Kaotik

    Kaotik Drunk Member
    Legend

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2003
    Messages:
    9,080
    Likes Received:
    2,949
    Location:
    Finland
    One does need to take into account, though, that US is huge (in literal sense) federation, while Korea is relatively small country, there's a world of a difference on what you actually can do in each case.
     
  12. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

    Veteran Regular

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2010
    Messages:
    1,347
    Likes Received:
    913
    2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
    https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

    May 8, 2020 - 5,369 confirmed cases - 135 deaths

    5,369 confirmed cases up 249 over yesterday and ten new deaths
    those 249 new cases represent a 4.9% increase over the last day

    Increases (by percent) over the last 43 days:
    21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
    -- Month of April 2020 --
    15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
    4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
    -- Month of May 2020 --
    5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2% and now 4.9%

    Increases (by count) over the last 43 days:
    +64, +72, +49, +61, +82
    -- Month of April 2020 --
    +100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
    +80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
    -- Month of May 2020 --
    +187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251 and now +249

     
    #1952 A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y, May 8, 2020
    Last edited: May 9, 2020
    Lightman and BRiT like this.
  13. digitalwanderer

    digitalwanderer Dangerously Mirthful
    Legend

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2002
    Messages:
    17,654
    Likes Received:
    2,131
    Location:
    Winfield, IN USA
    Pence's aid who tested positive for COVID and got kicked off of air force 2 today was Katie Miller, Stephen Miller's recently betrothed.

    COVID is in the White House. The valet, the aide, and 11 secret service agents. What does it say when we can't keep the White House secure about re-opening my country now?
     
  14. BRiT

    BRiT Verified (╯°□°)╯
    Moderator Legend Alpha

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2002
    Messages:
    15,531
    Likes Received:
    14,070
    Location:
    Cleveland
    If there was ever any doubts that Individual Number One was anything but a fucking moron and the US is fucked for following anything he says on the Pandemic, let all doubts be removed...

     
  15. Shifty Geezer

    Shifty Geezer uber-Troll!
    Moderator Legend

    Joined:
    Dec 7, 2004
    Messages:
    43,482
    Likes Received:
    15,934
    Location:
    Under my bridge
    Also note the choice of word. "Mutant Coronavirus" instead of "New Coronavirus Strain" where mutant is a strong word with somewhat unnatural connotations, whereas the reality is normal biological variation. Click bait authoring.
     
    digitalwanderer and BRiT like this.
  16. Nesh

    Nesh Double Agent
    Legend

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2005
    Messages:
    12,411
    Likes Received:
    2,715
    Coronavirus: France's first known case 'was in December'

    Link

    First Covid-19 case happened in November, China government records show - report

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...november-china-government-records-show-report

    Coronavirus outbreak in France did not come directly from China or Italy, study says

    https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/othe...ly-from-china-or-italy-study-says/ar-BB13nlqF


    So what the hell is going on? A coincidental mutation of a local coronavirus in France? And if it was in December thats very early and very close to the date it appeared in China. But a different coronavirus?
     
  17. Kaotik

    Kaotik Drunk Member
    Legend

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2003
    Messages:
    9,080
    Likes Received:
    2,949
    Location:
    Finland
    More likely just a mutation which got to france via some other, currently unknown route than directly from china or via italy. (mutated on the way)
     
    Lightman, AlphaWolf and tinokun like this.
  18. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

    Veteran Regular

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2010
    Messages:
    1,347
    Likes Received:
    913
    State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

    [​IMG]

    https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

    Data as of 5/9/2020 @ 12:15 PM:

    Total Tests: 489,294 (Up +12,176) : 17,824 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
    Cases Reported: 37,860 (Up +1,251) : +32 more cases today over yesterday. Expanding Not Good.
    In Hospitals: 1,735 (Up +1)
    Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 20,141 (Up +944)
    Fatalities: 1,049 (Up +45)

    Texas tests per 1M population are 16,455 (Up +420) which places Texas as the 6th worst State. Up one place from yesterday.

    Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
    and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

    They're using roughly 27.885 million as the population of Texas.
     
    BRiT likes this.
  19. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

    Veteran Regular

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2010
    Messages:
    1,347
    Likes Received:
    913
    Go out, socialize and have fun, South Korea’s government told its people, declaring the start of “a new daily life with Covid-19”

    It didn’t take long.

    On Saturday, just the fourth day of the new phase, the mayor of Seoul ordered all the capital’s bars and nightclubs shut down indefinitely after the discovery of a cluster of dozens of coronavirus infections.

    After a 29-year-old man tested positive for the virus on Wednesday, epidemiologists quickly learned that he had visited three nightclubs in Itaewon, a popular nightlife district in Seoul, on May 2. By Saturday evening, they said they were tracking down 7,200 people who had visited five Itaewon nightclubs where the virus might have been spread.

    So far, 27 cases have been found among the club-goers and people who had close contact with them, Kwon Jun-wok, a senior disease-control official, said during a news briefing on Saturday.

    The mayor, Park Won-soon, cited a higher figure, saying that at least 40 infections had been linked to the nightclubs. As he closed the clubs, he scolded patrons who had failed to practice safeguards like wearing masks, accusing them of putting the entire nation’s health at risk.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...uster-prompts-seoul-to-close-bars/ar-BB13QJDn
     
    Lightman, tinokun and BRiT like this.
  20. Nesh

    Nesh Double Agent
    Legend

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2005
    Messages:
    12,411
    Likes Received:
    2,715

    "Genetic analysis showed that the dominant types of viral strains in France belonged to a clade " or group with a common ancestor " that did not come from China or Italy, Europe's earliest epicenter. Instead, the outbreak was caused by a locally circulating strain of unknown origin, the researchers said."
     
Loading...

Share This Page

  • About Us

    Beyond3D has been around for over a decade and prides itself on being the best place on the web for in-depth, technically-driven discussion and analysis of 3D graphics hardware. If you love pixels and transistors, you've come to the right place!

    Beyond3D is proudly published by GPU Tools Ltd.
Loading...