MulciberXP
Regular
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Right about the energy crisis. Some guys posting in here are not lving in reality if they think we are going to carry more or less as affluently (comapred to previous generations) as we have been for the past 50 years or so. The existing proposals to solve the energy issue are far from perfect, and we shouldn't take it for granted that new technology will come along to save the day.Well, I think there will be two primary issues that will be important for much of the century: religious extremism (particularly Islamic), and global warming. As for technology, I suspect that the biggest advancements will be in our understanding and implementation of biochemical processes. We will start actively modifying our own biology before the end of the century (note that we've already started doing it on small scales; look up genetic counseling), and we may even move to biological computers and other macroscopic biological machines.
Edit: Oops! Forgot a huge issue that we're going to be facing: energy. We're either going to solve our energy problems within the next few decades, or this century will see the beginning of a new dark age.
Well, one thing to bear in mind is that while no single alternative energy proposal is enough to solve the energy crisis, a combination of them should be.Right about the energy crisis. Some guys posting in here are not lving in reality if they think we are going to carry more or less as affluently (comapred to previous generations) as we have been for the past 50 years or so. The existing proposals to solve the energy issue are far from perfect, and we shouldn't take it for granted that new technology will come along to save the day.
Cheap commercial space flights!
Within a couple of years you can already go on a short space flight for a couple of thousand euro's.
If we can build an orbital structure that can get us cheaply to the moon, then we can build a launch platform on the moon that can get us anywhere in the solar system relatively cheaply. Space travel, even to the Moon, will never be common as long as we are forced to use rockets for the majority of propulsion.Don't hold your breath. When people start getting killed in large numbers this sector is going to have a tough time.
My space-travel prediction for the 21st century is that we won't routinely be travelling much further than the Moon, and quite possibly still be stuck in low-Earth orbit. By routine I mean governmental/space agency efforts, not commercial space travel which I think will remain the preserve of those who are rich and/or bored of life.
Space travel, even to the Moon, will never be common as long as we are forced to use rockets for the majority of propulsion.
I've been wondering for some time now if the "Space Pier" concept was viable:I think that's basically where I'm coming from. Right now I can't see any serious contenders to replace rockets for meaningful payloads to low-Earth orbit. In reality they're probably hard to replace for the trip from LEO->Moon too but that's a moot point if rockets are a bottleneck in getting stuff off the ground.
Research into a replacement for rockets seems to be advancing on glacial time-scales, maybe due to lack of funds but I suspect because there really aren't that many options. It's too expensive/risky/long-term to be solved by the private sector, and the public-sector agencies can't or won't spend enough money on it in the current political climate.
And they'll will celebrate by launching the Wii20, now in HD.