Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

The problem, of course, is that the onset of disease takes some time so these large numbers now appearing will represent just a fraction of the infections out there right now. Barring another lockdown or some serious realisation of the scale of the problem, proper distancing isn't going to implemented until there are multiples of the current number of infections. When it was running rampant in the UK, I seem to remember they thought it was doubling every 3 or 4 days. A week is a very long time with this virus.

The tragic thing is that it's not really even a second wave as Fauci noted the other day. It's not as if everyone wasn't warned what was likely to occur.
 
Shifty Geezer said:
I presume other States are allowed to refuse travel from certain States to prevent being infected?
Click to expand...

I dont think I've ever seen that happen in the US. And with the summer vacation period coming up, plenty will be traveling to Florida or the Carolinas for a week or so.
 
Maybe those States who have got a handle on it like NY will be able to communicate effectively with their populaces to avoid the high-incidence States? It's all very well for a couple of States to decide they just want to let Covid19 happen, but the other States who don't want that shouldn't be forced into accepting it and should be able to isolate as they see fit.

I guess there's never been need to ban internal travel before so maybe this'll be a test case and it'll happen?
 
Testing is at 13.9K. Higher number of daily new cases at 531, but its lower than the previous two days at an increase of 1.2%, while the hospitalizations and deaths follow along the average.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date. This graphic is resized by ~ 75% and taken from the State's Current Trends page: https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-6-20_16-4-13.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-6-20_16-3-21.png

Code: 
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-06-01;    398,066;    9,598;    34,055;    35,984;    4,508;    6,112;    2,206;    471;    63;    51
2020-06-02;    407,450;    9,384;    34,858;    36,350;    4,581;    6,176;    2,258;    366;    64;    52
2020-06-03;    423,521;    16,071;    36,232;    36,792;    4,669;    6,251;    2,299;    442;    75;    41
2020-06-04;    434,608;    11,087;    37,181;    37,282;    4,732;    6,312;    2,339;    490;    61;    40
2020-06-05;    443,533;    8,925;    37,944;    37,758;    4,789;    6,385;    2,355;    476;    73;    16
2020-06-06;    455,823;    12,290;    38,996;    38,111;    4,827;    6,460;    2,370;    353;    75;    15
2020-06-07;    466,279;    10,456;    39,890;    38,476;    4,858;    6,497;    2,377;    365;    37;    7
2020-06-08;    473,988;    7,709;    40,550;    38,837;    4,910;    6,550;    2,404;    361;    53;    27
2020-06-09;    487,583;    13,595;    41,713;    39,162;    4,939;    6,620;    2,421;    325;    70;    17
2020-06-10;    499,019;    11,436;    42,691;    39,575;    5,011;    6,693;    2,457;    413;    73;    36
2020-06-11;    509,699;    10,680;    43,605;    40,004;    5,057;    6,753;    2,490;    429;    60;    33
2020-06-12;    520,813;    11,114;    44,556;    40,424;    5,112;    6,814;    2,508;    420;    61;    18
2020-06-13;    535,943;    15,130;    45,850;    40,848;    5,144;    6,864;    2,554;    424;    50;    46
2020-06-14;    543,260;    7,317;    46,476;    41,148;    5,175;    6,895;    2,557;    300;    31;    3
2020-06-15;    554,128;    10,868;    47,406;    41,576;    5,220;    6,948;    2,573;    428;    53;    16
2020-06-16;    565,034;    10,906;    48,339;    42,010;    5,271;    7,007;    2,597;    434;    59;    24
2020-06-17;    581,444;    16,410;    49,743;    42,422;    5,336;    7,051;    2,611;    412;    44;    14
2020-06-18;    596,875;    15,431;    51,063;    43,122;    5,404;    7,104;    2,633;    700;    53;    22
2020-06-19;    612,854;    15,979;    52,430;    43,731;    5,481;    7,167;    2,667;    609;    63;    34
2020-06-20;    626,765;    13,911;    53,620;    44,262;    5,555;    7,201;    2,697;    531;    34;    30
 
Shifty Geezer said:
I presume other States are allowed to refuse travel from certain States to prevent being infected?
Click to expand...

Constitutionally, there are limits to what states can do to block interstate commerce or travel, but there's long-standing precedent supporting public-health measures like restrictions or quarantines. There are similar exemptions from the exercise of individual rights in times of health emergency, given the various measures taken in the spring.
It seems Rhode Island mandated 2-week self-quarantine for out of state travelers.

However, like many of these measures, it appears enforcement was lax.

Florida put up highway stops for a time for traffic going into the state, however it appears to be more of a security theater measure or way to transfer blame. The stops would only record the license plates of out of state cars going in, not really changing anything and furthering the state government's narrative at the time that the obviously previously established local infection rate was to be blamed on out of towners just entering, rather than infections the state did virtually nothing to track or contain.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

June 20, 2020 - 16,437 confirmed cases - 313 deaths

16,437 confirmed cases up 395 and two new deaths
those 395 new cases represent a 2.5% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 86 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
-- Month of June 2020 --
2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6%, 2.4% and now 2.5%

Increases (by count) over the last 86 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
-- Month of June 2020 --
+228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
+306, +413, +392, +394 and now +395

As of 11:00 am June 20, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 395 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 16,437, including 313 deaths.

The additional 2 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 60s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas. He expired in the facility.
  • A man in his 60s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
An increasing proportion of COVID-19 cases in Dallas County are being diagnosed in young adults between 18 to 39 years of age, such that of all cases reported after June 1st, almost half have been in this age group.

Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, more than two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have any high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

The age-adjusted rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases in non-hospitalized patients have been highest among Hispanics (667.4 per 100,000), Asians (187.4 per 100,000) and Blacks (136.4 per 100,000). These rates have been higher than Whites (43.8 per 100,000). Over 60% of overall COVID-19 cases to date have been Hispanic.

Of the 313 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
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State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 6/20/2020 @3:20 PM:

Total Tests: 1,690,124 (Up +67,273)

Total Viral Tests: 1,463,398 (Up 39,484)

Only 86.6% of Total Tests are Viral Tests the other 13.4% of tests are the useless Antibody Tests

Cases Reported: 107,735 (Up +4,430) : New All Time High Daily Case Increase. Not Good.

Fatalities: 2,165 (Up +25)

Texas tests per 1M population are 58,288 (Up +2,320) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. No change from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the total test numbers which is very bad as Antibody Tests are useless in determining if someone has the Coronavirus.

As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 1,463,398 which works out to be 50,469 per 1M population so Texas is really the 4th worst state in testing
 
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Cases in Texas are exploding right now.

Today's case increase of 4,430 is a new all time high. Not Good.

Last six day's case increases are 4,430 3,454, 3,516, 3,129, 2,622, 1,254

First day that cases exceeded 2000 was June 10th.
First day that cases exceeded 3000 was June 17th.
First day that cases exceeded 4000 was June 20th.

The numbers of cases in Texas for each week of June is :

June 1-7 : Total Cases 10,691 - Average of 1,527 per day
June 8-14 : Total Cases 12,876 - Average of 1,839 per day - 20% higher than the last week
June 15-20 : Total Cases 18,405 - Average of 3,068 per day - 69% higher than the last week so far in just six days.
 
Testing is at 13.2K. Higher number of daily new cases at 546, but its about the same as the day before, yet higher than the prior range of low 400s.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date. This graphic is resized by ~ 75% and taken from the State's Current Trends page: https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-6-21_16-19-23.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-6-21_16-18-24.png

Code: 
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-06-01;    398,066;    9,598;    34,055;    35,984;    4,508;    6,112;    2,206;    471;    63;    51
2020-06-02;    407,450;    9,384;    34,858;    36,350;    4,581;    6,176;    2,258;    366;    64;    52
2020-06-03;    423,521;    16,071;    36,232;    36,792;    4,669;    6,251;    2,299;    442;    75;    41
2020-06-04;    434,608;    11,087;    37,181;    37,282;    4,732;    6,312;    2,339;    490;    61;    40
2020-06-05;    443,533;    8,925;    37,944;    37,758;    4,789;    6,385;    2,355;    476;    73;    16
2020-06-06;    455,823;    12,290;    38,996;    38,111;    4,827;    6,460;    2,370;    353;    75;    15
2020-06-07;    466,279;    10,456;    39,890;    38,476;    4,858;    6,497;    2,377;    365;    37;    7
2020-06-08;    473,988;    7,709;    40,550;    38,837;    4,910;    6,550;    2,404;    361;    53;    27
2020-06-09;    487,583;    13,595;    41,713;    39,162;    4,939;    6,620;    2,421;    325;    70;    17
2020-06-10;    499,019;    11,436;    42,691;    39,575;    5,011;    6,693;    2,457;    413;    73;    36
2020-06-11;    509,699;    10,680;    43,605;    40,004;    5,057;    6,753;    2,490;    429;    60;    33
2020-06-12;    520,813;    11,114;    44,556;    40,424;    5,112;    6,814;    2,508;    420;    61;    18
2020-06-13;    535,943;    15,130;    45,850;    40,848;    5,144;    6,864;    2,554;    424;    50;    46
2020-06-14;    543,260;    7,317;    46,476;    41,148;    5,175;    6,895;    2,557;    300;    31;    3
2020-06-15;    554,128;    10,868;    47,406;    41,576;    5,220;    6,948;    2,573;    428;    53;    16
2020-06-16;    565,034;    10,906;    48,339;    42,010;    5,271;    7,007;    2,597;    434;    59;    24
2020-06-17;    581,444;    16,410;    49,743;    42,422;    5,336;    7,051;    2,611;    412;    44;    14
2020-06-18;    596,875;    15,431;    51,063;    43,122;    5,404;    7,104;    2,633;    700;    53;    22
2020-06-19;    612,854;    15,979;    52,430;    43,731;    5,481;    7,167;    2,667;    609;    63;    34
2020-06-20;    626,765;    13,911;    53,620;    44,262;    5,555;    7,201;    2,697;    531;    34;    30
2020-06-21;    639,991;    13,226;    54,752;    44,808;    5,633;    7,242;    2,700;    546;    41;    3
 
As of now, Florida is reporting 3,494 new cases since yesterday putting their 19 day streak at 39,844 total for an average of 2097 a day.

What's obscene in my mind is their 19 day streak of slightly under 40K is nearing Ohio count over the entire lifetime of the pandemic (45K). If trends holds, it will surpass it in 2 days.
 
Again sorry for not commenting, but thank you for posting all the information. It's horrifying, but at least I trust your numbers to be as real/accurate as possible.

All those poor people at the Trump rally talking about how it's overblown or else a conspiracy all together, I feel so bad for their stupids! :(
 
BRiT said:
As of now, Florida is reporting 3,494 new cases since yesterday putting their 19 day streak at 39,844 total for an average of 2097 a day.

What's obscene in my mind is their 19 day streak of slightly under 40K is nearing Ohio count over the entire lifetime of the pandemic (45K). If trends holds, it will surpass it in 2 days.
Click to expand...
Florida had 5x more cases yesterday than we have had total in Saskatchewan. And there are probably more people wearing masks here than there are in Florida.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

June 21, 2020 - 16,845 confirmed cases - 314 deaths

16,845 confirmed cases up 408 and one new death
those 408 new cases represent a 2.5% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 87 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
-- Month of June 2020 --
2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6%, 2.4%, 2.5% and now 2.5%

Increases (by count) over the last 87 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
-- Month of June 2020 --
+228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
+306, +413, +392, +394, +395 and now +408

As of 11:00 am June 21, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 408 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 16,845, including 314 deaths.

The additional 2 deaths being reported today include:

  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. She had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • An increasing proportion of COVID-19 cases in Dallas County are being diagnosed in young adults between 18 to 39 years of age, such that of all cases reported after June 1st, almost half have been in this age group.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, more than two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have any high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

The age-adjusted rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases in non-hospitalized patients have been highest among Hispanics (667.4 per 100,000), Asians (187.4 per 100,000) and Blacks (136.4 per 100,000). These rates have been higher than Whites (43.8 per 100,000). Over 60% of overall COVID-19 cases to date have been Hispanic.

Of the 314 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
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State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 6/21/2020 @3:05 PM:

Total Tests: 1,715,177 (Up +25,053)

Total Viral Tests: 1,526,180 (Up +62,782)

Only 89.0% of Total Tests are Viral Tests the other 11.0% of tests are the useless Antibody Tests

Cases Reported: 111,601 (Up +3,866)

Fatalities: 2,182 (Up +17)

Texas tests per 1M population are 59,152 (Up +864) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. No change from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the total test numbers which is very bad as Antibody Tests are useless in determining if someone has the Coronavirus.

As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 1,526,180 which works out to be 52,634 per 1M population so Texas is really the 6th worst state in testing
 
Cases in Texas are exploding right now.

Today's case increase is 3,866

Last seven day's case increases are 3,866, 4,430 3,454, 3,516, 3,129, 2,622, 1,254

First day that cases exceeded 2000 was June 10th.
First day that cases exceeded 3000 was June 17th.
First day that cases exceeded 4000 was June 20th.

The numbers of cases in Texas for each week of June is :

June 1-7 : Total Cases 10,691 - Average of 1,527 per day
June 8-14 : Total Cases 12,876 - Average of 1,839 per day - 20% higher than the previous week
June 15-21 : Total Cases 22,271 - Average of 3,182 per day - 73% higher than the previous week
 
BRiT said:
What's obscene in my mind is their 19 day streak of slightly under 40K is nearing Ohio count over the entire lifetime of the pandemic (45K). If trends holds, it will surpass it in 2 days.
Click to expand...
That inevitable as there's nothing happening to change the trajectory.

Hasn't Florida got an older average population? Yes. Mortality may be way higher there than other states.
 
Right, but they were down in the 400 to 600 new cases daily range. They just needed to stay the course. Even though they didn't, they should have reacted by now to the huge surge in numbers. I think any rational leader would have done something by now, or at least by day 7. It's nearly 2 weeks later and no reaction.

As for the age of the newly infected, the stories I had seen earlier were from the younger ones being infected, by going to nightclubs and other massively crowded events.
 
What I mean by age is if not controlled, proportionally more people may die because of the older population, than, say, Texas with a relatively younger population. That is, you'd think the older states would be more wary of controlling the disease.

Florida's numbers are approaching the UK's at its worst. If they enacted major controls now, there'd still be two weeks of increased cases. Without any action, the case numbers will rocket and lockdown will either have to be incredibly intense (no movement by anyone for two-four weeks) in an attempt to burn the disease out, or very long winded as the disease winds down over months.

It would appear the plan is give up and let it happen. The sick and elderly in Florida must be pretty worried.
 
Not if they dont believe in science or trust what they're being told by their leaders. That everything will be fine if they slow down the testing.

Le Sigh.
 
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