I can honestly see the day when PC gaming pretty much goes "casual only" when the only people gaming on PCs are playing casual games like on a laptop. Funny thing is, that consoles are pretty much just becoming PCs with basic functionality, so in the end, PCs technically will always be around, especially as laptops, the customization will eventually be dumbed down though I can see. With a set top box console and PC functions, it's important that the system can stay worthwhile over a period of time. If MS and Sony really want to do that, then they need to include a high amount of RAM in the system to prevent bottlenecks. It's incredibly ironic that a "bane" of PC gaming: background processes, has infiltrated it's way into consoles. So now you want to include basic PC functionality into a console that is a gaming centric machine that already happens to be experiencing background processing issues that take up crucial resources? Include a proper amount of RAM for such a machine or make the RAM user upgradable (but then we'd have a PC again!).
The future model for PCs could be the laptop. Basic upgrade functionality, yet completely practical. There will be no more separate mobile and desktop processor lines, all "mobile capable" (at least for the mainstream market). So, as much as the console may actually possibly destroy the desktop PC market (which in most likely case WILL NOT HAPPEN), you can't kill the laptop market at all, and too many people will be unwilling to settle for Netbooks until they provide the power they need to do anything decently (which won't be for a very long time). You always have the uncertainty principle in the back of your mind. Sure you have this minor task in mind for all the time, but what about when you need ALOT of power for those certain instances like video editing, some gaming, etc? Because of that, I can see PC gaming continuing to survive quite well as long as people maintain some knowledge of mobile computing components. Therefore there will always be advancements in hardware and software hopefully. I can go to a Best Buy, buy a gaming centric G51 series laptop for ~$1000, getting a relatively fast PC that happens to be great for all functions including gaming (a 9800M GS or GTX260M destroys either a 360 or PS3 graphically), that is mobile to boot (can't forget it's inherit UPC capabilities). Yes it's somewhat expensive, but it's the all-provider of everything I'd want in a computer except for being upgradeable.
Oh and **** cloud computing. I'll keep my stuff with me thank you very much.
As for the current crop of consoles, they are certainly capable machines, but to develop proper Windows like OSs for them, how much would that cost the consumer? I highly doubt MS would give a Windows for 360 for free considering they'd have to develop it for the PPC platform, be useful on 512 MB of RAM, and still make it fast enough to switch from OS only to game mode only. That might require a reboot and may make such a useful idea quite moot. The PS3 only had Linux because PPC versions of it were already compatible with Cell by nature and Sony saw a way for researching to leap into using the system from the get go. Sony really didn't have to do anything except allow the firmware to accept it. Also how many people would buy into a Windows for 360? Might be alot initially, but I see the popularity dropping off quite quickly once people figure our their experience with a normal PC is still better or they might barely use the 360 Windows at all, seeing it more as a novelty. Few would buy into it next time around with their curiosity fulfilled. Then what about third party programs? Would they have to go through MS just to gain compatibility and the right to be used on the platform? Oh the issues, the issues..................
The PC still represents the closest thing to true computing
freedom (just had to do that
) for developers and users alike. There are too many people that still value that to be willing to give it up and I think plenty of hardware companies still realize this and are unwilling to quit doing what they do as long as they are raking in the money.