Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

Positive cases to tests is around 4.67%, which I think still indicates the testing is too limited by still requiring a doctor's recommendation to get tested.

Ohio's Trends look just as ugly today as they did 3 weeks ago.

Ohio did 12.7K tests for today's numbers which is their highest testing so far but way off their aim of over 22K a day, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, 5.5K, 8.1K, 7.0K, 8.2K, 12.2K, 8.1K, 5.4K, 7.1K, 8K and 7.4K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 26,954 (up from 26,357 ), Hospitalized: 4,791 (up from 4,718 ), and Deaths: 1,581 (up from 1,534 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 1,605 , 150
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 3156 (up from 3066 ) ~ 2.94% increase.

Percentage increase: 2.27%, 1.55%, 3.06%
Raw increase: 597, 73, 47

Ohio has total tests of 244,577 (up from 231,795 ) and tests per 1M population of 20,924 (up from ~ 19,830 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're now using roughly 11.689 million for population of Ohio.
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/15/2020 @ 3:15 PM:

Total Tests: 645,992 (Up +22,708) : 7,292 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 45,198 (Up +1,347) : 101 less cases today over yesterday.
In Hospitals: 1,716 (Up +68)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 25,454 (Up +967)
Fatalities: 1,272 (Up +56)

Texas tests per 1M population are 22,279 (Up +783) which places Texas as the 9th worst State. No change from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.996 million as the population of Texas.
 
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So, the results of a major serology survey in Spain are available:

https://english.elpais.com/society/...paniards-have-contracted-the-coronavirus.html

Almost 70,000 tests indicate that perhaps 5% of the population have antibodies showing they have been exposed, ranging from below 2% in some regions up to 13.5% in the worst-hit (with Madrid 11.3%).

The results would indicate that approximately 90% of cases have gone undetected by the healthcare system (i.e. no PCR test). Fatality rate would therefore be in the region of 1%, perhaps a little higher. A third of cases have been asymptomatic with those infected unaware that they've had the virus, but 43% of cases saw a loss of smell as a symptom.

If herd immunity was as low as 60% (and this is actually possible with this novel virus), you'd still be looking at in excess of 300,000 deaths in Spain if/when the disease returns and is allowed to run free.

Lower antibody rates for babies and young children though it isn't known whether this means they haven't been infected in similar numbers to adults or just didn't generate antibodies.

If you want to go the herd immunity route and 60% was a good figure, you'd be looking at in excess of 40 million deaths globally if you let the disease run its course.

We await the arrival of serology tests from other countries to see if the figures match up approximately.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 15, 2020 - 7,036 confirmed cases - 164 deaths

7,036 confirmed cases up 199 over yesterday and five new deaths
those 199 new cases represent a 2.9% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 50 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6% and now 2.9%

Increases (by count) over the last 50 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235 and now +199

As of 11:00 am May 15, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 199 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 7,036, including 164 deaths.

The additional 5 deaths are being reported today include:

A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Mesquite and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Grand Prairie and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
A man in his 60’s who was a resident of the City of Grand Prairie and had been found deceased at home.
A woman in her 70’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
A man in his 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Irving and had been hospitalized.

Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 164 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities
Click to expand...
 
Mariner said:
If you want to go the herd immunity route and 60% was a good figure, you'd be looking at in excess of 40 million deaths globally if you let the disease run its course.

We await the arrival of serology tests from other countries to see if the figures match up approximately.
Click to expand...
A UK study (Public Health England) reckons a higher proportion of children have had the disease than adults, 18%. But then other studies have shown otherwise, children are no more likely.

I think this shows these companies/organisations aren't very good at their jobs. ;) With the same situation that they're all measuring, they aren't able to get a clear picture of what's actually going on.
 
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Shifty Geezer said:
A UK study (Public Health England) reckons a higher proportion of children have had the disease than adults, 18%. But then other studies have shown otherwise, children are no more likely.

I think this shows these companies/organisations aren't very good at their jobs. ;) With the same situation that they're all measuring, they aren't able to get a clear picture of what's actually going on.
Click to expand...
then with adults the virus is going to have a field day in the future, given the low herd immunity in most of the countries.

What's obvious is that this virus has changed the world as we know it. Now companies have just had a light bulb moment :smile2: and are realising that teleworking is going to mean a LOT of cost reductions. From transport -wheels, fuel- to office costs -rent, cleaning, electricity, etc etc-.. This in turn is better for the planet, so it's all about the benefits.

edit: not to mention that most work accidents happen in itinere
 
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Difference between the Spanish serological survey and the PHE/University of Cambridge figures is that the former is based on actual testsaand the latter is based on mathematical modelling of known death and infection rates.

Providing the subject selection, testing and statistical analysis in Spain was carried out competently, it ought to be a more accurate representation than a mathematical model based on incomplete data and assumptions which may or may not be correct.

Until we have the data of widespread serological tests from a number of countries, it is going to be difficult to be absolutely certain, of course.

What might be useful is if antibody tests were carried out on the sailors who were on board the French aircraft carrier which had the outbreak last month. Discover how many of those confirmed as infected have produced decent amounts of antibody and see how many who didn't return a positive test may actually have antibodies.

Obviously, the possibility that any positives were infected before or after the outbreak can't be discounted but it might provide some useful information.
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/16/2020 @ 3:15 PM:

Total Tests: 678,471 (Up +32,479) : 2,479 above the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised
Cases Reported: 46,999 (Up +1,801) : +454 more cases today over yesterday. Expanding Not Good
In Hospitals: 1,791 (Up +75)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 26,601 (Up +1,147)
Fatalities: 1,305 (Up +33)

Texas tests per 1M population are 22,424 (Up +145) which places Texas as the 8th worst State. Down one place from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.996 million as the population of Texas.
 
Positive cases to tests is around 5%, which I think still indicates the testing is too limited by still requiring a doctor's recommendation to get tested.

Ohio's Trends look just as ugly today as they did 3 weeks ago.

Ohio did 10.3K tests for today's numbers which is still way off their aim of over 22K a day, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, 5.5K, 8.1K, 7.0K, 8.2K, 12.2K, 8.1K, 5.4K, 7.1K, 8K, 7.4K, and 12.7K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 27,474 (up from 26,954 ), Hospitalized: 4,870 (up from 4,791 ), and Deaths: 1,610 (up from 1,581 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 1,638 , 153
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 3223 (up from 3156 ) ~ 2.12% increase.

Percentage increase: 1.93%, 1.65%, 1.83%
Raw increase: 520, 79, 29

Ohio has total tests of 254,914 (up from 244,577 ) and tests per 1M population of 21,808 (up from ~ 20,924 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're now using roughly 11.689 million for population of Ohio.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 16, 2020 - 7,250 confirmed cases - 170 deaths

7,250 confirmed cases up 214 over yesterday and six new deaths
those 214 new cases represent a 3.0% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 51 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9% and now 3.0%

Increases (by count) over the last 51 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199 and now +214

As of 11:00 am May 16, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 214 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 7,250, including 170 deaths.

The additional 6 deaths are being reported today include:

  • A man in his 40’s who was a resident of the City of Mesquite and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 50’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas and expired in a hospital ED.
  • A woman in her 70’s who was a resident of the City of Garland and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of the City of Grand Prairie and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Irving and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A woman in her 100’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite and had been hospitalized.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions. Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Of the 164 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
Ohio let Hair places open up this week, but you're supposed to have appointments so you dont have any crowd and minimize people in an area. I saw so many peeps in line for GreatClips hair place, where the cuts are cheap because its training grounds, when I picked up pizza. Its where the cleaning between cuts will take longer than the cuts, most likely. It's not working there. Such a crowd and line.

So I expect to see spikes and news reports over the next week about hair-did related pandemic cases spreading in Ohio.
 
Positive cases to tests is around 5.7%, which I think still indicates the testing is too limited by still requiring a doctor's recommendation to get tested.

Ohio's Trends still look as ugly today as they did 3 weeks ago.

Ohio did 7.8K tests for today's numbers which is barely over 1/3rd of the over 22K a day target, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, 5.5K, 8.1K, 7.0K, 8.2K, 12.2K, 8.1K, 5.4K, 7.1K, 8K, 7.4K, 12.7K, and 10.3K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 27,923 (up from 27,474 ), Hospitalized: 4,921 (up from 4,870 ), and Deaths: 1,625 (up from 1,610 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 1,703, 153
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 3321 (up from 3223 ) ~ 3.04% increase.

Percentage increase: 1.63%, 1.05%, 0.93%
Raw increase: 449, 51, 15

Ohio has total tests of 262,759 (up from 254,914 ) and tests per 1M population of 22,479 (up from ~ 21,808 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're now using roughly 11.689 million for population of Ohio.
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 17, 2020 - 7,455 confirmed cases - 176 deaths

7,455 confirmed cases up 205 over yesterday and six new deaths
those 205 new cases represent a 2.8% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 52 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3%, 3.9%, 3.8%, 3.6%, 2.9%, 3.0%,
and now 2.8%

Increases (by count) over the last 52 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253, +236, +243, +235, +199, +214,
and now +205

As of 11:00 am May 17, 2020, Dallas County Health and Human Services is reporting 205 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 7,455, including 176 deaths.

The additional 6 deaths are being reported today include:

  • A man in his 30’s who was a resident of the City of Irving and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 70’s who was a resident of the City of Richardson and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 80’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and expired in the facility.
  • A man in his 90’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Mesquite and had been hospitalized.
  • A man in his 90’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and expired in the facility.
  • A man in his 90’s who was a resident of a long-term care facility in the City of Dallas and expired in the facility.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, over 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 176 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/17/2020 @ 3:15 PM:

Total Tests: 693,276 (Up +14,805) : 15,195 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised. Not Good
Cases Reported: 47,784 (Up +785) : 1,016 more cases today over yesterday.
In Hospitals: 1,512 (Down -279)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 27,570 (Up +969)
Fatalities: 1,336 (Up +31)

Texas tests per 1M population are 23,486 (Up +1,062) which places Texas as the 8th worst State. No change from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.996 million as the population of Texas.
 
WhiningKhan said:
It has long been speculated that the coronaviruses causing some of the common cold outbreaks might have primed the immune system of their victims to fight off SARS-CoV-2, explaining the large number of asymptomatic Covid-19 patients. Research on that is progressing, not really confirming that yet but at least further suggesting that it might be possible.

https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(20)30610-3
Click to expand...

However - the same idea can also be thought to worsen the outcome of SARS-CoV-2 infection, i.e. the immune system producing a response but in a way that is unsuccessful in actually neutralizing the virus.
 
It would be too serendipitous to come across a cowpox/smallpox situation where inoculation with one disease provided immunity for another.

As an aside, I just read up about smallpox as a diversion and see that the Chinese were practicing variolation against smallpox as far back as 16th century. Something the west caught into a couple of hundred years later.

A sign of the times that a fatality rate up to 2% from variolation was acceptable compared to up to 35% in the full disease and now we're so concerned about the effects of a virus with a fatality rate in the region of 1% with treatment! Sort of like catching Covid-19 deliberately to avoid SARS.
 
Just another personal experience.

The spread of Covid19 has happened much earlier than initially thought even in Ohio, USA. They say the first case in Ohio was March 9th. But that's so far off the mark.

In early February my sister, brother-in-law, niece and nephew were sick for a couple of weeks. Long before this the boys both have asmatic symptoms on and off and high levels of allergies. The family had all the typical symptoms, especially the boys, throwing up, diarrhea, shortness of breath, fever, chills, aches, cough. They were sicker than my niece and sister, who were less sick but still suffered. They didn't even visit my parents for the entire month when normally they would at least once a week and would stay over the weekends a couple times a month.

My niece's Junior High class had over half of the kids out sick, some of them for close to two weeks. From the first group of kids who were sick earlier, the one boy's father had the AntiBody test done last week. It came back that he has the antibodies. Initially in February he was tested for Flu but they said it wasn't the typical flu and thought it was something else because of the lung issues. This was the only time this year the boy's father was sick.

Hopefully my sister will be able to get an antibody test while she's working. I would not be surprised if she already has the antibodies.

This places massive outbreak of Covid19 in Ohio to early February with a more likely chance of January.
 
BRiT said:
Just another personal experience.

The spread of Covid19 has happened much earlier than initially thought even in Ohio, USA. They say the first case in Ohio was March 9th. But that's so far off the mark.

In early February my sister, brother-in-law, niece and nephew were sick for a couple of weeks. Long before this the boys both have asmatic symptoms on and off and high levels of allergies. The family had all the typical symptoms, especially the boys, throwing up, diarrhea, shortness of breath, fever, chills, aches, cough. They were sicker than my niece and sister, who were less sick but still suffered. They didn't even visit my parents for the entire month when normally they would at least once a week and would stay over the weekends a couple times a month.

My niece's Junior High class had over half of the kids out sick, some of them for close to two weeks. From the first group of kids who were sick earlier, the one boy's father had the AntiBody test done last week. It came back that he has the antibodies. Initially in February he was tested for Flu but they said it wasn't the typical flu and thought it was something else because of the lung issues. This was the only time this year the boy's father was sick.

Hopefully my sister will be able to get an antibody test while she's working. I would not be surprised if she already has the antibodies.

This places massive outbreak of Covid19 in Ohio to early February with a more likely chance of January.
Click to expand...
That makes me think, how come we're not all infected, bearing in mind that the infection rates even with quarantine were so big and it's proven that the first cases were long before any measure was applied?
 
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