Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by RDGoodla, Feb 4, 2020.

  1. Shifty Geezer

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    That's 60% growth in one day. Are Florida massively ramping up testing? If not, if these are more cases from the same sampling size, they're in real trouble. I mean, >100,000 cases a day within two weeks sort of trouble. People will be expected to just die in their homes, kind of trouble.
     
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  2. BRiT

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    I hope so, cause that number is scary.

    Their current 24 day streak (65,513 cases) alone would be enough to put them into 13th worst state and is more than half their total number of cases (122,960 total).
     
  3. Shifty Geezer

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    That rolling average is soft. This is their curve:

    upload_2020-6-26_19-53-20.png

    upload_2020-6-26_19-51-3.png

    They should follow a 7 day average to get a more realistic view of the explosive growth they're seeing.

    What makes zero sense is the inconsistency. Months ago with far less infection, they locked down. Why now do nothing with far, far higher infection rates? Are they admitting that the previous lockdown was a mistake? There's no sane answer to this. It's just a colossal balls-up.

    Has anyone presented the Governor with this question?
     
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  4. Mariner

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  5. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

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    2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
    https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

    June 26, 2020 - 19,034 confirmed cases - 344 deaths

    19,034 confirmed cases up 496 and ten new deaths
    those 496 new cases represent a 2.7% increase over the last day

    The 496 new cases are a new all time high. Not Good.

    Increases (by percent) since March 27, 2020 :
    21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
    -- Month of April 2020 --
    15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
    4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
    -- Month of May 2020 --
    5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
    2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
    -- Month of June 2020 --
    2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
    2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.7%, 2.6%, 2.2%, 2.2% and now 2.7%

    Increases (by count) since March 27, 2020 :
    +64, +72, +49, +61, +82
    -- Month of April 2020 --
    +100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
    +80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
    -- Month of May 2020 --
    +187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
    +205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
    -- Month of June 2020 --
    +228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
    +306, +413, +392, +394, +395, +408, +454, +445, +391, +403 and now +496

     
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  6. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

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    State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

    [​IMG]

    https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
    https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

    Data as of 6/26/2020 @3:50 PM:

    Total Tests: 1,903,661 (Up +28,464)

    Total Viral Tests: 1,697,334 (Up +37,994)

    Only 89.2% of Total Tests are Viral Tests the other 10.8% of tests are the useless
    Antibody Tests

    Cases Reported: 137,624 (Up +5,707)


    Fatalities: 2,324 (Up +28)

    Texas tests per 1M population are 65,653 (Up +982) which places Texas as the 8th worst State. Down one place from yesterday.

    Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

    They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

    Texas is mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the total test numbers which is very bad as Antibody Tests are useless in determining if someone has the Coronavirus.

    As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 1,697,334 which works out to be 58,537 per 1M population so Texas is really the 6th worst state in testing
     
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  7. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

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    Cases in Texas are exploding right now.

    Last seven day's case increases are 5,707, 5,996, 5,551, 5,489, 3,280, 3,866, 4,430

    First day that cases exceeded 2000 was June 10th.
    First day that cases exceeded 3000 was June 17th.
    First day that cases exceeded 4000 was June 20th.
    First day that cases exceeded 5000 was June 23th.


    The numbers of cases in Texas for each week since June 1, 2020 is :

    June 1-7 : Total Cases 10,691 - Average of 1,527 per day
    June 8-14 : Total Cases 12,876 - Average of 1,839 per day - 20% higher than the previous week
    June 15-21 : Total Cases 22,271 - Average of 3,182 per day - 73% higher than the previous week
    June 22-26 : Total Cases 26,023 - Average of 5,205 per day - 64% higher than the previous week - Five days for the week so far
     
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  8. Sxotty

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    The percent of positive tests increased in many states. TX and Florida are above 5% positive so increases in testing and an increase in positive rates seems like a bad thing. Arizona has insanely high positive rates .
     
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  9. BRiT

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    Yeah, the rate is over 27% in sections of Florida. That's scary territory. And there are folks going there for summer vacations. I wonder if the 2 sports (MLS and another I can't recall) are still planning to have their seasons start there. Also, there are people strongly protesting any requirement to wear masks.
     
  10. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

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    Florida Suspends Drinking at Bars After Record Number of Coronavirus Infections

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/movies/celebrity/florida-suspends-drinking-at-bars-after-record-number-of-coronavirus-infections/ar-BB161czM


    State officials in Florida have banned the consumption of alcohol at bars in the wake of an increase in the number of new coronavirus (COVID-19) cases.

    The Department of Business and Professional Regulation announced on Friday it will no longer allow on-premise consumption of alcohol at bars amid the ongoing pandemic.

    -------------------

    So you can still gather in Bars in Florida to eat, drink soda and socialize with no Masks and less than 6 feet apart.

    What a moronic response from Florida. At least here in Texas Bars are now completely shut down.
     
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  11. BRiT

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    I think the following phrase explains it all ... "Florida Man".
     
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  12. Shifty Geezer

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    Just...why?! "We don't want to be kept healthy! We demand our constitutional rights to not look dorky as we die of pestilence!"
     
  13. BRiT

    BRiT (>• •)>⌐■-■ (⌐■-■)
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    Mah Freedumbs! 'Murica!


    Yeah, people are morons who are following the lead and example set by Individual Number One.
     
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  14. Shifty Geezer

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    upload_2020-6-27_16-43-2.png

    Bit of a North vs South again...
     
    #2474 Shifty Geezer, Jun 27, 2020
    Last edited: Jun 27, 2020
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  15. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

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    The US’s new surge in coronavirus cases, explained

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/the-uss-new-surge-in-coronavirus-cases-explained/ar-BB162ob2
    The past week gave America an ugly reminder that the threat of the coronavirus pandemic is far from over. Cases are rapidly rising again. The nation on Wednesday hit a new record for daily new infections, and then hit another record the next day.

    It’s a significant shift from much of May and June, when testing increased, cases plateaued nationwide, the positive rate fell across the country, and it finally looked like restrictions and social distancing measures were working to constrain the growth of the coronavirus.

    So what went wrong? The simple answer is states started to relax the restrictions and reopen their economies — giving employers, employees, and their patrons a chance to go back out into the world and interact, fueling new cases.

    It’s possible to lift restrictions slowly and safely, and a few states are meeting the benchmarks that experts recommend to do that. But most never fully controlled their outbreaks, instead forging ahead with reopening.

    A mix of carelessness and partisanship is to blame.
    Under Trump, the federal government and some states appeared to prioritize the economy over public health, voicing discontent with the restrictions. Trump called to “LIBERATE” states from shutdowns. Some Americans took up that messaging, reopening their businesses and going back out. Mask-wearing became a politicized issue, and segments of the population rejected face coverings and many other precautions against Covid-19.

    The effects were sadly predictable. Citing research on the 1918 flu pandemic and newer studies, experts pointed out that lockdowns worked to slow the spread of the coronavirus, and ending the restrictions would lead to a spike in cases as long as other preventive measures weren’t put in place. But experts’ warnings were not heeded.


    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #2475 A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y, Jun 27, 2020
    Last edited: Jun 27, 2020
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  16. A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y

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    'We opened too quickly': Texas becomes a model for inadequate Covid-19 response

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...-for-inadequate-covid-19-response/ar-BB162r1F

    When Donald Trump welcomed Texas governor Greg Abbott to the White House in May, the US president hailed his fellow Republican as “one of the great governors” and lauded the state’s response to the coronavirus pandemic and predicted boom times ahead.

    Seven weeks later, as the state once again closes businesses with virus cases skyrocketing and hospitals running out of intensive-care beds, Texas indeed appears to be a model: for how to squander a hopeful position through premature reopening, ignoring inconvenient data and fighting party-political turf wars.

    On 7 May, the day of Abbott’s visit to Washington, the state reported 968 new cases among its 29 million residents. Daily numbers have soared this week – to 5,996 on 25 June – prompting doctors in Houston to sound the alarm.


    Harris County, which includes Houston, moved to its highest Covid-19 threat level, signalling a “severe and uncontrolled” outbreak.

    “The harsh truth is that our current infection rate is on pace to overwhelm our hospitals in the very near future,” Lina Hidalgo, the county judge, said at a press conference on Friday. “We opened too quickly.”

    It was not her choice. Hidalgo, a Democrat, issued a mandatory mask order in April that was swiftly rendered toothless by Abbott, who said masks were strongly recommended but local authorities could not impose penalties for non-compliance.

    Abbott said in the Oval Office that Texas’ phased reopening was based on data-driven strategies that would reduce the spread of the virus and enable the economy to recover.

    But he was cherry-picking numbers; the statistics did not meet federal criteria for relaxing a lockdown and Texas’ per-capita testing rate is among the worst in the nation.

    That same day, Abbott diluted his own authority in order to mollify his conservative base. He eliminated jail as a punishment for violating his coronavirus restrictions, in a response to right-wing outrage over the imprisonment of a Dallas hair salon owner who had illegally reopened, refused to close again and was sentenced to seven days behind bars for contempt of court.

    “Abbott tries to play the moderate but in reality he’s almost on a leash with the extreme right,” said Mustafa Tameez, a Houston-based Democratic strategist.

    Tameez said that Abbott and Trump have sown confusion through mixed messages. “We’re not going to be able to make policy unless we root it in facts and science,” he said. “We’re not going to be able to make it through this on soundbites and political positioning.”

    “The governor at the very beginning of this chose to prioritize politics over public health,” Casar said, noting the state’s attempt to suspend abortions. He added that if cases continue to spike, Austin would probably pass laws that go beyond Abbott’s limits, risking a court fight.

    Dan Patrick, the 70-year-old Texas lieutenant governor, declared in March that he was willing to risk death to help the economy.

    On Friday, Patrick dismissed the idea of a fresh lockdown and accused hospitals of providing misleading information. “Yes, positive rates are up, mostly young people, they’re not dying,” he told Fox News. “We’re still moving forward, with a slight pause.”

    Nor is the pandemic causing state leaders to reconsider their most cherished policy goals. As hospitals scramble to find more ICU beds, Texas, the state with the highest number of uninsured people, filed a brief on Thursday urging the US supreme court to scrap the Affordable Care Act, which would threaten access to healthcare for millions.
     
    #2476 A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y, Jun 27, 2020
    Last edited: Jun 27, 2020
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  17. Shifty Geezer

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    That'll be funny to watch. Half the jury, legal representatives, and spectators will be wearing masks and trying to stand 2m apart (sorry, 6 feet) and the other half will be violating their choices as much as possible.
     
  18. Shifty Geezer

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    Surge! That's the word rather than 'spike'. ;)
     
  19. BRiT

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    Many teams in MLB will likely face similar issues, where the spread of the virus is ignored in pursuit of starting the season in order for billionaire owners and millionaire players to make money.

    Report: Multiple Texas Rangers Employees Test Positive for COVID-19

    Several Texas Rangers employees have tested positive for COVID-19, according to a report by ESPN's Jeff Passan. Multiple Rangers employees told ESPN that they "fear for their health and hope the organization will allow employees to work from home after feeling pressure to come into the office."

    The return of employees has been described as a "gradual process" over the past couple of months. No mandate officially came from the club that required employees to work at the office. However some employees claim they were told "working from home was not an option," according to ESPN.


    Several Rangers employees test positive for COVID-19, less than two weeks after mandate to return to office

    The memo, entitled "Front Office Re-Opening Guidelines," does not explicitly require employees to return to the office, but the section on remote work leaves little room for interpretation. "We are excited to invite everyone back to work," the memo reads. "Remote work may be offered depending on the circumstances to employees who have child care issues or who have a medical condition and are in need of an accommodation."

    The memo then identifies an employee in the human resources department to contact for "approval of that request," indicating two things: 1) returning to the office is not a voluntary arrangement; and 2) the team is retaining the right to deny requests as it sees fit.

    https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/...ss-than-two-weeks-after-mandate-to-return-to/
    https://www.wfaa.com/article/sports...d-19/287-5c4a4aee-1c0f-4ab6-87e4-f3fcfc2ac053
    https://www.si.com/mlb/rangers/news/report-multiple-texas-rangers-employees-test-positive-covid-19
     
  20. BRiT

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    Now for some truly staggering figures and numbers... taken from world-o-meters: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

    As of now, Florida is reporting +9,585 new cases since yesterday putting their 25 day streak at 75,098 total.

    Arizona reported +3,593 new cases (70,051 total). They have passed Michigan (69,679 total) to take 10th spot for total cases of COVID-19. They're around 5K behind Georgia (74,985 total) who reported +1,990 new cases today. If the trends continue, in only 3 to 4 days Arizona will pass by Georgia and move into slot #9.
     
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