I'm seriously starting to think that even if WiiU would put even fastest PC's out there to shame both speed- and tech wise, TheChefO still wouldn't be happy with it, and Nintendo can't do anything right.
I will say that hardware tech alone isn't going to solve all their problems.
They would also need to work on dev tools and get their own internal dev teams up to snuff on cutting edge development (or even just UE3) as well in order to succeed. So yes, you are correct in that hardware alone will not be enough.
Nintendo will have to get off their pile of cash they made on Wii and reinvest it into their company (like other modern businesses do that aim for growth). And while they're at it, hire a financial adviser to help them avoid yen/dollar and yen/euro issues. It's like a comedy of errors over there. They keep effing up, but some how, still avoid the pitfalls and come out alive.
"If Nintendo don't do what I want them to do, they're doomed."
Personally, I don't care either way. I didn't buy a Wii (played others enough to see glaring and frustrating pitfalls of the tech), and didn't buy a n64. Bought a GC when it was on sale for $100 to go back and play some games I missed out on, but certainly not a hardcore N fan and from what I've seen, I won't be buying a WiiU.
Overall, I just want to see a healthy competition between Sony/MS/N.
My comments of caution for Nintendo are more out of desire to see that competition thrive with a hint of, "ooh I hope they aren't that stupid."
I enjoy the dynamics of the console biz, but I don't want to see another Sega moment.
which process is it on? I used to think 40nm but this gives a performance/power disavantage and thus a slower GPU in the small wiiU budget.
but maybe on 40nm it's cheap and high availability.
if it uses VLIW5 or VLIW4, why not, it's what is in current and future AMD APUs.
I expect low specs, if it's VLIW5 maybe 240SP, if it uses radeon 6970 architecture then 256 SP, both with 64bit gddr5.
it' more than good enough. for instance I've seen a sandy bridge laptop with a renamed radeon 5450 with ddr3. it's pretty good at running games at 768p, we tried far cry 2 at default settings. it's like an order magnitude better than stuff like the X300 SE we had a few years ago.
the unobtainable radeon 6450 w/ gddr5 is twice better. something a bit above compares well with PS360 I guess.
Again, if they're aiming for 2005 hardware which is on it's way out, how long do they expect it to last and how much do they reasonably expect people to pay?
"But it's got a tablet!" Who cares? The ability of the tablet to co-display will obviously be limited as one of the design bullet points was that the TV could be freed from gaming at any given moment and toss the tv image to the tablet. Thus, the interaction needs to be able to fit into a strictly tablet use case.
So this puts the interaction of WiiU at a tablet level. Now how about price?
If it is essentially a playbox360 with a tablet, I'm guessing they can squeeze the BOM in at the end of the year somewhere near the $250 mark. If they sell it at that break even price, they might have a shot, but knowing Nintendo, they will likely try and squeeze a crazy margin out of the box day one and mark it up to $350.
Nevermind the fact it isn't focused on motion gaming anymore which was the entire lure of Wii and nevermind that the casual market is being targeted heavily by the likes of Apple, Google, Facebook, and MS (Kinect).
Nintendo is stuck between a rock and a hard place here.
They have been since the project Natal unveil. They would have been better off partnering up with a big player at that time (or licensing Kinect). As is, we have a hardware averse toy company competing in a battle from a disadvantageous position.
Their one shot at competing solo going forward was/is not with the casual crowd and a halfbreed tablet. Their one shot was with a core targeted console. A dire and slim chance, but that is really all they had here.
Otherwise, suck it up, form a strategic partnership with Apple/Google/MS/Sony and become a software developer that also happens to make portable consoles (for now).