Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

TheAlSpark said:
Did Texas re-open in early June or something? I hadn't followed.
Click to expand...

Texas started to re-open May 15th at 25%. Since that time it went to 50%. Texas has not followed any science (even if they stated they would) so more and more businesses are now open that allow the virus to spread freely. The case explosion is the result.

Phase 3 Of Reopening Texas: All Businesses Now Allowed To Operate At Up To 50% Capacity

https://dfw.cbslocal.com/2020/06/03/phase-3-reopening-texas-all-businesses-50-percent-capacity

June 3, 2020: Gov. Greg Abbott has announced that Phase III of reopening Texas during the coronavirus pandemic is now in effect and will allow all businesses to operate at up to a 50% capacity.

Phase III is happening a month after businesses like restaurants and nonessential retail stores were able to reopen at a 25% capacity. Since then, other businesses like movie theaters, water parks, salons and barber shops were also allowed to reopen.

Abbott also said on June 12 restaurants will be able to increase their capacity to 75%. On June 19, amusement parks and carnivals in counties with more than 1,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 will able to reopen at a 50% capacity.
 
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I guess the problem is it's not visible. If infected people showed outward signs, folk would be reminded of it. All you have a bit of a cough to begin with, which doesn't seem out of the ordinary, and then when it gets bad, you aren't out and about so no-one sees. Very much a case of "out of sight, out of mind."
 
Testing is at 15.9K. Higher number of daily new cases, while the hospitalizations and deaths follow along the average.

Here is the trends which is using reported date and not arbitrary and incorrectly identified user reported onset date. This graphic is resized by ~ 75% and taken from the State's Current Trends page: https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/current-trends

upload_2020-6-19_14-21-35.png

Here is the raw data for the last few days:

upload_2020-6-19_14-20-49.png

Code: 
Date; Total Tests; New Tests; Tests per 1M Population; Total Cases; Cuyahoga County Cases; Hospitalizations; Total Deaths; New Cases; New Hospitalizations; New Deaths
2020-05-19; 277,602; 7,561; 23,749; 28,952; 3,463; 5,117; 1,720; 498; 119; 63
2020-05-20; 287,609; 10,007; 24,605; 29,436; 3,512; 5,198; 1,781; 484; 81; 61
2020-05-21; 297,085; 9,476; 25,416; 30,167; 3,667; 5,295; 1,836; 731; 97; 55
2020-05-22; 305,764; 8,679; 26,158; 30,794; 3,762; 5,379; 1,872; 627; 84; 36
2020-05-23; 314,374; 8,610; 26,895; 31,408; 3,851; 5,437; 1,956; 614; 58; 84
2020-05-24; 322,419; 8,045; 27,583; 31,911; 3,927; 5,476; 1,969; 503; 39; 13
2020-05-25; 330,334; 7,915; 28,260; 32,477; 3,963; 5,511; 1,987; 566; 35; 18
2020-05-26; 337,221; 6,887; 28,849; 33,006; 4,060; 5,579; 2,002; 529; 68; 15
2020-05-27; 347,477;10,256; 29,727; 33,439; 4,137; 5,700; 2,044; 433; 121; 42
2020-05-28;    357,722;    10,245;    30,603;    33,915;    4,211;    5,811;    2,098;    476;    111;    54
2020-05-29;    367,526;    9,804;    31,442;    34,566;    4,318;    5,947;    2,131;    651;    136;    33
2020-05-30;    379,552;    12,026;    32,471;    35,034;    4,369;    6,011;    2,149;    468;    64;    18
2020-05-31;    388,468;    8,916;    33,234;    35,513;    4,444;    6,049;    2,155;    479;    38;    6
2020-06-01;    398,066;    9,598;    34,055;    35,984;    4,508;    6,112;    2,206;    471;    63;    51
2020-06-02;    407,450;    9,384;    34,858;    36,350;    4,581;    6,176;    2,258;    366;    64;    52
2020-06-03;    423,521;    16,071;    36,232;    36,792;    4,669;    6,251;    2,299;    442;    75;    41
2020-06-04;    434,608;    11,087;    37,181;    37,282;    4,732;    6,312;    2,339;    490;    61;    40
2020-06-05;    443,533;    8,925;    37,944;    37,758;    4,789;    6,385;    2,355;    476;    73;    16
2020-06-06;    455,823;    12,290;    38,996;    38,111;    4,827;    6,460;    2,370;    353;    75;    15
2020-06-07;    466,279;    10,456;    39,890;    38,476;    4,858;    6,497;    2,377;    365;    37;    7
2020-06-08;    473,988;    7,709;    40,550;    38,837;    4,910;    6,550;    2,404;    361;    53;    27
2020-06-09;    487,583;    13,595;    41,713;    39,162;    4,939;    6,620;    2,421;    325;    70;    17
2020-06-10;    499,019;    11,436;    42,691;    39,575;    5,011;    6,693;    2,457;    413;    73;    36
2020-06-11;    509,699;    10,680;    43,605;    40,004;    5,057;    6,753;    2,490;    429;    60;    33
2020-06-12;    520,813;    11,114;    44,556;    40,424;    5,112;    6,814;    2,508;    420;    61;    18
2020-06-13;    535,943;    15,130;    45,850;    40,848;    5,144;    6,864;    2,554;    424;    50;    46
2020-06-14;    543,260;    7,317;    46,476;    41,148;    5,175;    6,895;    2,557;    300;    31;    3
2020-06-15;    554,128;    10,868;    47,406;    41,576;    5,220;    6,948;    2,573;    428;    53;    16
2020-06-16;    565,034;    10,906;    48,339;    42,010;    5,271;    7,007;    2,597;    434;    59;    24
2020-06-17;    581,444;    16,410;    49,743;    42,422;    5,336;    7,051;    2,611;    412;    44;    14
2020-06-18;    596,875;    15,431;    51,063;    43,122;    5,404;    7,104;    2,633;    700;    53;    22
2020-06-19;    612,854;    15,979;    52,430;    43,731;    5,481;    7,167;    2,667;    609;    63;    34
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

June 19, 2020 - 16,042 confirmed cases - 311 deaths

16,042 confirmed cases up 394 and four new deaths
those 394 new cases represent a 2.5% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 85 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
2.8%, 3.0%, 2.9%, 2.4%, 2.3%, 2.5%, 2.0%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 2.1%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.2%, 2.3%
-- Month of June 2020 --
2.2%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 2.5%, 2.5%, 2.2%, 2.1%,
2.1%, 2.8%, 2.6% and now 2.4%

Increases (by count) over the last 85 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
+205, +224, +225, +186, +183, +204, +172, +178, +171, +190, +197, +202, +200, +219, +228
-- Month of June 2020 --
+228, +257, +239, +285, +298, +289, +263, +254, +298, +300, +312, +328, +345, +302, +305,
+306, +413, +392 and now +394

As of 11:00 am June 19, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 394 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 16,042, including 311 deaths.

The additional 4 deaths being reported today include:

  • A man in his 30’s who was a resident of the City of Grand Prairie. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 50’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and did not have underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 60’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Farmers Branch. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas. He had been critically ill in an area hospital, and had underlying high risk health conditions.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, more than two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have any high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

The age-adjusted rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases in non-hospitalized patients have been highest among Hispanics (667.4 per 100,000), Asians (187.4 per 100,000) and Blacks (136.4 per 100,000). These rates have been higher than Whites (43.8 per 100,000). Over 60% of overall COVID-19 cases to date have been Hispanic.

Of the 311 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83
https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/0d8bdf9be927459d9cb11b9eaef6101

Data as of 6/19/2020 @3:00 PM:

Total Tests: 1,622,851 (Up +45,926)

Total Viral Tests: 1,423,914 (Up 16,173)

Only 87.7% of Total Tests are Viral Tests the other 12.3% of tests are the useless Antibody Tests

Cases Reported: 103,305 (Up +3,454)

Fatalities: 2,140 (Up +35)

Texas tests per 1M population are 55,968 (Up +1,584) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. No change from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column twice to sort from worst to first

They are using roughly 28.996 million as the population of Texas.

Texas is mixing Viral and Antibody Tests in the total test numbers which is very bad as Antibody Tests are useless in determining if someone has the Coronavirus.

As of today the real number of Total Viral Tests for Texas is 1,423,914 which works out to be 49,107 per 1M population so Texas is really the 4th worst state in testing
 
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Cases in Texas are exploding right now.

Last five day's case increases are 3,454, 3,516, 3,129, 2,622, 1,254

First day that cases exceeded 2000 was June 10th.
First day that cases exceeded 3000 was June 17th.

The numbers of cases in Texas for each week of June is :

June 1-7 : Total Cases 10,691 - Average of 1,527 per day
June 8-14 : Total Cases 12,876 - Average of 1,839 per day - 20% higher than the last week
June 15-19 : Total Cases 13,975 - Average of 2,795 per day - 52% higher than the last week so far in just five days.
 
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Is the pandemic getting worse in the US?

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/is-the-pandemic-getting-worse-in-the-us/ar-BB15JjCp

The answer is YES.

Weekly COVID-19 Data Update, June 18: The Regional Gap Widens

https://covidtracking.com/blog/weekly-covid-19-data-update-june-18-the-regional-gap-widens

How much of this rise in cases is attributable to increased testing? As daily US tests move toward the 500K tests per day minimum recommended by the Harvard Global Health Institute, we would expect to see a corresponding rise in case count. We can evaluate whether the regional increases are due to more testing by looking at two other numbers: the positivity rate of all tests performed, how many tests came back positive—and hospitalizations. In regions where testing capacity has caught up to the outbreak, the positivity rate drops, which is what we see in the Northeast, where the positivity rate has dropped from above 40 percent to below two percent.

After dropping from April highs, the positivity rate in the South and West plateaued and then began to rise again, meaning more of the tests being performed are coming back positive. At the same time, we’re seeing COVID-19 hospitalizations rise sharply in some areas. Since Memorial Day, Texas has seen an 84 percent rise in COVID-19 hospitalizations; in Arizona, hospitalizations have risen 90 percent over the same period.

Against the background of rising cases and positivity rates, no US state has yet re-imposed restrictions on businesses or gatherings. Since May 20, all 50 states began the process of phased reopening plans. So far, only Oregon has halted further reopening until their state-level data improves. In Texas, where restaurants are allowed to operate at 75 percent capacity, reopening is continuing as planned and mask requirements are no longer enforceable. In Arizona, however, although official reopening plans remain in effect, the governor has issued an executive order that requires businesses to comply with (previously voluntary) social-distancing guidelines and allows cities and towns to impose new face-covering requirements.
 
BRiT said:
Arizona continues the surge with +3,246 new cases to overtake Connecticut. Arizona is now at 46,689 total cases. They're within range of overtaking Louisiana shortly.
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And just like that, Arizona overtakes Louisiana (provided LA post less than 1283 new cases) with +3,109 new cases for a total of 49,798 cases. They're within range (1,591) of overtaking North Carolina (51,389) in a day or two if both their numbers hold.
 
BRiT said:
So much for what some politicians were saying, that warmer weather will wipe out the virus.
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That was little more than a hope. I guess it may still be vulnerable to really hot weather, but that'll only kill environmental virions. Person to person infection will still happen and the virus will still live on in air-conditioned premises.

Florida's graph

upload_2020-6-20_18-8-40.png

I presume other States are allowed to refuse travel from certain States to prevent being infected?
 
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