I noticed that this version of the GF roadmap:
http://www.anandtech.com/video/showdoc.aspx?i=3740&p=7
has risk production of 32nm SOI in Q3 this year. Seems GF changes roadmap on a whim, seemingly much like AMD did. Anyone found a place on GF's website with up-to-date roadmaps?
High performance (or, if you prefer, discrete) GPUs aren't low power.
Or even further back? I can't remember when it was that AMD decided that it was no longer going to make MCM its first Fusion processor.
This is the crux of it. Theoretically AMD is now on an ~annual GPU schedule (though RV770 and Cypress are only two points on a line).
With 40nm at TSMC 1 year late, it's run into the launch window of TSMC's succeeding process, whatever that was. Back when 40nm was supposed appear on shelves (end of 2008) the succeeding process would have been roadmapped for end of 2010 I guess.
Since AMD's been watching the 40nm trainwreck in slow-mo for nearly 2 years now, presumably it's had time to adjust. There was no choice about Evergreen, it had to be 40nm. The choices for R900 seem to be either, delay the GPU for TSMC's succeeding node or use GF.
Using GF is problematic because AMD has committed to both bulk and SOI for GPUs (latter Fusion only, at minimum). With GF being problematic (new foundry and two new nodes) it seems logical to take a really long run at it. AMD (GF as was, effectively) also needed to get experience with bulk manufacture/libraries and emplace infrastructure to deal with third parties. ATI GPUs, at least as test beds, appear to be a useful platform in this regard. Wouldn't it be surprising to learn that ATI's expertise in working with foundries was not a key part of GF's ramp?
Yeah, no matter how convenient a variety of factors in the closeness of AMD/GF look, it seems too risky.
At best a 32nm refresh of Cypress would be ~230mm² I suppose, which seems to be in the ballpark of Llano's die size - would such a big chip be a viable "pipe cleaner"? "New features" that were left out of Cypress would add 30-50%, surely super-risky.
If AMD's GPU schedule is really 15-18 months then we shouldn't be expecting anything till 2011.
Jawed