Hey, are we having a Core discussion again?
Great! I'm still waiiting for you guys to integrate
a few minor things into your repertoire of knowledge about consumer habits. Say, if the Core drops 100$s in price, by how much do you think the other SKU will drop? Same 100$, more, less?
I would guess we end up with a $70 price differential, and possibly a $29 memory card. But really, that's MS's problem, their pricing is all over he map so I won't try and predict that.
If MS were simply to drop the price of the HDD and Memory Card, core sales would probably go way up. It's all about value and how MS implements the different SKU's is up to them. It doesn't change the fact there are still consumers who do not want to pay extra for a HDD.
And to address your points I missed:
Core edition not in any demand now, despite 65$ cost savings
Tell that to the approx 1million people who have purchased one.
little reason for MS to accelerate sales of Core edition in terms of profit (Premium=+50~60$ pure profit vs Core, memcard=25~30$ profit); motivation can only come from install-base
In terms of profit yes. In terms of increasing the install base, the motivation is there. If MS were only concerned about profit, they would never have released the core in the first place.
price drops are most likely to reduce the absolute dollar price difference of Core vs Premium, making the choice of Core+memcard even less attractive versus the Premium going forward
I agree it will make it less attractive to people who desire a HDD. But will it make it less attractive to everyone? No, since pricedrops lower the absolute price. Someone who is not interested in a $299 core, maye very well be intesested in one at $129, even if the price difference between the SKU's has decreased.
no precedent for magic price points washing away all intelligence even before checkout (cf first point; a small minority of people care enough to "save" those 65$ dollars even; cf non-existance of bare-bones console SKUs without any controllers and A/V cables)
If you do not use online, and do not have an HDTV, then the 'intelligent' decision is to not purchase these useless peripherals.
no precedent for two-SKU consoles anyway, except for the 360 itself (see first bullet)
And?
You still fail to address my main point, and the one I've been repeating ad nasuem. Why do you assume that the ENTIRE existing PS2 userbase, which consisted mainly of people who bought at $199 or less, will want a HDD in their console? I'd love to hear that argument.