Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19) (SARS-CoV-2) [2020]

AlphaWolf said:
Sweden has some peculiar demographics for those thinking their model might have worked in the US. For instance about 50% of Sweden lives in a single individual household.
Click to expand...

That's by the way why I included "or even Stockholm" in the original post. It raged most heavily inside the immigrant population, which are not generally single individual households. Yet for Stockholm excess deaths still peaked in 3 weeks.

Sweden as a whole might paint an overly rosy picture of the cost of using moderate social distancing (by western lock down standards) to bring R0 under 1, it being low to begin with there on average, yet even in Stockholm it seems capable of doing it quite quickly ... and a likely explanation is herd immunity starting to have an effect far sooner than assumed.

I don't use this as an argument for following the example of Sweden, I argue that in heavy hit areas we might already have followed it with the draconian measures coming too late to make much of a difference.
 
Last edited:
What-The-F-ck !!!

Feds’ plan to pull 1,000 tests a day from Dallas, could close two largest coronavirus sites

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/public-health/2020/05/11/dallas-county-reports-253-new-coronavirus-cases-tying-its-single-day-high/?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Civil+rights+leaders+say+criticism+of+judge+in+salon+dispute+shows+racial+bias:+Your+Tuesday+morning++roundup&utm_campaign=Morningroundup_051220

The federal government plans to pull COVID-19 tests from two Dallas sites by the end of the month, Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins said Monday. The move could close the two largest testing sites and the county would lose 1,000 tests a day.

Jenkins said he’s trying to negotiate an extension. He’ll have backing from Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson, who is preparing a statement with the county to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and Federal Emergency Management Agency, said Tristan Hallman, a spokesman for the mayor.

The extension wouldn’t be the first for the county, but Jenkins isn’t sure another will be granted.

Pulling the tests isn’t a sign that case numbers are declining but “an indication that the feds are getting out of testing,” he said.

The announcement came as Dallas County reported 253 new coronavirus cases Monday, tying its record for the most cases reported in a day. The county also reported two more deaths.

The sites, which opened the weekend of March 21 at American Airlines Center near downtown and Ellis Davis Field House in the Red Bird area, can each conduct about 500 tests a day.

Jenkins said he hopes to keep the test kits and lab services so the county can conduct tests at other locations.

“We’re gonna work on finding a way to keep that going,” he said. “We’re working a lot of different angles to keep that going because that’s an important community resource."

Jenkins said losing the testing would be a “big hit,” even with the announcement of seven new testing sites at Walmart and Kroger stores across the county that each can perform 50 tests a day.

Texas ranks last in coronavirus testing in the country, he said.

Jenkins also unveiled a color-coded chart Monday to help residents understand the status of the fight against the pandemic.

The chart, created by doctors on the Dallas County Public Health Committee, lays out four risk zones marked as red, orange, yellow and green.

5ebeceb95e4b7.image.png


The county is now in the red zone, indicating a high community risk for transmission that means activities such as shopping or dining out should be avoided, Jenkins said.

To move from the red zone to the orange zone, or a moderate risk of community transmission, there must be a 14-day decline in cases, Dallas County Health and Human Services director Philip Huang said.

The goal is to reach the green zone until vaccines are available. Even in the green zone, the “new normal” is a vast departure from how life used to be. The county recommends still wearing face masks and practicing physical distancing. For example, doctors say that people should still sit apart at religious services and that they should consider nonessential travel only if there is no evidence of medium or high evidence of community spread.

According to models the county officials analyzed, Dallas County’s coronavirus spread could have plateaued in late April or early May. However, Jenkins said that though cases seem to be hovering around 250 a day, it’s too soon to say whether that means community transmission rates have peaked.

“It is hard to predict what a virus will do, and the models didn’t take into account the increased activity from all of the openings that have taken place over the last three weeks,” he said.


-----------------------------

Edit: May 5, 2020

Good news:

Dallas’ largest coronavirus testing sites to remain open through June after feds extend support
The federal government has extended its support of two COVID-19 testing sites in Dallas through June, after Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins said earlier this week that the federal government planned to stop supplying 1,000 tests per day to Dallas at the end of the month.

Mayor Eric Johnson announced the extension Wednesday, calling the testing sites important assets for the city.

The mayor shared a copy of a letter from Deputy Surgeon General Erica Schwartz to Nim Kidd, chief of the Texas Division of Emergency Management, saying seven federally-supported testing sites across the state would be extended through June 30.


 
Last edited:
Shifty Geezer said:
"...marked as red, orange, yellow and green" and where 'orange' is red. :???:
Click to expand...
yeah gives you a lot of confidence, or the camera is set up really badly. Unless my eyes are deceiving me those colors are-ish
purple, red, orange, green (or maybe its my eyes that are defective, then again one mans purple is another mans violet)
 
BRiT said:
The US message is clear, Trump expects everyone who isn't in his trusted circle to die but to spend money before they do.
Click to expand...
If only Trump supporters listen to POTUS, there will be a lot less Trump supporters come November. :runaway:
 
zed said:
yeah gives you a lot of confidence, or the camera is set up really badly. Unless my eyes are deceiving me those colors are-ish
purple, red, orange, green (or maybe its my eyes that are defective, then again one mans purple is another mans violet)
Click to expand...
Yeah, hue of the highest level is pushed far outside what we'd call red (beyond even crimson) towards something purplish, magenta. Even accounting for issues with colour portrayal from their screen to mine, the names don't match the colours; if you a shift the image hue back so level Red is red, Yellow will end up green.

Really odd choices.
 
Positive cases to tests is around 6.6%, which goes to show how testing is still limited to only those with doctor's recommendation to get tested.

Ohio did 7.1K tests for today's numbers which is still off their highest number of tests last week, with previous days at 3.3K, 3.6K, 5.5K, 4.9K, 6.5K, 5.2K, 4.3K, 4.9K, 5.5K, 8.1K, 7.0K, 8.2K, 12.2K, 8.1K, and 5.4K.

Ohio's numbers today, Confirmed: 25,250 (up from 24,777 ), Hospitalized: 4,539 (up from 4,413 ), and Deaths: 1,436 (up from 1,357 ).
CDC Expanded Cases and Deaths: 1441 , 133
Confirmed Cuyahoga County: 2,908 (up from 2,861 ) ~ 1.64% increase.

Percentage increase: 1.91%, 2.86%, 5.82%
Raw increase: 473, 126, 79

Ohio has total tests of 216,290 (up from 209,153 ) and tests per 1M population of 18,579 (up from 17,966 ) taken from https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics/cases and https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ [case numbers updated later]

They're using roughly 11.641482 million as the population of Ohio

BTW: I noticed the numbers on the WorldOMeters for tests per 1M population is now different from all their previous numbers, so they must have adjusted their population numbers for Ohio. However, I am still calculating it from what they were using initially (which puts my numbers as being higher). They may be using roughly 11.689096 million. Today they list 210,530 tests and 18,011 tests per 1M for population of 11.688967 million. So that's two different numbers entirely.
 
Two arrested in brawl with LA Target employee over refusal to wear masks
LOS ANGELES — Two people are facing felony battery charges after police said they assaulted a Target employee who confronted them about refusing to wear masks inside a Los Angeles store.

The altercation took place at a store in the Van Nuys neighborhood about 10:20 a.m. May 1, said Officer Drake Madison, a spokesman for the Los Angeles Police Department.

Two people who were not wearing face coverings entered the store and were confronted by employees, he said. When the customers refused to put masks on, an employee moved to escort them out, he said.

“As they approached the exit, one of the suspects suddenly and without provocation turned and punched the store employee, causing him and the suspect to fall to the floor,” Madison said.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crim...ployee-over-refusal-to-wear-masks/ar-BB13Vgqa​


UK railway ticket office worker dies from Covid-19 after being spat on
A British railway ticket office worker has died from Covid-19 after being spat on while she was working at Victoria station in central London.​

Belly Mujinga, 47, was working with a colleague when a member of the public assaulted them, spat and coughed over them and said he had the novel coronavirus, said her union, the Transport Salaried Staffs Association (TSSA), in a statement Tuesday.Mujinga, who had an underlying health condition, was working for Govia Thameslink Railway (GTR) on the station concourse at the time of the incident on March 22.

British Transport Police said in a statement to CNN that an investigation into the incident had been launched.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/12/uk/uk-transport-worker-coronavirus-death-scli-intl-gbr/index.html​
 
State of Texas complete COVID-19 data breakdown

75af1a2d-68d9-450a-9ce9-ccd60b8fbfe3.png


https://txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed483ecd702b4298ab01e8b9cafc8b83

Data as of 5/12/2020 @ 5:00 PM:

Total Tests: 538,172 (Up +12,475) : 17,525 below the 30,000 Daily Tests that the Governor of Texas Abbott promised, Not Good
Cases Reported: 41,048 (Up +1,179) : +179 more cases today over yesterday. Expanding Not Good.
In Hospitals: 1,725 (Up +200)
Patients Recovered (Estimated*) : 22,674 (Up +961)
Fatalities: 1,133 (Up +33)

Texas tests per 1M population are 18,133 (Up +1,258) which places Texas as the 5th worst State. Up two places from yesterday.

Click this link: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us
and on the page click the Tests / 1M pop column to sort from worst to first

They're using roughly 27.996 million as the population of Texas.
 
Last edited:
BRiT said:
BTW: I noticed the numbers on the WorldOMeters for tests per 1M population is now different from all their previous numbers, so they must have adjusted their population numbers for Ohio. However, I am still calculating it from what they were using initially (which puts my numbers as being higher). They may be using roughly 11.689096 million. Today they list 210,530 tests and 18,011 tests per 1M for population of 11.688967 million. So that's two different numbers entirely.
Click to expand...

In my reports for Texas I only use three digits after the decimal point and round up. If you do the same then both of your numbers would be the same 11.689 million.

The chart only reports five significant digits for tests per million so there will always be some variation in the lower three digits of the six digits to the right of the decimal point.
 
A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y said:
In my reports for Texas I only use three digits after the decimal point and round up. If you do the same then both of your numbers would be the same 11.689 million.

The chart only reports five significant digits for tests per million so there will always be some variation in the lower three digits of the six digits to the right of the decimal point.
Click to expand...

Yeah, I'll likely switch over to that after I see tomorrow's numbers (3rd day), but for the previous numbers I looked at an entire week to see what they used. I'm curious where they got their new population figures from.

I also wonder where they get their total number of tests from, considering the State of Ohio only updates their numbers once a day at 2pm.
 
A1xLLcqAgt0qc2RyMz0y said:
The chart, created by doctors on the Dallas County Public Health Committee, lays out four risk zones marked as red, orange, yellow and green.
Click to expand...
No...
Terrible idea, many years ago us brits came up with a perfectly fine 2 colour system for pedestrian crossings, americans found this far too confusing and had to change the signs from red/green to walk/dont walk ;)
 
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
May 12, 2020

Statement from Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins

“We intentionally modeled the public health guidelines based on the Governor’s recommendations, never imagining he did not want his own guidelines followed. I ask the public to make decisions based on the recommendations of public health professionals: our lives depend on it. You can find recommendations from local public health experts at www.DallasCountyCOVID.org by downloading Dallas County COVID-19 Health Guidance for the Public.”

https://www.dallascounty.org/Assets...ss-releases/051220-JudgeJenkins'Statement.pdf
 
2019 Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) for Dallas County Texas
https://www.dallascounty.org/departments/dchhs/2019-novel-coronavirus.php

May 12, 2020 - 6,359 confirmed cases - 148 deaths

6,359 confirmed cases up 236 over yesterday and three new deaths
those 236 new cases represent a 3.9% increase over the last day

Increases (by percent) over the last 47 days:
21.0%, 19.6%, 11.1%, 12.5%, 14.9%
-- Month of April 2020 --
15.8%, 13.7%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 9.6%, 3.9%, 9.2%, 5.0%, 8.2%, 7.3%, 7.0%, 4.8%, 3.8%, 5.0%, 5.8%,
4.0%, 6.0%, 6.1%, 4.5%, 3.5%, 3.6%, 3.1%, 3.0%, 2.6%, 2.6%, 3.6%, 3.0%, 4.3%, 3.5%, 5.3%
-- Month of May 2020 --
5.3%, 4.9%, 6.0%, 5.7%, 5.9%, 5.3%, 5.2%, 4.9%, 4.7%, 4.5%, 4.3% and now 3.9%

Increases (by count) over the last 47 days:
+64, +72, +49, +61, +82
-- Month of April 2020 --
+100, +100, +90, +94, +97. +43, +106, +63, +108, +105, +107, +79, +65, +89, +109,
+80, +124, +134, +104, +84, +90, +81, +80, +71, +75, +105, +91, +135, +112, +179
-- Month of May 2020 --
+187, +181, +234, +237, +253, +246, +251, +249, +250, +251, +253 and now +236

As of 10:00 am May 12, 2020, DCHHS is reporting 236 additional positive cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total case count in Dallas County to 6,359, including 148 deaths.

The additional 3 deaths are being reported today include:

  • A woman in her 40’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
  • A man in his 50’s who was a resident of the City of Irving, and expired in an area emergency department.
  • A woman in her 60’s who was a resident of the City of Dallas, and had been critically ill in an area hospital.
Of cases requiring hospitalization who reported employment, about 80% have been critical infrastructure workers, with a broad range of affected occupational sectors, including: healthcare, transportation, food and agriculture, public works, finance, communications, clergy, first responders and other essential functions.

Of cases requiring hospitalization, two-thirds have been under 65 years of age, and about half do not have high-risk chronic health conditions. Diabetes has been an underlying high-risk health condition reported in about a third of all hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Of the 148 total deaths reported to date, over a third have been associated with long-term care facilities.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited:
Davros said:
No...
Terrible idea, many years ago us brits came up with a perfectly fine 2 colour system for pedestrian crossings, americans found this far too confusing and had to change the signs from red/green to walk/dont walk ;)
Click to expand...
Perhaps that was after the umpteenth fatality of a color blind person at the crossing.
Now they only kill those that can't read
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top