1. Adoption rates always grow rapidly at first. When you start off at zero, or near zero, adoption rates start off near infinity and then drop from them.
THat isn't allways true . Numbers can quickly drop off and fall down . Look at mini disc
2. There are already BR players either on the market, or planned for this year. PS3 won't be the first player. And as far as movies are concerned, it'll be like UMD. I really hope for unification, b/c I see both HD format stalling badly if they don't get on the same page.
The only player i've heard of is around 800$ and may not be compatible with the final specs of bluray that sony itself admits aren't finallized .
3. Um, you don't know how many movies will be out for HD-DVD. The same applied for BRD, no one knows b/c there aren't any. And players should end up out at the same time, although that's also unknown. What's known is that unless it fails, it doesn't matter how many HD-DVD players there are. The userbase will be eclipsed quickly by the PS3. No other HD format player will ship in anywhere near the same volumes as PS3. The PS2 is still far and away the best-selling DVD player on the market. It's not even close AFAIK.
hd-dvd should have more by the very fact that it will be out in mass force before bluray
as for the ps2 comment that is just <bleep> speak . Normal players are on sale for mabye a year at most and there are many many diffrent models . That is the dumbest comparison i've heard .
4. It doesn't compare now b/c the PS3 will be the only next-gen system with a blue-laser drive. You cannot deny it'll make a great bullet-point which will be promoted heavily. And yes, it will make a difference to a lot of people. Perceived advantages are sometimes better than real advantages, whether we like them or not.
Yea ? and if bluray fails how great of a marketing point will it be ?