Sony will start seeling million consoles per month, when they start to sell Dating Simulators or some other Hentai oriented games. Mark my words
[Or FF XIII]
[Or FF XIII]
Nintendo is winning every territory, not just Japan. There is little Sony can do about that right now, but Japan is relatively safe going for them in any case, as there is only one competing console there.Right now the Wii is making a killing over there while the PS3 is having decent sales. I still think somewhere down the line they can still win but for some reason I don't think the answer is JRPG's.
Nintendo is winning every territory, not just Japan. There is little Sony can do about that right now, but Japan is relatively safe going for them in any case, as there is only one competing console there.
IMHO
1) price drop
2 & 3) HDTV & Blu-ray (equally important)
4 & 5) games & non-game applications (equally important)
1) PS3 had a price drop before it launched in Japan
2 & 3) I don't know of their penetration rates in Japan, but I don't think that it is important to this either. It's been known from day 1 that the PS3 is much more powerful than the Wii, but game resolution isn't equal to enjoyment of a game for most of them, judging by the way the DS dominates sales in Japan. I like new consoles because of a shiny new graphics, among other things. However, it doesn't appear that the Japanese consider that integral to a game's enjoyment. It's the same situation with the PSP and DS.
4 & 5) The only things that matter, the games. Eventually, Nintendo is going to move more of their focus on the Wii for game development. Nintendo, as a brand, is probably as strong as it's been since the Famicom. Iwata has done a great job running the company. Wii's absurdly quick start has forced a lot of developers to start adding Wii games to their portfolios. Notice how both EA and Buena Vista have started Wii only studios. I'm sure that there is some sort of equivalent going on in Japan. Console sales are like a snowball effect. After a certain period, there isn't any turning back, it is what it is. As I look at the media create sales, they clearly show that the Wii is still supply restrained. IIRC, PS3 is tracking below what the Dreamcast and Gamecube tracked in Japan. I just think that, for the most part, the gamer that are buying all of these games have moved onto something else and that something else is what Nintendo is providing.
It's time to rethink games as an entity and not just making better graphics or AI.
IMHO
1) price drop
2 & 3) HDTV & Blu-ray (equally important)
4 & 5) games & non-game applications (equally important)
This is the order of priority. In 2011 analog TV broadcast ends in Japan so HDTV adoption will only rise towards it along with Blu-ray. The influence of traditional games is below them. The price drop also depends on how PS3 & PS2 sales go in other markets.
That's cool. If in 2011 BD players are pretty cheap, PS3 will be pretty cheap too and will be cheaper than today in the next year, 2009, 2010.By 2011 standalone BR players would be pretty cheap...
By 2011 PS4 will be ready to launch...
Conclusion - it will have little affect on PS3 sales in Japan or anywhere else.
That's cool. If in 2011 BD players are pretty cheap, PS3 will be pretty cheap too and will be cheaper than today in the next year, 2009, 2010.
Yep, and the PS3 also signaled to the consumers the end of the PS2 in Japan. The PS2 is currently selling at 16k per week, the PS3 is at 20k. Even combined, it's still less than half of what the Wii sold last week.Well in Japan they go for Wii as that console outsell now both PS2 and PS3. And I bet that japaneses know what HD is
Sony will start seeling million consoles per month, when they start to sell Dating Simulators or some other Hentai oriented games. Mark my words
[Or FF XIII]
So you know how much PS4 is already... Or are you forgetting even the fact that PS2 is still selling today?By 2011 nobody would care about PS3's success since it would be nearing the end of its life and PS4 being right around the corner. In other words too little too late to do anything about making it successful if it hasn't already been successful by that timeframe.
Nintendo re-thought a control scheme, but forgot to include a capability for better graphics and better AI [than PS2]. I think this will prove to be a boat anchor. One that they are successfully dragging now, but will catch, and within 12 months. Their low price point is also a two-edged sword: an small investment is easier to walk away from.
Meanwhile, there is nothing about "re-thought" gaming that cannot be implemented on PS3 or Xbox360 for the next five years.
So you know how much PS4 is already... Or are you forgetting even the fact that PS2 is still selling today?
In about two years the PS3 will have the right price, with the benefit of 2 years of software development and releases.